X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 16

Salvador Perez - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Welcome back to The Cut List for Week 16. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers might be considering cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who is worth holding on to...for now.

We've made it to the All-Star Break which gives us a few days to pause, reflect and regroup before we push for fantasy glory. It'll also give us some time to ascertain what we need to do to finish the season strong, where our rosters need strengthening and who we should be looking at ousting.

Those of you experienced Cut List readers will know I'm a strong advocate for not making knee-jerk reactions. A bad week or two shouldn't be a reason to push the panic button and dump someone. As the year continues to progress, there will be different reasons and stronger cases to drop underperforming players. All stats and rostered rates (taken from Yahoo!) reflect when this piece was written.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

 

Worth Dropping and Replacing?

MJ Melendez - C/OF, Kansas City Royals - 55% rostered

Melendez was an ideal draft target this year. A catcher-eligible player who will play almost every day in the outfield and has plenty of power is certainly someone I'd be targeting in drafts. But Melendez hasn't lived up to expectations.

After 83 games, Melendez has six homers, 31 RBI, 34 runs and four stolen bases along with a .208/.289/.337 slash line. That .337 SLG is 142nd among 151 qualified hitters and he ranks 19th among catchers on Yahoo!. Given Melendez ranks 567th overall, that's a testament to how bad the catcher position is.

Earlier this season, I had seven or eight catchers whom I considered as must roster at the position and Melendez was one of them. Largely, that was down to the fact he was set to be in the top-5 at the position for plate appearances and home runs. Whilst the first part is still true, the second is not.

In fact, there are 23 catcher-eligible players who have more home runs than Melendez so the promise of power has not materialized. He is also only ranked tied-16th for RBI and tied-12th for runs among catchers which, given he's fourth in at-bats, isn't great.

Why has Melendez struggled so much and why is there no hope for him moving forward? If we look at some numbers, we'll see why Melendez has had such a poor 2023 to this point. His 29.5% K% is up from 24.5% last year and ranks in the 11th percentile.

And while his 9.9% BB% is in the 70th percentile, it's also down on last year's (12.4%). The only thing Melendez has going for him is how hard he hits the ball. The problem is, when you make as little contact as Melendez does, the quality of the contact is less relevant.

Melendez's Statcast Profile encapsulates all of this. To really understand how little contact Melendez makes, of the 151 qualified hitters, his 69.8% contact rate of pitches in the zone (according to Statcast), ranks last.

What's frustrating is Melendez's 34.2% GB% (ground ball rate) is 16th lowest among the qualified hitters so it's not like he's hitting the ball into the ground a lot, yet his expected numbers are still poor. While his .399 xSLG is considerably better than his actual SLG, it's still below the league average.

The fact Melendez also has a .286 BABIP doesn't fill me with confidence that his numbers will get much better. I will acknowledge he has an xHR total of 9.1 so can be considered a bit unlucky in that regard, but given he plays in one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks, it's also not entirely surprising.

Then there is of course the issue of the Royals lineup, which ranks second-worst in the league for runs scored (333). That too was always going to negatively impact Melendez but few expected them to be as bad as they have been, barely any better than the much-maligned Athletics.

In truth, if Melendez was on most other teams, he likely would have been demoted by now making this all pretty irrelevant anyway.

Verdict: There are far too many negatives around Melendez right now to warrant rostering him. If you drafted him as an outfielder, he was someone you likely dropped some time ago and if he's your catcher, I'd probably be looking to move on and nab one of the better-performing options or roll with a hot hand. In two-catcher leagues and deep leagues, Melendez is still rosterable.

Kyle Gibson - SP, Baltimore Orioles - 41% rostered

I was slightly taken aback by the fact Gibson hasn't been featured on The Cut List this year and was over 40% rostered. In 18 starts, Gibson has an 8-6 W-L record, 4.73 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 78 Ks (102.2 IP).

He didn't get off to a bad start at all this year, posting a 3.89 ERA by the end of May (12 starts) but things have certainly gone downhill since then with a 6.84 ERA in his five June starts. Earlier this week, he allowed four runs on three hits and four walks against the Yankees (6.0 IP).

If we look at some of his underlying numbers, we'll be able to see that Gibson's early season form was a bit of a mirage and he's just experienced some natural regression. In his first 12 starts, Gibson had a 4.63 xFIP and 4.98 SIERA and in his last six starts, he's had a 4.49 xFIP and 4.38 SIERA.

If anything, Gibson has been better over the last few starts but his luck has run out and his ERA now sits about where you'd expect it to. He now ranks as the 186th starting pitcher on Yahoo!, which basically means his ERA and WHIP have negated the wins and strikeouts he's tallied.

Those rankings are slightly skewed by some relievers being SP eligible and many pitchers with single-digit innings ranking better than Gibson due to not harming your ratios. But if we look at where he ranks among the 79 pitchers with at least 80.0 IP, it doesn't make pretty viewing.

