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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, October 16th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Buccaneers @ Steelers
The Buccaneers take on the Steelers on Sunday, October 16th at Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4)
- Date: Sunday, October 16th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Buccaneers @ Steelers
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Buccaneers will look to keep things rolling after picking up a 21-15 win over their division rival, the Atlanta Falcons. In terms of betting, Tampa Bay did not cover the spread in their win, as they entered as the -10.0 point favorites. The team's combined scoring of 36 points fell below the posted betting line of 46. In their win over Atlanta, the Buccaneers held a 21-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 21-0. However, their 6 point victory was not enough to cover the point spread. Through 5 games, the Buccaneers have an ATS record of 2-3. So far, they have an over-under record of 1-4. This week's betting total of 43.5 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Buccaneers prepare to take on Pittsburgh, they are ranked 21st in points per game at 20.6. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Steelers defense giving up 25.6 points per game. Throughout the game, Tampa Bay should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 3rd ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, our projections show that the Buccaneers' offense will have its problems. Even though they have a decent matchup against Pittsburgh, look Tampa Bay to come up with fewer rush yards than their season average of 66.0.
Pittsburgh Steelers - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 5, the Pittsburgh Steelers are looking to bounce back from a loss to the Bills by a score of 38-3, giving them a loss against an AFC opponent. With the loss, Pittsburgh also failed to cover the spread, as they were 14.0 point underdogs. With an over-under betting line of 44, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 41. The Steelers were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Buffalo by a score of 31-3 heading into the final quarter. Through 5 games, the Steelers have an ATS record of 1-3-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 2-3. This week's betting total of 43.5 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Steelers' offense is averaging 15.4 points per game, placing them 30th in the NFL. This week, they have a tough matchup against the league's 6th-ranked defense, and figure to struggle to move the ball. This week, look for the Steelers to remain stagnant in the passing game, as not only have they struggled to move the ball through the air, but they are facing a secondary ranked 9th in passer rating allowed. On the ground, our projections show that the Steelers' offense will have its problems. Even though they have a decent matchup against Tampa Bay, look for Pittsburgh to come up with fewer rush yards than their season average of 88.6.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Buccaneers vs. Steelers
Over the last 3 matchups between Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh, the Steelers have won 2 of the last 3 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 3-0, with the average scoring total coming in at 53.0 points. Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone 2-1 vs the spread in these games. On average, the Buccaneers have averaged 22.33 points per game in the past 3 head-to-head matchups, compared to Pittsburgh at 30.67.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Buccaneers have a straight up record of just 1-2. In these games, they have gone just 0-3 vs the spread, while posting an over-under mark of 1-2.
In their last 3 road games, Tampa Bay has averaged 22.33 points per game while allowing 12.33. The team's record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 2-1.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Steelers have a straight up record of just 0-3. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 0-3. Their over-under record in this span was 2-1.
Through their last 3 home games, Pittsburgh has an ATS record of just 1-1-1. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 20.0 points per game.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Buccaneers -8.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 43.5
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