X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

Super Bowl Extravaganza - Prop Picks and Game Predictions

The Super Bowl is here, but did you know how it got its name? The first three Super Bowls were not called the Super Bowl, but rather the AFL-NFL World Championship Game. Per The Atlantic, "As the big game approaches we will once again be told that, as Wikipedia puts it, the name "Super Bowl" was "coined by [Kansas City Chiefs owner Lamar] Hunt, who took it in part from the then popular toy, the Super Ball. Hunt explained that "my own feeling is that it probably registered in my head because my daughter Sharron and my son Lamar Jr. had a children's toy called a Super Ball and I probably interchanged the phonetics of "bowl" and "ball." Now you have something to share at your Super Bowl party.

Speaking of the Super Bowl parties, it's a major reason I hate the Super Bowl. I'm a football degenerate, but now I'm forced to sit in a room, watching the biggest game, with people who have no idea what is going on. People cheering on meaningless plays and not understanding the basic concept of 1st-and-10. Some people watching the Super Bowl is the only football game they'll watch all season. And if your response is, "Well, why not watch it alone?" Because then I'm anti-social! But at least, Vegas gives you so many wild and crazy prop bets and that makes me happy.

My best advice would be to handicap the game in what you think will happen, and bet accordingly. If you expect a shootout, then go over on pass attempts and completions. If you expect a slugfest, then go under rushing yards, etc. I'm expecting a low-scoring first quarter following by pace picking up.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2024:

 

Super Bowl Picks - Game Props

If you're not sure how odds work (-110, +115), read this. It will explain everything*

Under 9.5 first quarter points (-110)

This is a stone cold lock. The Patriots have played in seven Super Bowls in the Brady/Belichick era, and have been outscored 15-0 in the first quarter combined. They have not scored a single first-quarter point in seven games. That is insane. When these teams played in 2004, the first quarter was scoreless.

The Patriots were fifth in the league with 5.3 first-quarter points. Their defense was eighth in football allowing 3.8. In the playoffs, they trailed 7-0 to the Titans and led the Jaguars 3-0.

The Eagles scored 6.3 first-quarter points, third in the league, but that was with Carson Wentz. That number dipped 2.3 through their last three. Their defense was fifth in the league allowing 3.3 They didn't score against the Falcons in the first and against the Vikings, scored seven thanks to a pick-six.

There is no way this goes over. Both these teams will be feeling each other out during the first. And this leads to my next prop.

Second quarter only: Patriots -1 and over 14

The Patriots were first this season with 11.5 second-quarter points. Their last three they've averaged 14. The defense allowed 6.2 through the season, but 4.7 their last three.

The Eagles were eighth with eight points, and 8.7 their last three. Their defense allowed 4.9, fourth in league, and 2.3 their last three.

In the Patriots seven Super Bowl since 2001, the average points scored in the second has been 17. They've never been shut out in the second quarter averaging 9.85 points.

Both teams will settle down after a low-scoring first.

Score in first 5.5 minutes of game? No (-140)

None of the seven Patriots Super Bowls has any team scored in the first 5.5 minutes of the game.

Will there be at least one scoreless quarter? Yes (+280)

Nearly 3-1 odds on this?!? Four of the seven Pats Super Bowls has had a scoreless first quarter.

At least one touchdown in each quarter? No (+140)

I'll continue following my handicap of an extremely-low scoring first quarter.

Patriots touchdown in first quarter? No (-110)

I think you understand my reasoning at this point.

Will last play of game be a quarterback rush? Yes (-150)

Both the Patriots playoff games have ended with a kneel. Same for the Eagles. None of the Eagles last five regular season games ended with a kneel. The Eagles began the season ending the game on a kneel, then their next two of three games did, followed by seven games with, and then none for the last five regular season games. The Pats season was split evenly, 8-8.

I just get the feeling this game will end on a kneel.

Shortest touchdown of game: under 1.5 yards (-140)

This has hit in seven of the last 10 NFL games.

 

Super Bowl Picks - Player Props

Will LeGarrette Blount score a touchdown? (+115)

He's scored a touchdown the past two playoff games, but only scored three on the year. I'll still take it because he's the Eagles goal-line back.

Jay Ajayi over 57.5 rushing yards (-110)

The Patriots are going to struggle to slow down Ajayi. Their middle linebackers are not good. Ajayi rushed for 54 against Atlanta and 73 against the Vikings.