W ERA WHIP K AVG xFIP SIERA HardHit%
Stat 8 4.73 1.36 78 .264 4.59 4.78 43.8%
Ranking T-13th 67th T-60th 60th 63rd 63rd 69th T-63rd

Sometimes we forget in fantasy that it's an accumulation of stats so while Gibson's 17.8% K% is in the 18th percentile, he's topped 100.0 IP and the total strikeouts aren't too bad. And eight wins at this point of the season is good. But that recent regression has limited Gibson to one win in his last six starts (against the Royals).

The Orioles improved offense has been a key factor in Gibson's wins but their defense hasn't helped matters. The Orioles infield ranks 22nd in Outs Above Average (OAA) with -8 and the outfield has -3 OAA (tied-19th).

The problem for Gibson is he only has one above-average pitch in his arsenal; the sweeper. It is the only pitch of the six he throws that has a Stuff+ rating of over 100 (106) but it's also only his third-most-thrown pitch (17.4%).

His most used pitch is the sinker which has a .297 xBA against it and a .400 xwOBA. His sweeper has a .224 xBA and .271 xwOBA while also sporting a 47.8% Whiff%. The issue is teams can load up on left-handed hitters (LHH), take away the effectiveness of his sweeper and almost neutralize Gibson.

If we look at his splits below, that's certainly been a problem for Gibson.

Split TBF AVG OBP SLG wOBA K% BB%
Vs RHH 213 .253 .315 .379 .343 18.8% 7.5%
Vs LHH 224 .286 .347 .447 .343 17.0% 8.5%

The fact Gibson has thrown 290 sweepers this year with only 29 of them being against LHH just highlights the problem Gibson has against lefites in that he can't use his best pitch and needs to rely on below-average offerings.

Verdict: Gibson is a streaming option only and even then, I'd be reluctant to use him unless I'm in need of a win and his opponents don't have many lefties in their lineup. That's a very narrow set of opportunities to use Gibson which is why I don't believe he's worth rostering except in very deep leagues.

 

Hold For Now

Jon Gray - SP, Texas Rangers - 85% rostered

While the Rangers offense has taken all the plaudits in the first half, their pitching staff has gone rather unnoticed but has been no less important to their success so far. They have a collective 3.68 ERA from starting pitching this year (fourth best) despite the season-ending injury to Jacob deGrom which limited him to just six starts.

Gray has been a huge reason why, with a 6-5 W-L record, 3.29 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 75 Ks in 16 starts (93.0 IP). Unfortunately, things have been regressing lately and over his last four starts, Gray has allowed 15 earned runs in 19.1 IP (6.98 ERA).

Gray relies largely on his fastball and slider, with the fastball accounting for 43.4% of pitches thrown and his slider 25.9% of total pitches. The problem is, his fastball is not particularly good.

We can see from the below graphic how Gray doesn't deviate away much from his usual pitch mix from start to start, with the fastball generally dominating proceedings followed by his slider. Gray's changeup (13.3%), sweeper (11.0%) and curveball (6.4%) don't factor in too much.

You'll notice how Gray's sweeper hasn't been thrown since his May 08 start which is when his slider was first thrown so it seems as though that pitch has just been reclassified.

To show you why throwing the fastball as often as Gray does is not a good thing, below is a breakdown of his pitches. His sweeper/slider have been separated for the purpose of this exercise.

Pitch Usage xBA xSLG xwOBA Whiff% Stuff+
Fastball 43.3% .310 .511 .396 16.8% 81
Slider 25.9% .196 .263 .216 38.9% 121
Changeup 13.3% .240 .325 .272 23.5% 105
Sweeper 11.0% .189 .304 .256 31.1% N/a
Curveball 6.4% .346 .646 .446 20.0% 80

Among the 61 qualified starters who have thrown a fastball this year, Gray's 81 Stuff+ ranks it as the tied-43rd best. Not exactly a ringing endorsement and the results have shown.

The real worry is Gray is already throwing it less this year than he has in his career so the usage has been dropped and it's still too much. Unless Gray overhauls the fastball (which won't happen in-season) or drastically drops its usage (unlikely to happen), things probably won't get better.

And the recent struggles can ultimately be put down to natural regression. Despite having a 2.23 ERA in his first 12 starts, Gray also had a 4.29 xFIP and 4.27 SIERA. On the year, Gray now has a 4.49 xFIP and 4.61 SIERA so it's fair to assume we may see his ERA continue to climb nearer to 4.00.

That's not a given and Gray can still provide fantasy value if he keeps the ERA under 4.00 as long as the Rangers offense continues to excel and give him wins. If the regression does continue after the All-Star Break and Gray's ERA continues climbing the way it has recently, then fantasy managers have a decision to make.

In fact, I'd probably look at trading Gray during the All-Star Break, before his value does begin to drop further as it's difficult to find a way for him to get back to being a ~3.00 ERA over the remainder of the season.

