X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

The Cut List - Time to Let Go? Week 16

Salvador Perez - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Welcome back to The Cut List for Week 16. This is our weekly article looking at players who fantasy managers might be considering cutting from their teams and struggling players who need a closer look. We'll look at players who are worthy of a drop, players who are worth monitoring for replacing, and someone on the hot seat who is worth holding on to...for now.

We've made it to the All-Star Break which gives us a few days to pause, reflect and regroup before we push for fantasy glory. It'll also give us some time to ascertain what we need to do to finish the season strong, where our rosters need strengthening and who we should be looking at ousting.

Those of you experienced Cut List readers will know I'm a strong advocate for not making knee-jerk reactions. A bad week or two shouldn't be a reason to push the panic button and dump someone. As the year continues to progress, there will be different reasons and stronger cases to drop underperforming players. All stats and rostered rates (taken from Yahoo!) reflect when this piece was written.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Worth Dropping and Replacing?

MJ Melendez - C/OF, Kansas City Royals - 55% rostered

Melendez was an ideal draft target this year. A catcher-eligible player who will play almost every day in the outfield and has plenty of power is certainly someone I'd be targeting in drafts. But Melendez hasn't lived up to expectations.

After 83 games, Melendez has six homers, 31 RBI, 34 runs and four stolen bases along with a .208/.289/.337 slash line. That .337 SLG is 142nd among 151 qualified hitters and he ranks 19th among catchers on Yahoo!. Given Melendez ranks 567th overall, that's a testament to how bad the catcher position is.

Earlier this season, I had seven or eight catchers whom I considered as must roster at the position and Melendez was one of them. Largely, that was down to the fact he was set to be in the top-5 at the position for plate appearances and home runs. Whilst the first part is still true, the second is not.

In fact, there are 23 catcher-eligible players who have more home runs than Melendez so the promise of power has not materialized. He is also only ranked tied-16th for RBI and tied-12th for runs among catchers which, given he's fourth in at-bats, isn't great.

Why has Melendez struggled so much and why is there no hope for him moving forward? If we look at some numbers, we'll see why Melendez has had such a poor 2023 to this point. His 29.5% K% is up from 24.5% last year and ranks in the 11th percentile.

And while his 9.9% BB% is in the 70th percentile, it's also down on last year's (12.4%). The only thing Melendez has going for him is how hard he hits the ball. The problem is, when you make as little contact as Melendez does, the quality of the contact is less relevant.

Melendez's Statcast Profile encapsulates all of this. To really understand how little contact Melendez makes, of the 151 qualified hitters, his 69.8% contact rate of pitches in the zone (according to Statcast), ranks last.

What's frustrating is Melendez's 34.2% GB% (ground ball rate) is 16th lowest among the qualified hitters so it's not like he's hitting the ball into the ground a lot, yet his expected numbers are still poor. While his .399 xSLG is considerably better than his actual SLG, it's still below the league average.

The fact Melendez also has a .286 BABIP doesn't fill me with confidence that his numbers will get much better. I will acknowledge he has an xHR total of 9.1 so can be considered a bit unlucky in that regard, but given he plays in one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks, it's also not entirely surprising.

Then there is of course the issue of the Royals lineup, which ranks second-worst in the league for runs scored (333). That too was always going to negatively impact Melendez but few expected them to be as bad as they have been, barely any better than the much-maligned Athletics.

In truth, if Melendez was on most other teams, he likely would have been demoted by now making this all pretty irrelevant anyway.

Verdict: There are far too many negatives around Melendez right now to warrant rostering him. If you drafted him as an outfielder, he was someone you likely dropped some time ago and if he's your catcher, I'd probably be looking to move on and nab one of the better-performing options or roll with a hot hand. In two-catcher leagues and deep leagues, Melendez is still rosterable.

Kyle Gibson - SP, Baltimore Orioles - 41% rostered

I was slightly taken aback by the fact Gibson hasn't been featured on The Cut List this year and was over 40% rostered. In 18 starts, Gibson has an 8-6 W-L record, 4.73 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 78 Ks (102.2 IP).

He didn't get off to a bad start at all this year, posting a 3.89 ERA by the end of May (12 starts) but things have certainly gone downhill since then with a 6.84 ERA in his five June starts. Earlier this week, he allowed four runs on three hits and four walks against the Yankees (6.0 IP).

If we look at some of his underlying numbers, we'll be able to see that Gibson's early season form was a bit of a mirage and he's just experienced some natural regression. In his first 12 starts, Gibson had a 4.63 xFIP and 4.98 SIERA and in his last six starts, he's had a 4.49 xFIP and 4.38 SIERA.

If anything, Gibson has been better over the last few starts but his luck has run out and his ERA now sits about where you'd expect it to. He now ranks as the 186th starting pitcher on Yahoo!, which basically means his ERA and WHIP have negated the wins and strikeouts he's tallied.

Those rankings are slightly skewed by some relievers being SP eligible and many pitchers with single-digit innings ranking better than Gibson due to not harming your ratios. But if we look at where he ranks among the 79 pitchers with at least 80.0 IP, it doesn't make pretty viewing.