Jay Ajayi over 1.5 receptions (-210)

Is this a joke? The Eagles will surely want to ease Nick Foles into the game and what's better than dumping off a couple balls to your back to build some confidence.

Corey Clement over 10 rushing yards (-115) 

Clement is the mix-it up back and the Eagles will use him to keep the Patriots defense on their heels. He went over this mark nine teams in the season and in the NFC Championship.

Player to score first? Burkhead (12-1)Blount (15-1), Clement (30-1), 

I think the Eagles will score the first touchdown. They did so 10 times this season. Alshon Jefferey had the most with 4, Blount was second with three. The Patriots will not let Jefferey score on them, but I believe Blount will get the one-yard plunge or Clement will take a 15-yard pitch to the house. As for Burkhead, he was the Patriots goal line back, and primary back, scoring a touchdown in four consecutive games until getting injured in Pittsburgh. He played three snaps in the AFC Championship, but he will be ready to go in this one. If James White isn't the goal line back, then Burkehad provides incredible value.

Rex Burkhead over 14,5 total rushing yards (even)

Like I just said, he was the Patrtiots primary back until getting injured. In 10 regular season games, he went over this mark seven times.

Dion Lewis over 4.5 receptions (-175)

Do you know that James White had a game-high 14 receptions for 110 yards in last year's Super Bowl or Shane Vereen had a game-high 11 receptions for 64 yards against the Seahawks in the Super Bowl? The Patriots love to use their backs in the passing game, but the question is which one will Belichick feature? I have no idea, but Lewis is the more agile talented player so I'll take my chances with him.

James White over 27.5 receiving yards (-115)

I'll hedge my previous bet with White going over 27.5 receiving yards. Either him or Lewis will catch several balls and go over the allotted yardage.

First turnover of game: LeGarrette Blount (15-1)

He fumbled last year and you can bet the New England defense will be going after that punch-out every time he touches the ball.

 

Most Valuable Player Tom Brady (8-5), Chris Hogan (55-1), Fletcher Cox (75-1), Malcolm Jenkins (100-1)

If New England wins, Brady will most probably get the MVP. He'll be the reason they win. It's as simple as that. However, if a New England receiver has a 10-catch 100-yard receiving game with two touchdowns, then he may get it. I'll take a flier on Hogan.

If the Eagles win, it will be because of their defense. Both Cox and Jenkins as their defensive leaders and provide incredible value.

 

Super Bowl Picks - Miscellaneous Props

P!NK over two minutes National Anthem (-150)

P!nk will definitely go over. She will hold the notes on some words and start the game off with a winning bet.

Jon Rahm fourth round score -6.5 vs. Zach Ertz reception yards

Rahm will shoot 68-72 in the fourth round. Last year he shot a final-round 70 and in 2015, a 68. I'm a little nervous because he shot a final-round 77 last Sunday, but he should be fine at the Phoenix Open. That means Ertz would have to get to between 62-66 receiving yards at least. He's only went above 62 six times in their 18 games. The Patriots have allowed an average of 45 receiving yards to opposing tight ends this season.

 

Super Bowl Game Prediction

Patriots -4.5, under 48.5

When the Eagles and Patriots take the field, they all know every single thing about the other team. Every formation, tendency, play, you name it. The game will come down to execution.

Mike Lomabrdi of the Ringer said on his podcast last week, the Eagles are a "horrendous matchup" for the Patriots. He added, “They really don’t have an identity offensively. They are very unpredictable and they play left-handed. [Bill] Belichick is so good at making a team play left-handed, but it is kind of hard to make a left-handed team play left-handed.”

The line opened at Patriots by six and I liked the Eagles, but it's at 4.5 thanks to a multi-million dollar bet on the Eagles to win. Now I'm leaning towards the Patriots because it feels like the public is moving towards the Eagles. If Wentz was playing in this game, the line would have been pick 'em.

Like I've said above, I expect both teams to get off to sluggish starts. The Patriots will struggle to slow down the Eagles rushing attack. The run-pass-option will also cause the Pats defense issues. The Eagles defense boasts the number one ranked rushing defense, meaning the Pats will struggle to move the ball on the ground, but who are we kidding? This is the New England Patriots. Rob Gronowski will play, that I have no doubt about.

After the first quarter, I'd be feeling stupid taking the Eagles. It's too difficult to bet against Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. Tom Brady should slice up the Eagles secondary en route to furthering his stance as the greatest quarterback to ever play football winning his sixth Super Bowl.