C.J. Cron - 1B, Colorado Rockies - 64% rostered

I generally try to avoid covering players who are recently back from an injury as we should really give them some time to get back into the groove of things before we decide whether or not we want them on our rosters again.

And after missing six weeks with a back issue, Cron only returned to the Rockies on June 27. The good news is Cron has been very good since returning, hitting .333/.353/.455 in 10 games since his activation from the IL.

Before the injury, Cron was hitting just .228/.277/.426 in 36 games. Across the entire season so far, Cron has seven homers, 23 RBI, 24 runs and no stolen bases with a .249/.291/.432 slash line (46 games).

In truth, that's not too bad of a fantasy line as it's a 162-game pace of 25 homers, 81 RBI, 85 runs and no steals. Over the previous two seasons, Cron has averaged 28.5 homers, 97 RBI, 74.5 runs and 0.5 steals with a .268 batting average (146 games). So this year wouldn't be far off those numbers.

Cron still possesses prodigious power with his 114.5 MPH maximum exit velocity in the 94th percentile and he's hit the fifth-longest home run of the year so far (479 feet). That's after hitting the furthest home run last year (504 feet).

Given Cron's injury layoff, we have a smaller sample to look at this year than most other players but it's still promising that his expected numbers are better than his actual numbers. Cron has a .270 xBA, .497 xSLG and .348 xwOBA (.307 wOBA).

And in a surprising quirk, five of his seven home runs have come on the road. In his previous two seasons with the Rockies, Cron hit 41 home runs at home and 16 on the road so again, this is a small sample that may alter as the season goes on but it's good to see Cron hit home runs on the road more freely.

There's a chance Cron's back issues were impacting him before he went on the IL as players do tend to try and play through things until they physically can't. So if he was suffering with his back a bit in the early going, it may account for the struggles.

Between the back issue being a possible cause of the struggles, how well he's hit since returning from the IL and the expected numbers, I'm optimistic that Cron can perform as we've seen over the last two seasons.

But as mentioned, this is a small sample, especially since his return from injury less than two weeks ago. So let's give Cron more time, see how things play out and providing he doesn't struggle badly or experience a reoccurrence of his back issue, Cron should be rostered with confidence.

Bobby Miller - SP, Los Angeles Dodgers - 63% rostered

Stop me if you've heard this, but Miller got off to a blistering start following his call-up to the Majors, with a 0.78 ERA over his first four starts (23.0 IP). Miller's next four starts saw him yield 20 earned runs in 21.0 IP.

The usual question has arisen; what is the real version of Miller? Well, no one expected him to have a sub-1.00 ERA for long and if we look at his eight starts individually, there's only been two really bad outings.

The below chart shows the ERA, FIP and xFIP from each of Miller's eight starts.

The chart clearly shows how Miller was outperforming his underlying numbers in the first four starts but has now regressed beyond the mean so hopefully we've had Miller's worst starts of the season and can move forward with more optimism.

Miller's numbers aren't bad at all, with a 5-1 W-L record, 4.50 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 42 Ks (44.0 IP). Given his Minor League numbers, we can hope for more strikeouts as Miller had 227 Ks in 183.0 IP. And with a 3.95 xFIP and 4.15 SIERA, as we've mentioned, his ERA should come back towards 4.00.

And there isn't a whole lot more to say about Miller. He's not the second coming of Sandy Koufax nor is he just some scrub. Miller is a good starting pitcher who I believe can be a top-30 option in the coming years.

Miller's got a slider that is ideal to put away RHH (with a 31.0% Whiff%) and a changeup that does the same to LHH (40.8% Whiff%) while his curveball can be effective against both (34.4% Whiff%).

The only letdown in Miller's arsenal is his sinker, which is also his most-used pitch (31.9%). That's the only pitch that doesn't have a Stuff+ rating of at least 100, rated at 97. It also has the highest xBA (.279), xSLG (.435) and xwOBA (.358) of his five pitches.

Maybe, if Miller can cut down on the sinker usage, we can see a pitcher with an ERA nearer 3.20 but for now, Miller is someone I anticipate having a ~4.00 ERA with plenty of wins and decent strikeouts this year. That's enough to keep him rostered in most leagues.

If Miller runs into more trouble after the All-Star Break and the ERA starts to move above 5.00 for a few games, then we will need to seriously consider pulling the plug in most leagues. In dynasty leagues, Miller is a must-hold regardless of how things pan out this year.

Joey Meneses - 1B/OF, Washington Nationals - 47% rostered

You may wonder why we have four players in the "Hold For Now" section and only two in the "Worth Dropping And Replacing" portion of The Cut List. Well, Meneses has flipped a switch and become the hitter we all wanted him to be this year.

Meneses entered Friday's game against the Rangers with only two homers. He's now homered three times in the last two games bringing his season line to five homers, 45 RBI, 33 runs and no steals with a .284/.326/.396 slash line (82 games).