W ERA WHIP K AVG xFIP SIERA HardHit%
Stat 8 4.73 1.36 78 .264 4.59 4.78 43.8%
Ranking T-13th 67th T-60th 60th 63rd 63rd 69th T-63rd

Sometimes we forget in fantasy that it's an accumulation of stats so while Gibson's 17.8% K% is in the 18th percentile, he's topped 100.0 IP and the total strikeouts aren't too bad. And eight wins at this point of the season is good. But that recent regression has limited Gibson to one win in his last six starts (against the Royals).

The Orioles improved offense has been a key factor in Gibson's wins but their defense hasn't helped matters. The Orioles infield ranks 22nd in Outs Above Average (OAA) with -8 and the outfield has -3 OAA (tied-19th).

The problem for Gibson is he only has one above-average pitch in his arsenal; the sweeper. It is the only pitch of the six he throws that has a Stuff+ rating of over 100 (106) but it's also only his third-most-thrown pitch (17.4%).

His most used pitch is the sinker which has a .297 xBA against it and a .400 xwOBA. His sweeper has a .224 xBA and .271 xwOBA while also sporting a 47.8% Whiff%. The issue is teams can load up on left-handed hitters (LHH), take away the effectiveness of his sweeper and almost neutralize Gibson.

If we look at his splits below, that's certainly been a problem for Gibson.

Split TBF AVG OBP SLG wOBA K% BB%
Vs RHH 213 .253 .315 .379 .343 18.8% 7.5%
Vs LHH 224 .286 .347 .447 .343 17.0% 8.5%

The fact Gibson has thrown 290 sweepers this year with only 29 of them being against LHH just highlights the problem Gibson has against lefites in that he can't use his best pitch and needs to rely on below-average offerings.

Verdict: Gibson is a streaming option only and even then, I'd be reluctant to use him unless I'm in need of a win and his opponents don't have many lefties in their lineup. That's a very narrow set of opportunities to use Gibson which is why I don't believe he's worth rostering except in very deep leagues.

 

Hold For Now

Jon Gray - SP, Texas Rangers - 85% rostered

While the Rangers offense has taken all the plaudits in the first half, their pitching staff has gone rather unnoticed but has been no less important to their success so far. They have a collective 3.68 ERA from starting pitching this year (fourth best) despite the season-ending injury to Jacob deGrom which limited him to just six starts.

Gray has been a huge reason why, with a 6-5 W-L record, 3.29 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 75 Ks in 16 starts (93.0 IP). Unfortunately, things have been regressing lately and over his last four starts, Gray has allowed 15 earned runs in 19.1 IP (6.98 ERA).

Gray relies largely on his fastball and slider, with the fastball accounting for 43.4% of pitches thrown and his slider 25.9% of total pitches. The problem is, his fastball is not particularly good.

We can see from the below graphic how Gray doesn't deviate away much from his usual pitch mix from start to start, with the fastball generally dominating proceedings followed by his slider. Gray's changeup (13.3%), sweeper (11.0%) and curveball (6.4%) don't factor in too much.

You'll notice how Gray's sweeper hasn't been thrown since his May 08 start which is when his slider was first thrown so it seems as though that pitch has just been reclassified.

To show you why throwing the fastball as often as Gray does is not a good thing, below is a breakdown of his pitches. His sweeper/slider have been separated for the purpose of this exercise.

Pitch Usage xBA xSLG xwOBA Whiff% Stuff+
Fastball 43.3% .310 .511 .396 16.8% 81
Slider 25.9% .196 .263 .216 38.9% 121
Changeup 13.3% .240 .325 .272 23.5% 105
Sweeper 11.0% .189 .304 .256 31.1% N/a
Curveball 6.4% .346 .646 .446 20.0% 80

Among the 61 qualified starters who have thrown a fastball this year, Gray's 81 Stuff+ ranks it as the tied-43rd best. Not exactly a ringing endorsement and the results have shown.

The real worry is Gray is already throwing it less this year than he has in his career so the usage has been dropped and it's still too much. Unless Gray overhauls the fastball (which won't happen in-season) or drastically drops its usage (unlikely to happen), things probably won't get better.

And the recent struggles can ultimately be put down to natural regression. Despite having a 2.23 ERA in his first 12 starts, Gray also had a 4.29 xFIP and 4.27 SIERA. On the year, Gray now has a 4.49 xFIP and 4.61 SIERA so it's fair to assume we may see his ERA continue to climb nearer to 4.00.

That's not a given and Gray can still provide fantasy value if he keeps the ERA under 4.00 as long as the Rangers offense continues to excel and give him wins. If the regression does continue after the All-Star Break and Gray's ERA continues climbing the way it has recently, then fantasy managers have a decision to make.

In fact, I'd probably look at trading Gray during the All-Star Break, before his value does begin to drop further as it's difficult to find a way for him to get back to being a ~3.00 ERA over the remainder of the season.

C.J. Cron - 1B, Colorado Rockies - 64% rostered

I generally try to avoid covering players who are recently back from an injury as we should really give them some time to get back into the groove of things before we decide whether or not we want them on our rosters again.

And after missing six weeks with a back issue, Cron only returned to the Rockies on June 27. The good news is Cron has been very good since returning, hitting .333/.353/.455 in 10 games since his activation from the IL.

Before the injury, Cron was hitting just .228/.277/.426 in 36 games. Across the entire season so far, Cron has seven homers, 23 RBI, 24 runs and no stolen bases with a .249/.291/.432 slash line (46 games).

