X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

Three Overvalued Quarterbacks Who Are Being Drafted Too High

There are two schools of thought when it comes to drafting a quarterback in fantasy football drafts. One strategy is to grab one of the top-notch passers early like Aaron Rodgers or Andrew Luck, giving you an automatic advantage at a key position.

The other, more common philosophy, is to wait on QB entirely considering how deep the position is. Whatever you decide, it’s important to realize that value still matters wherever you select a quarterback. Here we’ll look at three QBs who are being drafted too high within the position, and may be overvalued based on their ADPs and draft day prices.

Editor's Note: On the contrary, if you want to read about 2015 fantasy football draft sleepers for quarterbacks, and players that are undervalued, be sure to check our running list of ADP values that can return draft day profits and help you dominate your leagues.

 

Quarterbacks Who Are Being Drafted Too High

Russell Wilson – QB, Seattle Seahawks

Earlier this offseason I was talking up Russell Wilson as a fantastic fantasy QB prospect for 2015, mostly due to the addition of tight end Jimmy Graham. Flash forward two months or so and I’ve pretty much done a 180 based on no other reason than his current average draft position.

Wilson is currently being drafted as a late third/early fourth rounder depending on the size of your league. That’s a little crazy to me when you consider the fact that he only outscored Ben Roethlisberger by 17 fantasy points in 2014. That equates to exactly one-point-per game. For some added comparison, Roethlisberger is going a full two rounds later than Wilson in most leagues. Their ADP should be a lot closer together based on last year’s numbers and the fact that they’re in entirely different offenses.

A lot of Wilson’s fantasy production came from his 849 rushing yards, a feat that no quarterback has ever repeated in back-to-back seasons. Ben had stretches where the Steelers were slinging the ball around the field every chance they got. Wilson doesn’t play in an offense conducive to putting up big passing numbers as the Seahawks are a run first team. Basically, I don’t think you can justify selecting Wilson a full two rounds ahead of the likes of Ben Roethlisberger or even Matt Ryan.

I’m not suddenly anti-Wilson entirely. If he falls to me, great, as he’s developed into an awesome quarterback both in real life and in fantasy. It’s just that I’d rather draft the likes of Frank Gore or Jordan Matthews in the third/fourth round and wait a little longer on QB, especially if I can grab a guy like Ben or Ryan two rounds later.

 

Tony Romo – QB, Dallas Cowboys

Speaking of waiting on quarterback, Tony Romo is essentially the poster boy for this strategy. Romo is often selected as one of, if not the last, starting QB in a standard sized league. The thing about owning Tony Romo is that what you see is what you get. They don’t refer to his playing style as the Romo Coaster for nothing. He’s going to be sporadic and inconsistent, killing you in some weeks and winning you some others. Personally, I’d rather just avoid that situation entirely.

If I were going to wait on quarterback, I’d rather deal with Tom Brady’s suspension or take my chances on a guy with way more upside than Romo like Eli Manning or Ryan Tannehill. At this point in his career, Romo’s ceiling is pretty much capped at the back end of the top 10. Does anyone doubt that Tom Brady is going to put up borderline top-5 numbers when he comes back? Both Eli and Tannehill should continue to improve within their expanding offenses. Romo basically just has Dez Bryant, and there’s no guarantee the running game will back him up as much as it did last year now that DeMarco Murray is gone.

If you’re actually going to wait on QB, commit fully. Don’t bother drafting Romo in round six or seven when you can get Brady in round eight or Eli/Tannehill in round ten. Let someone get trigger-happy on grabbing their backup QB early once they see Tony Romo falling. In the meantime, you’ll be loading up an extra two rounds of running backs and wide receivers.

 

Colin Kaepernick – QB, San Francisco 49ers

This last overvalued quarterback might seem like cheating, but when I took a look at his ADP I just couldn’t refrain from putting him on this list. Forget what round he’s going in; the simple fact that Colin Kaepernick is being drafted ahead of the likes of Sam Bradford, Carson Palmer, and Jay Cutler is absurd.

Like I said, this might be cheating -- but there are leagues out there that start two quarterbacks, as well as deeper leagues where grabbing a backup is important. That’s really where my gripe with Kaepernick comes into playas the 16th QB off the board. The 49ers have undergone a considerable amount of change within their offensive personnel, and to be quite honest with you, no one really expects them to be that good this year. It’s not even like Kaepernick has more upside than the group that follows him either. Sam Bradford could thrive in a Chip Kelly system, Carson Palmer was on his way to being a top-12 fantasy QB prior to injury last season, and Jay Cutler has way better weapons than Kaepernick.