One more thing to note, all seven Brady/Belichick Super Bowls have been decided by one-possession; 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 6.

Prediction: Patriots 27 - Eagles 21

 

Thanks for reading my column all year. I'll be back writing my NFL Survivor Picks column in the fall, and until then stay tuned for my weekly column on the PGA Tour.

Best of luck and enjoy the game!

 

Odds provided by sportsbook.ag and William Hill.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Nikola Jokic9 hours ago

Questionable Versus Brooklyn
Framber Valdez10 hours ago

Astros Avoid Arbitration
Santi Aldama10 hours ago

Will Return On Thursday Night
Jaren Jackson Jr.10 hours ago

Will Suit Up Versus Houston
Desmond Bane10 hours ago

Active Against Rockets
Randy Arozarena11 hours ago

Mariners Avoid Arbitration
Ja Morant11 hours ago

Back On Thursday Night
Robert Williams III11 hours ago

Resting On Thursday
Daniel Gafford11 hours ago

Ready To Return On Thursday
Tim Hardaway Jr.11 hours ago

Will Not Play Against The Warriors
Bruce Brown11 hours ago

Out On Thursday
Davion Mitchell11 hours ago

Available Thursday
Moses Moody11 hours ago

Will Not Play On Thursday
Dennis Schröder11 hours ago

Dennis Schroder Available Versus Pistons
Draymond Green11 hours ago

Good To Go Thursday
Stephen Curry11 hours ago

Upgraded To Available Thursday
Giannis Antetokounmpo11 hours ago

Probable Against Orlando On Friday
Mason Marchment12 hours ago

Recovering From Surgery
Jalen Hurts12 hours ago

Practices In Full, On Pace To Play On Sunday
Samuel Ersson12 hours ago

Returns To Action Against Stars
Sean Monahan12 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Khris Middleton12 hours ago

Probable For Friday
Evgeni Malkin12 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Thursday
Filip Chytil12 hours ago

Will Not Play Thursday
Robert Williams III12 hours ago

Questionable On Thursday
Igor Shesterkin12 hours ago

Returns To Rangers Crease Thursday
Brock Faber12 hours ago

Out On Thursday
Jerami Grant12 hours ago

Ruled Out On Thursday
Damian Lillard13 hours ago

Likely Available For Friday
John Metchie III13 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Wild-Card Weekend
Cade Otton13 hours ago

Upgrades To Full Participation On Thursday
Quentin Johnston14 hours ago

Questionable For Wild-Card Weekend
J.K. Dobbins14 hours ago

Questionable For Wild-Card Weekend
Jake Knapp14 hours ago

Withdraws From Sony Open
Joshua Palmer14 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wild-Card Weekend
Michael Thorbjornsen14 hours ago

Withdraws From Sony Open
Davion Mitchell14 hours ago

Probable Against Cleveland
Ochai Agbaji15 hours ago

Ruled Out Thursday Against Cleveland
Luis Arraez15 hours ago

Padres Settle On $14 Million Deal
A.J. Brown15 hours ago

Being Rested On Thursday
Tarik Skubal15 hours ago

Tigers Avoid Arbitration
Dylan Cease15 hours ago

And Padres Avoid Arbitration
Logan Gilbert15 hours ago

Mariners Avoid Arbitration
Tyreek Hill16 hours ago

"Committed" To Dolphins
Las Vegas Raiders16 hours ago

Raiders Fire General Manager Tom Telesco After One Season
Zay Flowers16 hours ago

Officially Out For Wild-Card Game
Zay Flowers18 hours ago

Not Practicing Friday, Highly Unlikely To Play Saturday
Garrett Crochet21 hours ago

Boston Discussing Long-Term Deal
Matthew Tkachuk22 hours ago

Tallies Two Helpers In Victory
Petr Mrazek22 hours ago

Stands Tall Against Colorado
Connor Bedard22 hours ago

Tallies Goal, Assist On Wednesday
Logan Thompson22 hours ago

Leads The Way In Overtime Victory
Pierre-Luc Dubois22 hours ago

Scores Twice On Wednesday
Jeff Petry22 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Trent Miner1 day ago