In truth, that's not too bad of a fantasy line as it's a 162-game pace of 25 homers, 81 RBI, 85 runs and no steals. Over the previous two seasons, Cron has averaged 28.5 homers, 97 RBI, 74.5 runs and 0.5 steals with a .268 batting average (146 games). So this year wouldn't be far off those numbers.

Cron still possesses prodigious power with his 114.5 MPH maximum exit velocity in the 94th percentile and he's hit the fifth-longest home run of the year so far (479 feet). That's after hitting the furthest home run last year (504 feet).

Given Cron's injury layoff, we have a smaller sample to look at this year than most other players but it's still promising that his expected numbers are better than his actual numbers. Cron has a .270 xBA, .497 xSLG and .348 xwOBA (.307 wOBA).

And in a surprising quirk, five of his seven home runs have come on the road. In his previous two seasons with the Rockies, Cron hit 41 home runs at home and 16 on the road so again, this is a small sample that may alter as the season goes on but it's good to see Cron hit home runs on the road more freely.

There's a chance Cron's back issues were impacting him before he went on the IL as players do tend to try and play through things until they physically can't. So if he was suffering with his back a bit in the early going, it may account for the struggles.

Between the back issue being a possible cause of the struggles, how well he's hit since returning from the IL and the expected numbers, I'm optimistic that Cron can perform as we've seen over the last two seasons.

But as mentioned, this is a small sample, especially since his return from injury less than two weeks ago. So let's give Cron more time, see how things play out and providing he doesn't struggle badly or experience a reoccurrence of his back issue, Cron should be rostered with confidence.

Bobby Miller - SP, Los Angeles Dodgers - 63% rostered

Stop me if you've heard this, but Miller got off to a blistering start following his call-up to the Majors, with a 0.78 ERA over his first four starts (23.0 IP). Miller's next four starts saw him yield 20 earned runs in 21.0 IP.

The usual question has arisen; what is the real version of Miller? Well, no one expected him to have a sub-1.00 ERA for long and if we look at his eight starts individually, there's only been two really bad outings.

The below chart shows the ERA, FIP and xFIP from each of Miller's eight starts.

The chart clearly shows how Miller was outperforming his underlying numbers in the first four starts but has now regressed beyond the mean so hopefully we've had Miller's worst starts of the season and can move forward with more optimism.

Miller's numbers aren't bad at all, with a 5-1 W-L record, 4.50 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 42 Ks (44.0 IP). Given his Minor League numbers, we can hope for more strikeouts as Miller had 227 Ks in 183.0 IP. And with a 3.95 xFIP and 4.15 SIERA, as we've mentioned, his ERA should come back towards 4.00.

And there isn't a whole lot more to say about Miller. He's not the second coming of Sandy Koufax nor is he just some scrub. Miller is a good starting pitcher who I believe can be a top-30 option in the coming years.

Miller's got a slider that is ideal to put away RHH (with a 31.0% Whiff%) and a changeup that does the same to LHH (40.8% Whiff%) while his curveball can be effective against both (34.4% Whiff%).

The only letdown in Miller's arsenal is his sinker, which is also his most-used pitch (31.9%). That's the only pitch that doesn't have a Stuff+ rating of at least 100, rated at 97. It also has the highest xBA (.279), xSLG (.435) and xwOBA (.358) of his five pitches.

Maybe, if Miller can cut down on the sinker usage, we can see a pitcher with an ERA nearer 3.20 but for now, Miller is someone I anticipate having a ~4.00 ERA with plenty of wins and decent strikeouts this year. That's enough to keep him rostered in most leagues.

If Miller runs into more trouble after the All-Star Break and the ERA starts to move above 5.00 for a few games, then we will need to seriously consider pulling the plug in most leagues. In dynasty leagues, Miller is a must-hold regardless of how things pan out this year.

Joey Meneses - 1B/OF, Washington Nationals - 47% rostered

You may wonder why we have four players in the "Hold For Now" section and only two in the "Worth Dropping And Replacing" portion of The Cut List. Well, Meneses has flipped a switch and become the hitter we all wanted him to be this year.

Meneses entered Friday's game against the Rangers with only two homers. He's now homered three times in the last two games bringing his season line to five homers, 45 RBI, 33 runs and no steals with a .284/.326/.396 slash line (82 games).

Before Friday, Meneses ranked as the 312th overall player on Yahoo!, 30th at first base and 79th at outfield. Now, he ranks 26th among first basemen, 65th among outfielders and 235th overall.

On that basis alone, Meneses is a borderline rosterable player and is the reason I was ok with dropping him in shallow leagues (but still holding in deeper leagues). And my mantra of not making a decision based on a few games works both ways. But......

Meneses had a solid batting average and despite playing on a pretty weak offense, he was still hitting cleanup so had plenty of opportunities to provide value in the RBI and runs categories too. Only the power was really lacking.

Fantasy managers still remember his 13 home runs in 56 games last year and while that can be in part contributed to a flukey small sample, if he did it before, he can do it again, can't he? Would you bet against him homering again tonight and have a hot streak after the All-Star Break?

Of course, Meneses could come out of the few days off and struggle, going the rest of July without hitting a homer. In which case, he does re-enter the realms of droppable again. But I'm also loathe to drop someone who has had a big few games as if anything, their trade value has increased and you may be able to move him.