Before Friday, Meneses ranked as the 312th overall player on Yahoo!, 30th at first base and 79th at outfield. Now, he ranks 26th among first basemen, 65th among outfielders and 235th overall.

On that basis alone, Meneses is a borderline rosterable player and is the reason I was ok with dropping him in shallow leagues (but still holding in deeper leagues). And my mantra of not making a decision based on a few games works both ways. But......

Meneses had a solid batting average and despite playing on a pretty weak offense, he was still hitting cleanup so had plenty of opportunities to provide value in the RBI and runs categories too. Only the power was really lacking.

Fantasy managers still remember his 13 home runs in 56 games last year and while that can be in part contributed to a flukey small sample, if he did it before, he can do it again, can't he? Would you bet against him homering again tonight and have a hot streak after the All-Star Break?

Of course, Meneses could come out of the few days off and struggle, going the rest of July without hitting a homer. In which case, he does re-enter the realms of droppable again. But I'm also loathe to drop someone who has had a big few games as if anything, their trade value has increased and you may be able to move him.

If we compare some of his numbers to last year, we can see that although there's been regression, it's been more significant than anticipated over the entire 2023 campaign so far.

Year PA xBA xSLG xwOBA K% BB% Barrel% HardHit%
2022 240 .267 .457 .332 21.7% 6.3% 9.9% 47.1%
2023 353 .241 .344 .310 19.8% 5.9% 5.8% 43.4%

Before Friday, only Tim Anderson was on a longer streak of plate appearances without a home run which should give you an idea of how badly Meneses had been struggling. After ending May with a .300 batting average, he only hit .237 from June 01 up until Friday.

As mentioned, he's hardly helped by playing for the Nationals. The team from the nation's capital ranks 26th in runs scored (266) so Meneses being on pace for ~80 RBI and ~60 runs is probably par for the course.

Overall, Meneses was a borderline player in standard leagues and I'm not going to completely change course because of a couple of big games. But I will take credit for his recent surge in power as prior to Friday's games, I made the below trade in a dynasty league (I am the Kerimville Otters manager).

To give some context, it's a 24-team dynasty points league with 40-man MLB rosters and 30-man MiLB rosters so there's nothing on waivers, I'm in second place and have suffered a few injuries so needed a bat and Meneses had been decent with the way the points are weighted.

Joking aside, Meneses has done enough that if you were rostering him and were thinking about moving on, you'll now be holding. But don't hold for too long as if this is just a one-off series where he crushes the ball and reverts back to his struggling ways over the remainder of July, you won't want to be caught waiting for another big couple of games.

 

On the Hot Seat

Salvador Perez - C, Kansas City Royals - 97% rostered

As you know, I don't let a cold streak dictate whether someone should be dropped, especially if they're one of the top fantasy players. And there aren't enough reliable catchers in fantasy that I trust so someone like Perez certainly warrants a long leash.

That's why I'm not considering dropping him right now but this stretch of non-production is concerning and for more than just the usual reason.

At the end of June, Perez underwent a procedure on his left eye to help clear up some issues with his vision, something he had done previously in 2020 and 2022. The condition is 'central serous chorioretinopathy' which requires laser treatment to drain fluid from behind the eye.

It didn't do him any harm in 2022 as he homered twice in his first game back after the procedure and finished the year with 23 homers. Although Perez homered twice in his first game back following the eye procedure in 2022, it's been a completely different story this time around.

In nine games since then, Perez has hit .094/.194/.094 and he's struck out 33.3% of the time. Over the season so far, Perez has been good with a .245/.286/.435 line, 15 homers, 40 RBI, 36 runs and no stolen bases (80 games). That's left him ranked sixth at the catcher position.

I'm no medical professional and don't know if the eye issue hasn't been cleared up or if it's just coincidental that his cold streak has happened at this time, but Perez hit just .184/.225/.263 with a 35.0% K% in the ten games prior to the procedure.

Over the last 30 days, Perez is ranked as the 36th catcher on Yahoo!, which gives you an idea of how much he's struggled in recent weeks. He actually went up four places by not playing yesterday. His wOBA over the last 50, 100 and 250 plate appearances is a good visual indicator of this.

Perez has always had a low walk rate so his 3.6% BB% is unlikely related to his struggles and his 24.7% K% is similar to what he's had in the previous three seasons combined (24.3% K%).

And we are talking about small samples which is why I'm not looking at doing anything like dropping Perez any time soon. But he's certainly someone I want to monitor following the All-Star Break. If we reach the end of July and he's still slumping badly, then we can start to panic a little bit.

It's unlikely there'd be any catcher on waivers that you'd want to drop Perez for at any point considering what he can do and what we've seen him do over the years. But that's not to say we shouldn't be worried if his cold streak becomes a down season.