Set For First Career Start On Wednesday
Beck Malenstyn2 days ago

To Remain Out On Thursday
Jiri Kulich2 days ago

Out Week-To-Week
Thatcher Demko2 days ago

Unavailable Wednesday
Elias Pettersson2 days ago

A Game-Time Call Against Capitals
Jonathan Drouin2 days ago

Out Wednesday
Aaron Ekblad2 days ago

A Game-Time Decision Wednesday
Davis Thompson2 days ago

Starts 2025 Season Well
PGA2 days ago

J.T. Poston Disappoints At The Sentry
Chris Kirk2 days ago

Sputters At The Sentry
Billy Horschel2 days ago

Looks Forward To Sony Open
Brian Harman2 days ago

Gets 2025 Started With A Rough Start
PGA2 days ago

Cameron Davis Finishes Strong At The Sentry
Keegan Bradley2 days ago

Starts 2025 Season Well
NFL2 days ago

Bill Belichick Has No Plans To Return To The NFL
Deebo Samuel Sr.2 days ago

49ers Plan To Bring Deebo Samuel Sr. Back Next Year
Zay Flowers2 days ago

Absent From Wednesday's Practice
Braxton Garrett2 days ago

To Miss 2025 Season Following Elbow Surgery
Taylor Pendrith2 days ago

Is A Dark-Horse Pick For Sony Open
Jalen Hurts2 days ago

Expected To Practice On Wednesday
Eric Cole2 days ago

Looking For Bounce-Back Performance At Sony Open
Zay Flowers2 days ago

A Long Shot To Play On Wild-Card Weekend
Sahith Theegala2 days ago

A Big Name To Stay Away From At Sony Open
Nick Dunlap2 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Sony Open
Tom Kim2 days ago

Making Season Debut At Sony Open
Hideki Matsuyama2 days ago

Looks To Make History At Waialae
Sean Monahan2 days ago

Exits Tuesday's Game Early
Tanner Scott2 days ago

Mets Meet With Tanner Scott
Justin Verlander2 days ago

Signs One-Year Contract With San Francisco
NFL2 days ago

Ashton Jeanty Declares For 2025 NFL Draft
Tua Tagovailoa3 days ago

Dolphins Have "No Concern At All" About Tua Tagovailoa's Long-Term Health
Las Vegas Raiders3 days ago

Raiders Fire Head Coach Antonio Pierce
David Montgomery3 days ago

Expected To Return For Divisional Round
Tyreek Hill3 days ago

Dolphins Say Tyreek Hill Did Not Request A Trade
Brandon Woodruff3 days ago

Hopes To Be Ready By Opening Day
Luke Clanton3 days ago

A Player To Watch At Sony Open
Thomas Detry3 days ago

In Solid Form Ahead Of Sony Open
Russell Henley3 days ago

A Course Horse At Sony Open
Stephan Jaeger3 days ago

A Risky Option At Sony Open
Kurt Kitayama3 days ago

Makes 2025 Debut At Sony Open
Maverick McNealy3 days ago

Looks To Stay Hot In Hawaii
Brent Rooker3 days ago

Signs Five-Year Extension
Nolan Arenado3 days ago

Red Sox Emerge As Strong Candidate To Land Nolan Arenado
Michael Lorenzen3 days ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Kansas City
Gavin Lux3 days ago

Traded To Cincinnati
Luis Arraez4 days ago

Yankees Talking With Padres About Luis Arraez
Clayton Kershaw5 days ago

Intends To Pitch In 2025, Expected To Return To Los Angeles

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
James Cook - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Wild Card Weekend Fantasy Football Projections: Running Backs (Half-PPR) - Brian Robinson, Aaron Jones, Kyren Williams, Bucky Irving, J.K. Dobbins

Welcome RotoBallers to our initial Wild Card Weekend fantasy football running back projections for the 2024 NFL season. Use these projections to set winning lineups and get an idea of how our rankings are set and determined. Ahead of the start of postseason action, check below for the expected output for key ball carriers such […]


Justin Jefferson - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS Lineup Picks, NFL Injury News

Wild Card Weekend Fantasy Football Projections: Wide Receivers (Half-PPR) - Justin Jefferson, Puka Nacua, Mike Evans, Nico Collins, Ladd McConkey, more

NFL playoff fantasy football leagues and tournaments are set to begin, so it's time to dive into our Wild Card Weekend fantasy football wide receiver projections for the 2024 NFL season. Use these Wild Card projections to set winning lineups and visualize how our rankings are determined. When you dive into the projections below, you'll […]


Mark Andrews - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Wild Card Weekend Fantasy Football Projections: Tight Ends (Half-PPR) - Mark Andrews, T.J. Hockenson, Zach Ertz, Tucker Kraft, Will Dissly, Dallas Goedert