If we compare some of his numbers to last year, we can see that although there's been regression, it's been more significant than anticipated over the entire 2023 campaign so far.

Year PA xBA xSLG xwOBA K% BB% Barrel% HardHit%
2022 240 .267 .457 .332 21.7% 6.3% 9.9% 47.1%
2023 353 .241 .344 .310 19.8% 5.9% 5.8% 43.4%

Before Friday, only Tim Anderson was on a longer streak of plate appearances without a home run which should give you an idea of how badly Meneses had been struggling. After ending May with a .300 batting average, he only hit .237 from June 01 up until Friday.

As mentioned, he's hardly helped by playing for the Nationals. The team from the nation's capital ranks 26th in runs scored (266) so Meneses being on pace for ~80 RBI and ~60 runs is probably par for the course.

Overall, Meneses was a borderline player in standard leagues and I'm not going to completely change course because of a couple of big games. But I will take credit for his recent surge in power as prior to Friday's games, I made the below trade in a dynasty league (I am the Kerimville Otters manager).

To give some context, it's a 24-team dynasty points league with 40-man MLB rosters and 30-man MiLB rosters so there's nothing on waivers, I'm in second place and have suffered a few injuries so needed a bat and Meneses had been decent with the way the points are weighted.

Joking aside, Meneses has done enough that if you were rostering him and were thinking about moving on, you'll now be holding. But don't hold for too long as if this is just a one-off series where he crushes the ball and reverts back to his struggling ways over the remainder of July, you won't want to be caught waiting for another big couple of games.

 

On the Hot Seat

Salvador Perez - C, Kansas City Royals - 97% rostered

As you know, I don't let a cold streak dictate whether someone should be dropped, especially if they're one of the top fantasy players. And there aren't enough reliable catchers in fantasy that I trust so someone like Perez certainly warrants a long leash.

That's why I'm not considering dropping him right now but this stretch of non-production is concerning and for more than just the usual reason.

At the end of June, Perez underwent a procedure on his left eye to help clear up some issues with his vision, something he had done previously in 2020 and 2022. The condition is 'central serous chorioretinopathy' which requires laser treatment to drain fluid from behind the eye.

It didn't do him any harm in 2022 as he homered twice in his first game back after the procedure and finished the year with 23 homers. Although Perez homered twice in his first game back following the eye procedure in 2022, it's been a completely different story this time around.

In nine games since then, Perez has hit .094/.194/.094 and he's struck out 33.3% of the time. Over the season so far, Perez has been good with a .245/.286/.435 line, 15 homers, 40 RBI, 36 runs and no stolen bases (80 games). That's left him ranked sixth at the catcher position.

I'm no medical professional and don't know if the eye issue hasn't been cleared up or if it's just coincidental that his cold streak has happened at this time, but Perez hit just .184/.225/.263 with a 35.0% K% in the ten games prior to the procedure.

Over the last 30 days, Perez is ranked as the 36th catcher on Yahoo!, which gives you an idea of how much he's struggled in recent weeks. He actually went up four places by not playing yesterday. His wOBA over the last 50, 100 and 250 plate appearances is a good visual indicator of this.

Perez has always had a low walk rate so his 3.6% BB% is unlikely related to his struggles and his 24.7% K% is similar to what he's had in the previous three seasons combined (24.3% K%).

And we are talking about small samples which is why I'm not looking at doing anything like dropping Perez any time soon. But he's certainly someone I want to monitor following the All-Star Break. If we reach the end of July and he's still slumping badly, then we can start to panic a little bit.

It's unlikely there'd be any catcher on waivers that you'd want to drop Perez for at any point considering what he can do and what we've seen him do over the years. But that's not to say we shouldn't be worried if his cold streak becomes a down season.

If we reach August and you're in 'win-now' mode or chasing to make up ground in your leagues, running with the hot hand at catcher and playing matchups might not be such a bad idea. At some point, Perez might not be one of the undroppable catchers anymore.

 

Reddit Requests

As in previous years, we're keen to hear who you want us to analyze. If there is anyone who you want to include here on next week's Cut List, drop their names on the Reddit thread and there's a good chance they will feature. Alternatively, you can reach out to me on Twitter (@Baseball_Jimbo) and we'll ensure to cover at least three requests each week.

Max Muncy - 2B/3B, Los Angeles Dodgers - 93% rostered

Similarly to Cron, I didn't want to include Muncy given he's only just back from an IL stint but his name was probably the most popular on the Reddit thread last week and I like to give the people what they want. So I'm including him this week.

Muncy missed a couple of weeks with a hamstring strain and his numbers before the injury (.191/.323/.474) aren't too dissimilar to his numbers since returning on June 27 (.231/.375/.487). But they have certainly improved to what we'd like to see from Muncy the rest of this season.

Over the course of the season, Muncy is hitting .198/.331/.476 with 21 homers, 53 RBI, 47 runs and one stolen base (72 games). That's a 162-game pace of 47 homers, 119 RBI, 106 runs and two stolen bases. That would put Muncy inside the top-100 players for next season with only the batting average stopping him from ranking even higher.

Despite missing two weeks and a sub-.200 batting average, Muncy is still ranked 116th overall on Yahoo!, 13th at second base and 15th at third base. It's the individual categories where Muncy really provides his value.