If we reach August and you're in 'win-now' mode or chasing to make up ground in your leagues, running with the hot hand at catcher and playing matchups might not be such a bad idea. At some point, Perez might not be one of the undroppable catchers anymore.

 

Reddit Requests

As in previous years, we're keen to hear who you want us to analyze. If there is anyone who you want to include here on next week's Cut List, drop their names on the Reddit thread and there's a good chance they will feature. Alternatively, you can reach out to me on Twitter (@Baseball_Jimbo) and we'll ensure to cover at least three requests each week.

Max Muncy - 2B/3B, Los Angeles Dodgers - 93% rostered

Similarly to Cron, I didn't want to include Muncy given he's only just back from an IL stint but his name was probably the most popular on the Reddit thread last week and I like to give the people what they want. So I'm including him this week.

Muncy missed a couple of weeks with a hamstring strain and his numbers before the injury (.191/.323/.474) aren't too dissimilar to his numbers since returning on June 27 (.231/.375/.487). But they have certainly improved to what we'd like to see from Muncy the rest of this season.

Over the course of the season, Muncy is hitting .198/.331/.476 with 21 homers, 53 RBI, 47 runs and one stolen base (72 games). That's a 162-game pace of 47 homers, 119 RBI, 106 runs and two stolen bases. That would put Muncy inside the top-100 players for next season with only the batting average stopping him from ranking even higher.

Despite missing two weeks and a sub-.200 batting average, Muncy is still ranked 116th overall on Yahoo!, 13th at second base and 15th at third base. It's the individual categories where Muncy really provides his value.

The below table shows where Muncy ranks across the five main scoring categories overall and the two individual positions he's eligible for. The batting average was ranked among players with at least 200 plate appearances.

Ranking HR RBI R SB AVG
Overall T-11th T-28th T-44th T-265th T-237th
Second base 3rd 5th T-7th T-72nd 32nd
Third base 1st T-7th T-10th T-58th 33rd

There's no getting away from the fact Muncy's batting average is detrimental to his fantasy value. And with 12 stolen bases in his previous seven seasons in the Majors, you weren't drafting him for the speed. The batting average is the issue.

There is some good news on that front, however. Muncy has a .192 BABIP which is the lowest among all 151 qualified hitters. Someone who strikes out a lot and makes less contact than most will have a lower BABIP but over the previous three seasons, Muncy had a .218 AVG and .236 BABIP.

Muncy's 27.4% K% is a career-high since his 2015 debut, but you'd still expect better results than he has so far. And Muncy's expected numbers tell a similar story, with a .226 xBA. If his batting average does get up to ~.220, that can make a significant difference to his fantasy value.

As long as Muncy is hitting homers, driving in runs and scoring them, he'll retain fantasy value. In OBP leagues or points leagues, he becomes even more valuable and isn't someone I'd be considering dropping in any format right now.

Starling Marte - OF, New York Mets - 85% rostered

Marte's fantasy value has always been through his stolen bases and batting average. That generally had led to hitting in the top part of the batting order no matter where he's been. After a slow start this year, Marte was bumped down from the number two spot to (normally) sixth in the order.

That's the key indicator as to how much Marte was struggling earlier in the season. After thirty games, he had one homer, eight RBI, 11 runs and nine stolen bases with a .213/.292/.278 slash line. That's when the change came and Marte was shifted down the lineup.

Following the move, Marte went on to hit .300/.336/.382 with two homers, 10 RBI, 16 runs and 10 steals in 31 games. Marte then moved up the order again to number two for 14 games and hit .237/.274/.322. He's moved back down the order this week and has gone 7-for-24.

For whatever reason, it seems as though Marte is performing considerably better when he's hitting lower down the order than when he's hitting second. From a fantasy standpoint, it'd be much better if he could perform better as the number two hitter but we'll have to make do.

If we look at Marte's rolling average, it gives us a visual of how he's peaked and slumped which has seemingly coincided with his position in the batting order.

Overall on the season, Marte has a .217/.282/.283 line hitting second (182 plate appearances) and a .304/.344/.409 slash line hitting sixth (123 plate appearances). All in all, Marte is hitting .256/.309/.336 with five homers, 28 RBI, 37 runs and 23 stolen bases (82 games) this year.

According to Yahoo!, Marte ranks 145th overall and 45th among outfielders. That alone has made him rosterable in pretty much any league size and any number of starting outfielders in your lineups.

The fact he's sixth overall in stolen bases makes Marte a valuable commodity in itself so certainly isn't someone I'm looking at dropping, even if the RBI and run totals are uninspiring.

And there's some more good news for Marte's fantasy managers. He's got pretty decent expected numbers compared to his actual line. Marte's .273 xBA is in the 81st percentile and is nearly identical to last year's .276 xBA when he hit .292.

Marte also has a .421 xSLG and is the ninth biggest difference between his actual SLG among the 268 qualified hitters according to Statcast. It shouldn't come as a surprise if Marte performs better after the All-Star Break and performs more like the Marte we expected when we drafted him.

