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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 17th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Colts @ Texans
The Colts take on the Texans on Sunday, September 17th at NRG Stadium, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Indianapolis Colts (0-1) vs. Houston Texans (0-1)
- Date: Sunday, September 17th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: NRG Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Colts @ Texans
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Indianapolis Colts - NFL Betting Analysis
To kick off the season, the Colts faced off against theJaguars at home. However, they began with a 0-1 record after a 31-21 defeat. With their -10 point loss, the Colts also were handed a defeat on their ATS record. Going into the game, they were 3.5-point underdogs. The over hit in their most recent game, as the Jaguars and Colts combined for 52 points. The over/under line was 45.5.
In their matchup against the Jaguars, the Colts ran the ball 26 times, with Anthony Richardson emerging as the top rusher with 40 yards. In the passing game, Anthony Richardson finished with37 passes, resulting in 223 yards and a passer rating of 79. Michael Pittman Jr. was thrown to 11 times and made eight grabs for 97 yards and led the team in receiving yards.
The Colts' defense finished the game with two sacks and one interception. The team's secondary conceded 237 passing yards, while their rush defense allowed 105 rushing yards.
Houston Texans - NFL Betting Analysis
At the outset of the season, the Texans played a road game against the Ravens, but they fell short with a 25-9 loss. They're now at 0-1 going into week two. With their -16 point loss, the Texans also were handed a defeat on their ATS record. Going into the game, they were 9.5-point underdogs. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 43.5 points. By combining for 34 points, the under hit.
On offense, the Texans finished with 268 yards against the Ravens. When it came to third downs, the Texans had a 38.9% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Dameon Pierce with 38 yards, and C.J. Stroud contributed 242 passing yards. Leading the Texans in receiving yards was Nico Collins. Against the Ravens, Collins finished with 80 yards.
On the defensive side, the Texans allowed 265 yards of total offense to Baltimore. Among these yards, 110 were given up on the ground, while the team's secondary gave up 155 yards through 22 attempts.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Colts vs. Texans
The Texans are hoping to build off last year's success over the Colts as they went 1-0-1 in their head-to-head meetings. The two teams averaged a combined 51.5 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-1. Against the spread, the Texans went 1-0-1. In these head-to-head matchups, the Colts' offense averaged 457.5 yards per game compared to the Texans at 329.5.
- Across the Colts last ten road games, the team averaged 14 points per game while allowing 27. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-7, while going 2-7-1 straight-up.
- In their last three home games, Houston has averaged 20 points per game while allowing 23. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
- Looking back on the team's last five games as the underdog, the Texans have a straight up record 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
- The last ten games that Indianapolis was favored, they have an ATS mark of 2-8 while going 2-7-1 straight up.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Colts -1
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 40
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