The below table shows where Muncy ranks across the five main scoring categories overall and the two individual positions he's eligible for. The batting average was ranked among players with at least 200 plate appearances.

Ranking HR RBI R SB AVG
Overall T-11th T-28th T-44th T-265th T-237th
Second base 3rd 5th T-7th T-72nd 32nd
Third base 1st T-7th T-10th T-58th 33rd

There's no getting away from the fact Muncy's batting average is detrimental to his fantasy value. And with 12 stolen bases in his previous seven seasons in the Majors, you weren't drafting him for the speed. The batting average is the issue.

There is some good news on that front, however. Muncy has a .192 BABIP which is the lowest among all 151 qualified hitters. Someone who strikes out a lot and makes less contact than most will have a lower BABIP but over the previous three seasons, Muncy had a .218 AVG and .236 BABIP.

Muncy's 27.4% K% is a career-high since his 2015 debut, but you'd still expect better results than he has so far. And Muncy's expected numbers tell a similar story, with a .226 xBA. If his batting average does get up to ~.220, that can make a significant difference to his fantasy value.

As long as Muncy is hitting homers, driving in runs and scoring them, he'll retain fantasy value. In OBP leagues or points leagues, he becomes even more valuable and isn't someone I'd be considering dropping in any format right now.

Starling Marte - OF, New York Mets - 85% rostered

Marte's fantasy value has always been through his stolen bases and batting average. That generally had led to hitting in the top part of the batting order no matter where he's been. After a slow start this year, Marte was bumped down from the number two spot to (normally) sixth in the order.

That's the key indicator as to how much Marte was struggling earlier in the season. After thirty games, he had one homer, eight RBI, 11 runs and nine stolen bases with a .213/.292/.278 slash line. That's when the change came and Marte was shifted down the lineup.

Following the move, Marte went on to hit .300/.336/.382 with two homers, 10 RBI, 16 runs and 10 steals in 31 games. Marte then moved up the order again to number two for 14 games and hit .237/.274/.322. He's moved back down the order this week and has gone 7-for-24.

For whatever reason, it seems as though Marte is performing considerably better when he's hitting lower down the order than when he's hitting second. From a fantasy standpoint, it'd be much better if he could perform better as the number two hitter but we'll have to make do.

If we look at Marte's rolling average, it gives us a visual of how he's peaked and slumped which has seemingly coincided with his position in the batting order.

Overall on the season, Marte has a .217/.282/.283 line hitting second (182 plate appearances) and a .304/.344/.409 slash line hitting sixth (123 plate appearances). All in all, Marte is hitting .256/.309/.336 with five homers, 28 RBI, 37 runs and 23 stolen bases (82 games) this year.

According to Yahoo!, Marte ranks 145th overall and 45th among outfielders. That alone has made him rosterable in pretty much any league size and any number of starting outfielders in your lineups.

The fact he's sixth overall in stolen bases makes Marte a valuable commodity in itself so certainly isn't someone I'm looking at dropping, even if the RBI and run totals are uninspiring.

And there's some more good news for Marte's fantasy managers. He's got pretty decent expected numbers compared to his actual line. Marte's .273 xBA is in the 81st percentile and is nearly identical to last year's .276 xBA when he hit .292.

Marte also has a .421 xSLG and is the ninth biggest difference between his actual SLG among the 268 qualified hitters according to Statcast. It shouldn't come as a surprise if Marte performs better after the All-Star Break and performs more like the Marte we expected when we drafted him.

Lars Nootbaar - OF, St Louis Cardinals - 46% rostered

A popular sleeper pick in fantasy drafts this year, but like the Cardinals, Nootbaar has failed to meet expectations. After 59 games, Nootbaar has a .260/.361/.381 slash line, five homers, 25 RBI, 36 runs and five stolen bases.

Nootbaar is a prime example of why I say you shouldn't just look at a player's Statcast Profile and use it as the be-all-and-end-all of someone's production and fantasy value. Nootbaar's looks like it could belong to someone in the top 50 hitters this year.

Although not counted in standard leagues, part of Nootbaar's appeal was his excellent walk rate (13.8% BB%) which, when coupled with his good speed, makes Nootbaar a perfect leadoff candidate.

And Nootbaar has hit first in 32 games this year. But he's also started in every position in the lineup except fourth, fifth and sixth. That's really symbolic of how bad the Cardinals have been and seemingly don't know what their best lineup is or how to turn their season around.

Nootbaar has been a regular in the Cardinals lineup and generally has been hitting in the top three spots when they face a right-handed pitcher (RHP) but usually drops down to the number nine spot against LHP.

Given he has a .274/.367/.427 slash line against righties (192 PA) and .216/.344/.235 against lefties (61 PA), that makes sense. Although the Cardinal's season hasn't been good, their offense has been the only positive, ranking 12th in runs scored (411). So, Nootbaar should still tally RBI and runs at a decent pace.

It's the power that has been lacking somewhat as after hitting 14 homers in 108 games last year, believing he can hit 20 over a full season wasn't expecting too much. Two IL stints have limited Nootbaar this year but if he can stay healthy now, Nootbaar can have a decent second half.

That's not to say he'll be a top-50 outfielder and should be rostered everywhere. But if you are a bit short on runs, Nootbaar is a perfect target for you and he won't harm your other stats either.