Lars Nootbaar - OF, St Louis Cardinals - 46% rostered

A popular sleeper pick in fantasy drafts this year, but like the Cardinals, Nootbaar has failed to meet expectations. After 59 games, Nootbaar has a .260/.361/.381 slash line, five homers, 25 RBI, 36 runs and five stolen bases.

Nootbaar is a prime example of why I say you shouldn't just look at a player's Statcast Profile and use it as the be-all-and-end-all of someone's production and fantasy value. Nootbaar's looks like it could belong to someone in the top 50 hitters this year.

Although not counted in standard leagues, part of Nootbaar's appeal was his excellent walk rate (13.8% BB%) which, when coupled with his good speed, makes Nootbaar a perfect leadoff candidate.

And Nootbaar has hit first in 32 games this year. But he's also started in every position in the lineup except fourth, fifth and sixth. That's really symbolic of how bad the Cardinals have been and seemingly don't know what their best lineup is or how to turn their season around.

Nootbaar has been a regular in the Cardinals lineup and generally has been hitting in the top three spots when they face a right-handed pitcher (RHP) but usually drops down to the number nine spot against LHP.

Given he has a .274/.367/.427 slash line against righties (192 PA) and .216/.344/.235 against lefties (61 PA), that makes sense. Although the Cardinal's season hasn't been good, their offense has been the only positive, ranking 12th in runs scored (411). So, Nootbaar should still tally RBI and runs at a decent pace.

It's the power that has been lacking somewhat as after hitting 14 homers in 108 games last year, believing he can hit 20 over a full season wasn't expecting too much. Two IL stints have limited Nootbaar this year but if he can stay healthy now, Nootbaar can have a decent second half.

That's not to say he'll be a top-50 outfielder and should be rostered everywhere. But if you are a bit short on runs, Nootbaar is a perfect target for you and he won't harm your other stats either.

In shallower leagues, there are likely better options in the outfield than Nootbaar but I certainly think he can be the sort of player that deeper league managers like to just plug into the lineup and although they know he won't win them a league, Nootbaar won't tank their team either.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mason Rudolph17 mins ago