You might be thinking: “Colin Kaepernick’s rushing ability gives him enough upside to draft him over those guys.” In theory, you’re right, but when you actually apply that logic, it’s flawed. Kaepernick finished with 639 rushing yards in 2014, the highest total of his career, yet he still only finished as the 17th best fantasy quarterback. You’re basically banking on another career high in rushing yards if you expect some sort of upside out of him. Take a shot on guys who are actually in productive offenses, and can get you points doing that thing that quarterbacks are actually in the game to do -- throw the ball.

 

NFL & Fantasy Football Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-0" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Scoot Henderson24 mins ago

Absent On Friday
Giannis Antetokounmpo29 mins ago

Good To Go Friday
Coby White31 mins ago

Available On Friday
Joel Embiid42 mins ago

To Miss Friday's Game
Dorian Finney-Smith45 mins ago

Will Play Friday
Miles Bridges46 mins ago

Out At Least One Week
Nicolas Claxton52 mins ago

Back In Action Friday
CJ McCollum1 hour ago

Remains Unavailable On Friday
Rashod Bateman1 hour ago

Added To Week 12 Injury Report
Vince Dunn1 hour ago

Could Be An Option For Kraken Next Week
Cade Cunningham1 hour ago

Ruled Out For Saturday
TOR1 hour ago

Alexander Nylander Joins Maple Leafs On One-Year Deal
George Kittle1 hour ago

Cleared For Week 12
Joel Embiid1 hour ago

Considered A Game-Time Decision
Jason Dickinson2 hours ago

Expected To Play On Saturday
Jerami Grant2 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Cam York2 hours ago

Expected To Return Saturday
Al Horford2 hours ago

Unavailable On Friday
San Francisco 49ers2 hours ago

Nick Bosa Won't Play Against Packers
Mason McTavish2 hours ago

Remains Out On Friday
Brock Purdy2 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 12
Tage Thompson2 hours ago

Continues To Sit On Friday
Kevin Hayes2 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Friday
Kris Letang2 hours ago

Might Return On Friday
Ladd McConkey2 hours ago

Returns To Practice On Friday
CeeDee Lamb3 hours ago

Cleared To Play In Week 12
Sam LaPorta3 hours ago

Off The Injury Report, Cleared For Week 12
Jake Ferguson3 hours ago

Ruled Out With Concussion
DeVonta Smith3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 12
Brock Purdy3 hours ago

Not Seen At Friday's Practice
T.J. Hockenson4 hours ago

Expects To Be More Involved In Week 12
Alexander Mattison4 hours ago

Zamir White Doubtful To Face Broncos
Nico Collins4 hours ago

Set For Increased Workload Against Titans
Mike Evans4 hours ago

Officially Listed As Questionable
Malik Nabers4 hours ago

Questionable For Week 12, Intends To Play
Coby White4 hours ago

Listed As Probable On Friday
Jordan Hawkins5 hours ago

Set To Return On Friday
Sam Darnold5 hours ago

Cleared For Sunday
Brandon Ingram5 hours ago

Available On Friday
Stephen Curry5 hours ago

Probable On Friday Against Pelicans
D'Andre Swift5 hours ago

Gets Questionable Tag For Week 12
Keenan Allen5 hours ago

Lands On Injury Report, Questionable For Week 12
Isiah Pacheco5 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 12
CeeDee Lamb5 hours ago

Practices Friday, Expected To Play Sunday
Tyjae Spears6 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 12
Cam Thomas7 hours ago

Available Against 76ers
Shohei Ohtani7 hours ago

In Early Stages Of Recovery From Shoulder Surgery
Joel Embiid7 hours ago

Added To Injury Report On Friday
Tabatha Ricci7 hours ago

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Yan Xiaonan7 hours ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Nicolas Claxton7 hours ago

Now Listed As Probable Against 76ers
Dorian Finney-Smith7 hours ago

Upgraded To Probable On Friday
Muslim Salikhov7 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Macau
Chris Sale7 hours ago

To Have Normal Offseason
Garrett Crochet7 hours ago

Drawing Plenty Of Interest
Song Kenan7 hours ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Zhang Mingyang8 hours ago

Set For His Second UFC Fight
Ozzy Diaz8 hours ago

An Underdog At UFC Macau
MacKenzie Weegar10 hours ago

Notches Three Assists Against Rangers
Macklin Celebrini11 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists In Thursday's Loss
Nikita Kucherov11 hours ago