In shallower leagues, there are likely better options in the outfield than Nootbaar but I certainly think he can be the sort of player that deeper league managers like to just plug into the lineup and although they know he won't win them a league, Nootbaar won't tank their team either.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

New York Jets41 mins ago

D.J. Reed Expected To Test The Open Market
Kaleb Ort46 mins ago

Dealing With Oblique Injury
Miami Dolphins49 mins ago

Jevon Holland Unlikely To Receive Franchise Tag
Justin Turner54 mins ago

Cubs Sign Justin Turner
NFL56 mins ago

Cam Ward Undecided If He'll Throw At Scouting Combine
Jared Goff1 hour ago

Lions Offense To Remain "Predicated" On Jared Goff
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1 hour ago

Unable To Reach Contract Extension With Toronto
Carlos Santana1 hour ago

Expected To Have Everyday Role
Max Kepler2 hours ago

Faces Live Pitching
Adam Ottavino2 hours ago

Signs Minor-League Deal With Boston
MLB10 hours ago

Rintaro Sasaki Begins Freshman Season At Stanford
Jordan Beck10 hours ago

The Leading Candidate For Right Field Job
Kevin Gausman11 hours ago

Adds Some Offseason Weight With Eyes On September
Hyeseong Kim11 hours ago

Impressing Early On In Spring Training
New Orleans Saints11 hours ago

Saints Interview Jemal Singleton For Offensive-Coordinator Job
Baltimore Ravens11 hours ago

Ben Cleveland Arrested For DUI
Brandon McManus11 hours ago

Packers Likely To Re-Sign Brandon McManus
Green Bay Packers11 hours ago

Packers Expected To Release Jaire Alexander
Cleveland Browns11 hours ago

Browns To Offer Myles Garrett A Mega-Extension?
Dallas Cowboys12 hours ago

Cowboys Could Draft Ashton Jeanty
Dallas Cowboys12 hours ago

Cowboys Unlikely To Go After Myles Garrett
Gardner Minshew II12 hours ago

Won't Be In Raiders Plans
Aaron Rodgers12 hours ago

Plans To Play In 2025
Matthew Stafford12 hours ago

Not Guaranteed To Return With Rams
Chris Godwin13 hours ago

"No Chance" Buccaneers Use Franchise Tag On Chris Godwin
New York Jets13 hours ago

Jets To Target Jaxson Dart In NFL Draft?
Garrett Wilson13 hours ago

More Likely To Return In 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars13 hours ago

Jaguars Down To Five Finalists For GM Job
John Wolford13 hours ago

Jaguars Sign John Wolford, Louis Rees-Zammit To Active Roster
Trevor Lawrence13 hours ago

Steelers Never Called About Trevor Lawrence
Evan Carter13 hours ago

Rangers To Monitor Evan Carter Throughout The Season
Nick Pratto14 hours ago

To Get Outfield Reps This Spring
Chris Flexen14 hours ago

Cubs Add Chris Flexen On Minor-League Deal
Geraldo Perdomo14 hours ago

Diamondbacks Agree To Four-Year Extension
Colt Keith15 hours ago

Making Swing Adjustments
Adam Macko15 hours ago

Suffers Meniscus Tear In Left Knee
Kyle Bradish16 hours ago

Throwing On Flat Ground, Feels Good
Yuli Gurriel16 hours ago

Finalizing Deal With San Diego
Kenta Maeda16 hours ago

Could Earn Starting Role
Josh Sborz16 hours ago

Placed On 60-Day Injured List
Owen White16 hours ago

White Sox Claim Owen White Off Waivers From Yankees
Nathan MacKinnon17 hours ago

Pots Two Goals In Monday's Win
Sam Reinhart17 hours ago

Dishes Out Three Assists Against Finland
Lucas Raymond17 hours ago

Tries To Extend Point Streak Against USA
William Byron17 hours ago

Trusts His Instinct To Win Second Straight Daytona 500
Jake Guentzel17 hours ago

Looks To Extend Multi-Point Streak Monday
Jimmie Johnson17 hours ago

Has Unexpected Emotions After Podium Finish At Daytona 500
Jake Oettinger17 hours ago

Starts Against Sweden
John Hunter Nemechek17 hours ago

Gets First Career Top-Five Finish At Daytona 500
Jake Sanderson17 hours ago

Slots Into Team USA Lineup
Matthew Tkachuk18 hours ago

Ruled Out Monday
Gregory Rodrigues20 hours ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC Vegas 102
Tee Higgins20 hours ago

Expected To Be Franchise-Tagged
Erik Van Rooyen20 hours ago

Erik van Rooyen May Surprise At Vidanta Vallarta
Jared Cannonier20 hours ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
PGA20 hours ago

Matti Schmid Heads To Mexico To Round Out Rough Edges
Nazim Sadykhov20 hours ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
PGA20 hours ago

C.T. Pan One To Watch Out For In Mexico
Matt McCarty21 hours ago

Could Have Tough Time At Mexico Open
Ismael Bonfim21 hours ago

Suffers Fifth Career Loss At UFC Vegas 102
Thriston Lawrence21 hours ago

An Intriguing Long Shot At Vidanta Vallarta
Rodolfo Vieira21 hours ago

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 102
Beau Hossler21 hours ago