Will Levis Benched, Replaced By Mason Rudolph
Spencer Rattler36 mins ago

Jake Haener Benched, Replaced By Spencer Rattler
Dalton Kincaid38 mins ago

Active For Week 15
Josh Downs40 mins ago

Active Against Broncos
Ladd McConkey41 mins ago

Officially Active Sunday
Tommy DeVito44 mins ago

Ruled Out With A Concussion
Bucky Irving46 mins ago

Active Against Chargers
Jalen Hurts49 mins ago

Arrives To Stadium With Bandage On Broken Finger
Jaylen Waddle54 mins ago

Questionable To Return
Zach Ertz1 hour ago

Ruled Out With A Concussion
Marquise Brown3 hours ago

Could Make Season Debut In Week 16
Breece Hall4 hours ago

Active Against The Jaguars
Kenneth Walker III4 hours ago

Won't Play In Week 15
Tony Pollard4 hours ago

Officially Active Against Bengals
David Njoku4 hours ago

Out For Week 15
Ladd McConkey8 hours ago

Chargers Optimistic Ladd McConkey Can Play Sunday
Bucky Irving9 hours ago

Expected To Play In Week 15
Las Vegas Raiders15 hours ago

Maxx Crosby Confirms His Season Is Over
David Njoku16 hours ago

"A Game-Time Decision" For Week 15
Josh Downs16 hours ago

Likely To Play On Sunday
Tony Pollard16 hours ago

Expected To Play Versus Cincinnati
Jared McCain18 hours ago

Out Indefinitely
De'Anthony Melton18 hours ago

On The Move To Brooklyn
Dennis Schröder19 hours ago

Dennis Schroder Heading To Golden State
Tyler Toffoli20 hours ago

In Danger Of Missing Saturday's Game
SJ20 hours ago

Will Smith Back In Sharks Lineup Saturday
Dustin Wolf20 hours ago

Takes On Prolific Panthers Saturday
Andrei Kuzmenko20 hours ago

Will Not Play On Saturday
Jesús Luzardo20 hours ago

Cubs Showing Interest In Jesus Luzardo
Kevin Lankinen20 hours ago

Unavailable On Saturday
Elias Lindholm20 hours ago

Good To Go Saturday
Cam Fowler20 hours ago

Blues Pick Up Cam Fowler In Trade With Ducks
Jalen Johnson24 hours ago

Will Suit Up For Saturday's Game
Bogdan Bogdanovic24 hours ago

Playing Against Milwaukee
Trae Young1 day ago

Available On Saturday
Khris Middleton1 day ago

Active Versus Atlanta
Giannis Antetokounmpo1 day ago

Good To Go Against Atlanta
Kevin Huerter1 day ago

Suffers Another Shoulder Injury
1 day ago

Pistons Waiving Paul Reed
Paolo Banchero1 day ago

Spotted Shooting On Saturday
Nolan Arenado1 day ago

Astros Serious About Trading For Nolan Arenado
Jeffrey Springs1 day ago

A's Acquire Jeffrey Springs From Rays
Samuel Ersson1 day ago

Faces Wild On Saturday
Marc-Andre Fleury1 day ago

In Wild Net For Saturday's Matchup
Linus Ullmark1 day ago

Records 10th Career Shutout
Nick Jensen1 day ago

Continues Prolific Month In Friday's Win
Shane Pinto1 day ago

Ends Dry Spell With Two-Goal Effort
Evan Bouchard1 day ago

A Game-Time Call On Saturday
Donovan Clingan2 days ago

Returning On Friday
Bradley Beal2 days ago

Downgraded To Out
Jamal Murray2 days ago

Upgraded To Available
Christian Braun2 days ago

To Play On Friday
Aaron Gordon2 days ago

Available On Friday
Joel Embiid2 days ago

Won't Return On Friday
Bradley Beal2 days ago

Now Questionable Versus Utah
LeBron James2 days ago

JJ Reddick Doesn't Know When LeBron James Will Return
Anthony Davis2 days ago

Available Against Minnesota
Austin Reaves2 days ago

Upgraded To Available On Friday
Christian Walker2 days ago

Seattle Would "Love" To Sign Christian Walker
Carson Kelly2 days ago

Agrees To Two-Year Contract With Cubs
Houston Astros2 days ago

Cam Smith Traded To Houston
Hayden Wesneski2 days ago

Shipped To Houston
Alec Martinez2 days ago

Added To Injured Reserve
Anthony Stolarz2 days ago

Day-To-Day With A Lower-Body Injury
K'Andre Miller2 days ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Dan Vladar2 days ago

Considered Day-To-Day
Cam Talbot2 days ago

Re-Aggravates Lower-Body Injury
Matt Dumba2 days ago

To Remain Out On Saturday
Linus Ullmark2 days ago

Seeks Fourth Straight Win Friday
Isaac Paredes2 days ago

Shipped To Houston
Kyle Tucker2 days ago

Cubs Acquire Kyle Tucker From The Astros
Kyle Tucker2 days ago

Cubs Close To Acquiring Kyle Tucker From The Astros
Nestor Cortes2 days ago

Traded To The Brewers
Adrian Yanez2 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Tampa
Daniel Marcos2 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated At UFC Tampa
Vitor Petrino2 days ago

Looks To Return To Win Column At UFC Tampa
Dustin Jacoby2 days ago

A Big Underdog At UFC Tampa
Cub Swanson2 days ago

Searching For 30th Career Win At UFC Tampa
Billy Quarantillo2 days ago

Faces A Legend At UFC Tampa
Devin Williams2 days ago

Traded To The Yankees
Joaquin Buckley2 days ago

Looks For His Sixth Win In A Row
Colby Covington2 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Bruno Silva2 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Manel Kape2 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Tampa
Tuco Tokkos2 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win
Navajo Stirling2 days ago

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Kevin Lankinen2 days ago

Frustrates Panthers With Shutout Performance
Kyle Bradish3 days ago

Begins Throwing Program
Nolan Arenado3 days ago

Would Approve Of Trade To The Bronx
Francisco Lindor3 days ago

Back Injury In The Rearview Mirror
Rafael Devers3 days ago

Red Sox Prepared To Keep Rafael Devers At Third Base
Cody Bellinger3 days ago

Yankees Targeting Cody Bellinger
Pete Alonso3 days ago

Mets Still Trying To Bring Back Pete Alonso
Corbin Burnes3 days ago

Giants The Favorites To Land Corbin Burnes
Brenton Doyle4 days ago

Rockies Plan To Hit Brenton Doyle At Leadoff
Mitch Keller4 days ago

Jared Jones, Mitch Keller Available For Trade
Alexandre Pantoja6 days ago

Gets Second-Round Win At UFC 310
Kai Asakura6 days ago

Submitted At UFC 310
Alexander Volkov6 days ago

Takes Split-Decision Loss

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Jordan Addison - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 15 Fantasy Football Projections: (Half-PPR) - Jordan Addison, Amari Cooper, Rico Dowdle, Isiah Pacheco, Jayden Reed, Sincere McCormick, Tank Dell

The fantasy football playoffs are slated to begin this week, so fantasy managers should use all available resources to nail their optimal lineups. Using our Week 15 fantasy football projections for the 2024 NFL season will help you understand where our rankings come from and see how players are expected to perform. Ahead of Week […]


Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Packers vs. Seahawks Sunday Night Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Jordan Love, Geno Smith, Josh Jacobs, Zach Charbonnet, Jayden Reed, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and more

