RADIO
PRIMARY CB MATCHUP: Brandon Stephens (Baltimore Ravens)
PROJECTED FANTASY POINTS: 12.1
MATCHUP ANALYSIS: Pickens ranks 13th in expected fantasy points per game, accounting for a player's usage and role. He has been underperforming his expected fantasy numbers by over three points, with 11.7 PPR/G. Sign us up for a borderline WR1 facing one of the juiciest fantasy matchups for opposing receivers.
Brandon Stephens allows the 19th-most yards per route, with the 30th-most fantasy points per route run. The Ravens use two-high safeties 47 percent of the time (No. 10) yet allow the most fantasy points per dropback when using this coverage.
When you feed George Pickens: you can’t lose 😤 pic.twitter.com/SHbTtLFqaO
— Mr Unlimmmited (@chris_ferland) November 15, 2024
Pickens garners a 20 percent target rate with 2.08 yards per route and 0.49 expected fantasy points per route run compared to his actual 0.32 PPR per route against two high safety looks. Meanwhile, Pickens rocks a 32 percent target rate, 3.16 yards per route, and an even 0.60 expected and actual fantasy points per route run when facing single-high safety coverage.
The Ravens mix their pass coverage but use Cover 3 at the 14th-highest rate (31.1 percent). Cover 3 uses single high safety looks, and Pickens unsurprisingly crushes, evidenced by a 30 percent target rate and 3.66 yards per route run. Pickens' yards per route run against Cover 3 ranks him ninth among pass catchers with 10 or more targets.
It should be a spike week performance for Pickens in Week 11, with the potential for big-time fantasy points against the Ravens.
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