Underrated Heading To Mexico Open
Andre Petroski21 hours ago

Extends His Win Streak
Lanto Griffin22 hours ago

Seeking Ever-Elusive Consistency In Mexico
Frankie Capan22 hours ago

III Trying To Improve Form In Mexico
Stephen Curry23 hours ago

Named All-Star Game MVP
Ryan Blaney24 hours ago

Strong Daytona 500 Performance Falls Short Of Victory
Kyle Larson24 hours ago

Continues To Struggle At Daytona After Underwhelming Result
Chase Briscoe24 hours ago

Scores First Top-Five Finish With Joe Gibbs Racing At Daytona 500
Tyler Reddick24 hours ago

Quietly Finishes The Daytona 500 As The Runner-Up
Ross Chastain24 hours ago

Daytona 500 Effort Ends In An Early Crash
Adam Wilsby1 day ago

Signs Two-Year Extension With Nashville
Filip Gustavsson1 day ago

Feeling Better, Expected To Be Available On Monday
Kevin Lankinen1 day ago

Starting On Monday
Cale Makar1 day ago

Viewed As Game-Time Call
Matthew Tkachuk1 day ago

Being Evaluated
Connor Matthews1 day ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 102
Jose Delgado1 day ago

Gets Quick Win In Debut At UFC Vegas 102
Dylan Budka1 day ago

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss At UFC Vegas 102
Edmen Shahbazyan1 day ago

Gets Knockout Win At UFC Vegas 102
Calvin Kattar1 day ago

Suffers Fourth Straight Loss At UFC Vegas 102
Youssef Zalal1 day ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Vegas 102
Denny Hamlin1 day ago

Fights For The Win But Gets Eliminated In Last-Lap Crash
Austin Cindric1 day ago

Has Best Run At Daytona 500 Until Last-Lap Crash
Justin Allgaier1 day ago

Earns First Top-10 Finish Since 2015
Martin Truex Jr1 day ago

.'s Sour Luck Continues With Early Daytona 500 Crash
Helio Castroneves1 day ago

Eliminated From Daytona 500 In Crash With Teammate
Tyler Herro2 days ago

Wins Three-Point Contest
Donovan Mitchell2 days ago

Evan Mobley Win Skills Challenge
Mac McClung2 days ago

Wins Slam Dunk Contest
LeBron James2 days ago

Won't Play In All-Star Game
Joey Logano2 days ago

May Be A Favorite To Find The Front At Daytona, But What About For DFS?
Denny Hamlin2 days ago

Is Denny Hamlin Worth Rostering For Daytona Lineups?
Chase Elliott2 days ago

Could Chase Elliott Be Worth Rostering At Daytona This Week?
Ryan Blaney2 days ago

Should DFS Players Trust Ryan Blaney This Week At Daytona?
Alex Bowman2 days ago

Will Be One Of The Best DFS Plays Of The Week For Daytona
Brad Keselowski2 days ago

Is A DFS Lock For Daytona Lineups
Ross Chastain2 days ago

Has A Real Shot Of Winning But Should Be Avoided For DFS
Chris Buescher2 days ago

Undervalued For The Win At Daytona
Patrik Laine3 days ago

Collects Two Assists Saturday
Mikael Granlund3 days ago

Pots Overtime Winner Against Sweden
Filip Gustavsson3 days ago

Battling An Illness
Jordan Binnington3 days ago

Earns Another Start For Team Canada
Connor Hellebuyck3 days ago

Remains In Team USA Crease Saturday
Sam Bennett3 days ago

Enters Canada's Lineup On Saturday
Cale Makar3 days ago

A Game-Time Call Saturday
Sam Steel3 days ago

Signs Two-Year Extension
Thomas Harley3 days ago

Joining Team Canada
4 days ago

Kevin Knox II Expected To Sign 10-Day Contract
Damion Baugh4 days ago

Signs Two-Way Deal
4 days ago

Isaiah Wong Waived By Hornets
Jared Butler4 days ago

76ers Converting Jared Butler To Standard Contract
Gregory Rodrigues4 days ago

Searching For Fourth Consecutive UFC Win On Saturday
Yves Missi4 days ago

Suffers Hyperextended Knee On Thursday
Jared Cannonier4 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Nazim Sadykhov4 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Anthony Davis4 days ago

Sidelined For "At Least" Four Weeks
Ismael Bonfim4 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 102
Rodolfo Vieira4 days ago

Seeking Victory In Eighth UFC Appearance
Daniel Gafford4 days ago

Out At Least Six Weeks
Andre Petroski4 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Amir Coffey5 days ago

Ruled Out For Thursday
Brandon Ingram5 days ago

Expected To Miss At Least One More Month
Chet Holmgren5 days ago

Back In Action Thursday
Anthony Edwards5 days ago

Ready To Play Thursday
Nikola Jović5 days ago

Nikola Jovic Available Thursday
Duncan Robinson5 days ago

Good To Go Against Mavericks
Gary Payton II5 days ago

Out Against Rockets
Mike Conley5 days ago

Not Ready To Return Thursday
Rudy Gobert5 days ago

Out On Thursday
Connor Matthews5 days ago

Opens Up UFC Vegas 102 Main Card
Jose Delgado5 days ago

Makes Debut At UFC Vegas 102
Dylan Budka5 days ago

Searching For First UFC Win On Saturday
Gary Woodland6 days ago

In Great Form Heading Into Genesis Invitational
Cameron Young6 days ago

Is An Interesting Play At Torrey Pines
Akshay Bhatia6 days ago

A Strong Value Play At Genesis Invitational
Sahith Theegala6 days ago

Is Riding The Struggle Bus To Torrey Pines
Justin Rose6 days ago

Looks For Redemption At Torrey Pines
Wyndham Clark6 days ago

Searching For Consistency At Torrey Pines
Sam Stevens6 days ago

Aims To Repeat Success At Torrey Pines
Harris English6 days ago

Looking To Repeat At Torrey Pines
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Kirk Cousins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Backup Quarterbacks To Buy In Superflex Dynasty Fantasy Football Leagues