With the fantasy football playoffs underway in the vast majority of leagues, we have an excellent matchup for Sunday Night Football between two of the league's most intriguing teams, as the Packers and Seahawks meet in an NFC clash. Both of these squads are fighting for NFC playoff berths. First-year Seattle head coach Mike Macdonald […]


Video: Fantasy Football Playoff Stashes and Streamers to Win Your League - Week 15, 16, and 17 Start 'Em Analysis

After fighting all season long, it is time for the fantasy football playoffs! Our YouTube team is bringing you sharp advice for the postseason. Check out our fantasy football playoff stashes and streamers that can help you win your league! NFL Network and RotoBaller contributor LaQuan Jones gives in-depth fantasy football advice, breaking down some […]


Drake London - NFL, Fantasy football rankings, waiver wire, dfs

Falcons vs. Raiders MNF Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Drake London, Sincere McCormick, Jakobi Meyers, Kyle Pitts, Kirk Cousins, Darnell Mooney, Brock Bowers

The last game of the all-important Week 15 fantasy football slate features two struggling squads from different conferences. Read our Monday Night Football matchups analysis article for the Falcons vs. Raiders game to help make any fantasy football lineup decisions for both season-long and DFS. Kirk Cousins and the Falcons have choked away the lead […]


Sam Darnold - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Bears vs. Vikings MNF Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Aaron Jones, D'Andre Swift, DJ Moore, T.J. Hockenson, Caleb Williams, Sam Darnold, Jordan Addison, more

The fantasy football playoffs are here, and it's never been more critical to set optimal lineups. Read our Monday Night Football matchups analysis article for the Bears vs. Vikings game to help make any fantasy football lineup decisions for both season-long and DFS. While this game is viewed as a mismatch, anything can happen on […]


David Njoku - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Injury Reports For Week 15 (Sunday Morning Updates): Breece Hall, Bucky Irving, Ladd McConkey, Josh Downs, David Njoku, and more

Heading into Week 15 of the NFL season, injuries continue to impact the upcoming schedule. These play a huge factor in start/sit decisions for fantasy managers. Our injury updates and reports for Week 15 as of Sunday, December 15, 2024, will give you the latest updates on key fantasy football players. The injury news for […]


Josh Allen - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL Week 15 Predictions: Picks and Analysis for Every Game

The NFL regular season is heading into the homestretch! Several divisional titles are still very much up for grabs as we kicked off Week 15 with a pivotal clash between the Rams and Niners and now move into a jampacked slate with exciting matchups. With every team in action, Week 15 includes two Monday Night […]


Zach Charbonnet - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

NFL DFS Lineup Picks For FanDuel, DraftKings - Packers vs Seahawks SNF Showdown (Week 15)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have a big Sunday Night Football matchup between two teams that could be seen as rivals over the last decade and a half. Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers (9-4) are heading west to take on Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks (8-5). Let’s see how this one plays out.   […]


Derrick Henry - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Week 15 Matchups Analysis

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to another start'em and sit'em piece as we look ahead to Week 15! This Week 15 matchups analysis and Start 'Em, Sit 'Em will help you make the right lineup decisions in the first round of the fantasy football playoffs.  It's wild to think we are already in Week 15 of the NFL season and […]


DeAndre Hopkins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Wide Receiver Matchups to Target in Week 15 - Adam Thielen, DeAndre Hopkins, DeMario Douglas, Rashod Bateman

Welcome to WR Matchups to Target for Week 15. Last week we landed two 2x multiplier picks but failed to secure any home run (3x DK salary multiplier) picks for only the third time this year. This week’s main slate is missing a handful of the highest floor receivers, giving way to pay up elsewhere […]


Jordan Love - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Landmines to Avoid for Week 15 - Jordan Love, Tyrone Tracy Jr., DeVonta Smith, and more

The fantasy playoffs are here, and congratulations -- you made it! With no byes left and managers facing a full roster, it’s all about optimizing matchups. The pressure is on, the stakes are sky-high, and the margin for error is low.  Managers may have relied on certain players to get them here, but the cold […]


Blake Corum - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

High-Upside Bench Stashes: Weekend Waiver Wire Adds for Week 15 Includes Blake Corum, Trey Benson, Kendre Miller, Cam Akers, Kimani Vidal, and more

Mastering the waiver wire is a crucial skill that can lead you to a fantasy football championship. It's not just about strategically placing your FAAB budget on specific players but also about knowing when to stash players. This dual strategy keeps you engaged and focused on your ultimate goal of winning a fantasy championship. As […]


DeVonta Smith - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 15 Fantasy Football Busts? Players Who May Disappoint Include Alvin Kamara, DeVonta Smith, Tyrone Tracy, Jayden Reed, Nick Chubb, Cade Otton

Welcome to the fantasy football playoffs! Week 15 of the fantasy football season has arrived, and the stakes are higher than ever. Whether you successfully navigated difficult matchups and injuries or lucked into drafting Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry in the first two rounds, you've made it to the dance and have a shot at […]