Comes Up With Three Assists Versus Blue Jackets
Sean Monahan11 hours ago

Finishes Thursday's Win With Four Points
Zach Werenski11 hours ago

Enjoys Career Night With Five Points Against Lightning
Jack Hughes11 hours ago

Posts Three Assists Versus Hurricanes
Joonas Korpisalo11 hours ago

Records 21-Save Shutout Versus Utah
Wendell Carter Jr.21 hours ago

Out Against Lakers
Carlos Ulberg22 hours ago

Looking To Cement Himself As A Title Contender At UFC Macau
Volkan Oezdemir23 hours ago

Eyes Another Knockout At UFC Macau
Gabriella Fernandes23 hours ago

A Big Underdog At UFC Macau
MMA23 hours ago

Cong Wang Puts Undefeated Record On The Line At UFC Macau
Deiveson Figueiredo23 hours ago

Looks To Extend Win Streak At UFC Macau
Petr Yan23 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Macau
Shohei Ohtani24 hours ago

Named National League MVP In 2024
Aaron Judge24 hours ago

Wins American League MVP Award
Alex Ovechkin1 day ago

To Miss 4-6 Weeks With Fractured Fibula
Zach Hyman1 day ago

Expected To Miss 4-7 Days
Kent Johnson1 day ago

Back For Blue Jackets Thursday
Yaroslav Askarov1 day ago

Makes Sharks Debut Thursday
Mikael Granlund1 day ago

Good To Go Thursday
Alexandar Georgiev1 day ago

Returns To Action Versus Capitals
Cody Bellinger1 day ago

Cubs Looking To Trade Cody Bellinger?
1 day ago

Blake Snell Has Met With Red Sox, Dodgers
Chris Sale2 days ago

Wins National League Cy Young Award
Tarik Skubal2 days ago

Wins 2024 American League Cy Young Award
Austin Eckroat2 days ago

Heads To The RSM Classic After Win
Harris English2 days ago

Finding Form Heading To The RSM Classic
Ben Griffin2 days ago

Continues Playing Well Heading To The RSM Classic
Denny McCarthy2 days ago

Returns to The RSM Classic
Ludvig Aberg2 days ago

Looks To Defend RSM Classic Title
Si Woo Kim2 days ago

An Intriguing Option At RSM Classic
Maverick McNealy2 days ago

In Solid Form Ahead Of RSM Classic
Eric Cole2 days ago

Chasing First Tour Victory At RSM Classic
3 days ago

Guardians' Stephen Vogt Named AL Manager Of The Year
Milwaukee Brewers3 days ago

Pat Murphy Named NL Manager Of The Year
3 days ago

Nick Pivetta Declines Boston's Qualifying Offer
Jose Siri3 days ago

Mets Acquire Jose Siri From The Rays
3 days ago

Phillies To Meet With Juan Soto
3 days ago

Luis Severino Rejects Qualifying Offer From Mets
3 days ago

Willy Adames Declines Brewers Qualifying Offer
3 days ago

Teoscar Hernandez Declines Qualifying Offer From Dodgers
3 days ago

Juan Soto Declines Yankees' Qualifying Offer
Luis Gil4 days ago

Wins AL Rookie Of The Year Award
Paul Skenes4 days ago

Named 2024 NL Rookie Of The Year
Brady Singer4 days ago

Reds, Royals Discussing Jonathan India, Brady Singer
Charles Oliveira4 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Michael Chandler4 days ago

Gets Dominated At UFC 309
Karine Silva4 days ago

Suffers Her First UFC Loss
Viviane Araujo4 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Mauricio Ruffy4 days ago

Extends His Win Streak To Six
James Llontop5 days ago

Loses Clear-Cut Decision In Thrilling Fight At UFC 309
Paul Craig5 days ago

Loses Decision At UFC 309
Bo Nickal5 days ago

Remains Undefeated With Lackluster Performance At UFC 309
Stipe Miocic5 days ago

Retires After UFC 309 Loss

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 

Video: Week 12 Booms, Sleepers, and Streamers - 2024 Fantasy Football Start 'Em Analysis

And here...we...go... The YouTube team is dropping fresh fire content for the weekend ahead with our top Week 12 booms, sleepers, and streamers! NFL Network and RotoBaller contributor LaQuan Jones gives in-depth fantasy football advice, breaking down some of his high-upside, sleeper, and value plays as we head into Week 12 of the new fantasy […]


RotoBaller NFL Betting Picks Stock

2024 NFL Week 12 Betting Picks (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools and Content can be accessed on the premium dashboard. To see ALL of Jamie's bets (and others from RotoBaller experts) then head over to the RotoBaller Discord. You'll find every bet and prop in the #NFL-BETTING-PROPS channel there!   Background My name is Jamie Calandro (@jac3600 on X) and I have […]


DeVon Achane - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS Picks, Injury News

Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Week 12 Matchups Analysis

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to another start'em and sit'em piece as we look ahead to Week 12! There will be a whopping six teams on bye this week (Atlanta Falcons, Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals, New Orleans Saints, Jacksonville Jaguars, and New York Jets), so that means fantasy managers might need to look deeper on their benches. This Week 12 matchups […]


Josh Downs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade - Fantasy Football Week 12 (2024)

Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 12 of the 2024 fantasy football season. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. The data we access for offensive and defensive players continues to skyrocket. Though we mainly focus on offensive […]


Houston Texans Defense D/ST Streamers, Rankings, Waiver Wire - Derek Stingley Fantasy Football IDP

D/ST Strength of Schedule: Best Fantasy Football Defense Streamers and Matchups (Weeks 12-17)

Ahh, the good old Defense/Special Teams (DST) position in fantasy football. It is a controversial inclusion in fantasy lineups for some fantasy players, but strategizing around DSTs is one of my favorite aspects of the in-season fantasy football experience. In the article below, I will present the strength of schedule (SOS) for the fantasy Defense/Special […]


NFL DFS: FanDuel Daily Fantasy Football Picks for Week 12 - Top Lineup Plays Include Jayden Daniels, Jahmyr Gibbs, Jared Goff, Puka Nacua

It’s already Week 12, although the end of the 2024-25 campaign can’t come soon enough for teams like the Jaguars, Raiders, Giants, and Panthers, to name a few. On the other hand, clubs like the Bills, Chiefs, and Lions are only a few weeks away from officially punching their tickets to the postseason.   In […]


Braelon Allen - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Best/Worst Fantasy Football Playoff Schedules: Streamers and Starts To Win A Championship (2024)

Planning too far in advance to align your fantasy football players for an optimal playoff performance comes with many pitfalls. However, positioning yourself for good fortune in Weeks 15 through 17 should be a key piece of your strategy if you're in line to make the bracket. Fantasy players still have time to trade for […]


Bo Nix - Fantasy Football Rankings, QB, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

The King's Week 12 Lineup Rankings and Analysis (Premium Content)

RotoBaller senior writer Scott "The King" Engel shares his Week 12 fantasy football lineup rankings for PPR, half PPR, and standard scoring league participants. He also provides an analysis of the rankings at every skill position. Regular starting options are included to highlight that some of your must-start players have a good chance of supplying […]


Courtland Sutton - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 12 DraftKings NFL DFS Picks - Main Slate (2024): Anthony Richardson, Brian Robinson Jr., Courtland Sutton, and more

How's it going, RotoBallers? Welcome back to our DraftKings Main Slate article. Known around the fantasy football world as "Bye-Mageddon," Week 12 certainly offers up some unique challenges from a DFS perspective. Don't worry, we'll work through those difficulties to find the best plays we can on this slate. These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based […]


Brian Robinson Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings Running Backs, Waiver Wire Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Bold Predictions for Fantasy Football Week 12: Tua Tagovailoa, Rhamondre Stevenson, Brian Robinson Jr., Ladd McConkey, Will Dissly

Week 12 is here, and I’m back with another edition of fantasy football bold predictions. This week’s list of bold predictions will include Tua Tagovailoa, Rhamondre Stevenson, Brian Robinson Jr., Ladd McConkey, and Will Dissly. Every week, I will provide some fun and bold fantasy football predictions. While these bold predictions aren’t the most likely […]


Ladd McConkey - Fantasy Football Rankings, Rookies, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Booms and Busts - Fantasy Football Starts and Sits for Week 12 Lineups Include Tua Tagovailoa, J.K. Dobbins, Ladd McConkey

Week 11 was pretty kind to us in this space. We correctly labeled Justin Herbert as a boom pick. He threw for 297 yards and two touchdowns and ran for 65 yards on the ground. It culminated with a QB8 finish. We also nailed Kirk Cousins and Tony Pollard as busts. Cousins and the Falcons […]


Chuba Hubbard - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Week 12 Fantasy Football Busts? Players Who May Disappoint Include D'Andre Swift, JK Dobbins, Tank Dell, Chuba Hubbard, Mark Andrews, Jakobi Meyers

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to our Week 12 fantasy football busts, or players who may disappoint for fantasy lineups this week. It's a strange week in the NFL with six teams taking their bye week. That could mean lineups are gridlocked and fantasy managers don't have the luxury of analyzing matchups to decide their starters. Potential […]


Josh Downs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

PrizePicks NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Week 12 (Sunday Main Slate)

Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 12 - Sunday Main Slate! The 2024 NFL season is now past the midpoint, and our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of. Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the […]