Superflex dynasty fantasy football leagues have become increasingly popular in recent years. Many gamers prefer them as they believe the importance of quarterbacks is on par with that of the NFL. While that holds, this means it’s important to roster several backup quarterbacks as well. Signal-callers go down every year, and you don’t want to […]


Rashid Shaheed - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Late-Round Values To Target In Dynasty Fantasy Football Start-Up Drafts

The most important part of every Dynasty fantasy football league is the startup draft. There's nothing more impactful that you can do to boost your team in the short term than nail your picks in the drafts. But as the rounds wear on, less and less obvious picks are present. By the late rounds, it […]


Ladd McConkey - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Top AFC West Players To Buy In Dynasty Fantasy Football Leagues

While the 2024 fantasy football season is in the rearview mirror, the grind never stops for dynasty players. However, now is the perfect time for fantasy players to look into trade options in their dynasty leagues. Let’s look at eight players from the AFC West that fantasy players should explore trading for this offseason.Be sure […]


Travis Hunter - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Draft Prospects, NFL Rookies

2025 Fantasy Football IDP Rookie Rankings (Pre-NFL Draft) -Abdul Carter, Jalon Walker, Mykel Williams, and more

We are only a few days removed from the Super Bowl, but rookie drafts are already underway, and the fantasy football landscape is, once again, being reshaped. As we get closer to the NFL Draft in Green Bay, understand that the market will change several times. It'll change after the combine, during free agency, and […]


Derrick Henry - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

The Running Back Age Cliff: When Should You Fade Aging Fantasy Football Veterans?

The NFL and other professional sports leagues are all centered around collecting the most genetically gifted and physically talented athletes and having them compete against each other. The mental aspect of the game is important as well, but without the raw physical ability, one simply cannot compete in the big leagues. For running backs, toughness, […]


Isiah Pacheco - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News

AFC Players To Sell In Dynasty Fantasy Football Leagues

While knowing which players to buy in dynasty fantasy football leagues is essential to success, it’s equally important to know which players to sell. You never want to get stuck “holding the bag” on players who seem to be heading down the wrong path. Surprisingly, many dynasty gamers stubbornly refuse to move off their prior […]


Tre Harris - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks, NFL Draft

Rookies to Target in Early 2025 Fantasy Football Best Ball Drafts

Best ball fantasy football formats are all about hunting for as much upside as possible. Drafting players who can produce explosive scoring games, like those in the 20 PPR point range or more, is massively important, especially in the later rounds. The uncertainty surrounding most NFL rookies and the constant whiffs by consensus opinions of […]


Rashee Rice - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL wr, Draft Sleepers

AFC Players To Buy In Dynasty Fantasy Football Leagues

The offseason is the most important time for dynasty fantasy football managers to improve their teams. This could mean acquiring a star player who might be coming off a down year or trading away a top dynasty asset for multiple first-round picks. Many of those decisions will come down to how your team is currently […]


Omarion Hampton - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

NFL Draft RB Prospect Comparisons: Which 2025 Rookies Resemble Today’s Fantasy Football Stars?

It’s no secret that the 2025 NFL Draft class of running backs projects to be one of the deepest in recent memory. There are a slew of talented young backs with successful college careers who will hope to hear their names called between April 24 and 26. After the Super Bowl season that Saquon Barkley […]


Dak Prescott - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFC Players To Sell In Dynasty Fantasy Football Leagues

There are always players other dynasty fantasy football managers may still have faith in. It's not always readily apparent which will be good buys and which ones you should sell, but that's what I'm here for. It can be hard to let go of players who have helped you win in the past. But you […]


Trevor Lawrence - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Early 2025 Fantasy Football Breakouts: Quarterback

With the Super Bowl in the rearview mirror, it is officially the 2025 fantasy football draft season. While the landscape across the league is subject to change significantly throughout free agency and the NFL Draft, it’s never too early to get a head start on prepping for your draft. While three of the usual suspects […]


Ladd McConkey - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Dynasty Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers From the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs

The NFL playoffs give fantasy football managers a unique chance to see how fantasy-relevant players perform in a higher-pressure situation than the regular season. Usually, performing well against higher-quality defenses, which often find their way into the postseason, can be revealing of a player's skill. It doesn't always give us a clear picture of how […]


Noah Gray - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Tight End Sleepers

Backup Tight Ends To Buy In Dynasty Fantasy Football Leagues

Any time a starting tight end goes down, their backup's stock immediately rises. Maybe you were like me last season, jumping to pick up Grant Calcaterra for the wrong game. I could have had him on my roster for free if I had grabbed him before Dallas Goedert got hurt. It is a tight end […]