The fantasy football regular season has come to an end, but it's time to get primed for NFL playoff fantasy leagues and DFS lineups with our Wild Card Weekend fantasy football tight end projections. Use these Wild Card projections to set winning lineups and visualize how rankings are determined. Let's dive into the projections below […]


Baker Mayfield - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Wild Card Weekend Fantasy Football Projections: Quarterbacks - Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels, Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, Justin Herbert

Digging into fantasy football rankings remains a staple of preparation even for NFL Playoff fantasy leagues, but our Wild Card Weekend fantasy football quarterback projections for the 2024 NFL season demonstrate how the rankings are determined. Use these Wild Card projections to build your DFS lineups or NFL playoff fantasy football teams. In the projections […]


Ladd McConkey - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL Wild Card Weekend Predictions: Picks and Analysis for Every Game

The NFL regular season is in the books and postseason dreams start this weekend for 14 teams. With the top seeds in each conference earning a bye for the opening round, we have six matchups to analyze for Wild Card Weekend of the NFL Playoffs. Though this weekend always appears to contain mostly inevitable outcomes, […]


Video: Wild Card Weekend Must-Start Running Backs - Fantasy Football Playoff Leagues, DFS, Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Analysis

The 2024 NFL regular season is in the books, but that doesn't mean the fantasy fun has to stop! Here at RotoBaller, we've got you covered for fantasy football playoff leagues and NFL DFS starts and sits for Wild Card Weekend! RotoBaller's Matt Donnelly discusses his top "Must Start" running backs that will have a […]


JK Dobbins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy Football Injury Reports For NFL Playoffs Wild Card Round (Thursday Updates): J.K. Dobbins, Zay Flowers, Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, Jayden Daniels, Terry McLaurin, Mike Evans, Bucky Irving, Jordan Love, Jalen McMillan, Amari Cooper, Cade Otton, more

The 2024 regular season in the National Football League has drawn to a close, but one thing that hasn't and will never end is the perpetual carousel of player injuries. Although 18 teams are no longer playing football this year, the 14 that haven't been eliminated still have plenty of ailing members. Only 12 of […]


Jared Goff - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

NFL Playoffs Power Rankings for Fantasy Football - FFPC Playoff Challenge Draft Picks By Team

When building your fantasy football playoff rosters, the first steps are to forecast how the conference brackets will shake out and how many games each team can potentially play. Those exercises are vital in the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC) Playoff Challenge, where you can only roster one player from each NFL team. My NFL […]


Saquon Barkley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Wild Card Weekend Fantasy Football Projections: (Half-PPR) - Josh Allen, Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Puka Nacua, Justin Jefferson, Bucky Irving

If you're set to participate in an NFL playoff fantasy football league or are grinding postseason DFS lineups, use our Wild Card Weekend fantasy football projections to assist your efforts and see how key players are expected to perform. The fantasy football regular season is over, but there are still contests to win! Ahead of Round […]


Deion Sanders - NCAAF Head Coach Colorado Buffaloes CFB

Top Eight Candidates To Be The Las Vegas Raiders Head Coach in 2025

The Las Vegas Raiders fired head coach Antonio Pierce on Tuesday after a disappointing 4-13 season. Pierce was the head coach for just one season after taking over as the interim coach in 2023 after Josh McDaniels was let go.  General manager Tom Telesco, who was hired just this season, was retained and will help […]


Mike Evans - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

NFL Playoff League Rankings for Fantasy Football: Saquon Barkley, Jahmyr Gibbs, Mike Evans, Kyren Williams, Joe Mixon, Puka Nacua, Terry McLaurin

While the traditional fantasy football season is over, the start of the NFL playoffs brings various types of fantasy football contests geared toward the playoffs. Fantasy football is not over yet, so let's get to the action! Below are our 2025 fantasy football playoff league rankings to help you make the best decisions for your playoff […]


Travis Kelce - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Time To Hang It Up: Five NFL Tight Ends (TEs) That Should Retire After The Season

The tight end position typically has players that can play later into their careers than other positions. You don't usually see many running backs, wide receivers, or defensive and offensive linemen over 31 years old have much success or even play at all in the NFL. There are some outliers, of course. But even for […]


Patrick Mahomes - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Best Potential Matchups For Super Bowl LIX

The NFL playoffs have arrived, which means we're just a month away from Super Bowl LIX, which will be played at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. There are 14 teams that could play in the Super Bowl, with 49 potential combinations of teams that could play in the Super Bowl. While every potential matchup […]