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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Francisco 49ers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 10th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - 49ers @ Steelers
The 49ers take on the Steelers on Sunday, September 10th at Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: San Francisco 49ers (0-0) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 10th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Acrisure Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - 49ers @ Steelers
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San Francisco 49ers - NFL Betting Analysis
The 49ers are looking to build on last year's trip to the NFC-Championship game where they lost to the Eagles by a score of 31-7. Heading into last year's playoffs, the 49ers had a regular season record of 13-4. After going, 7-0 against division opponents, San Francisco finished 1st in the NFC-West standings.
Last season, Brock Purdy completed 67.1% of his passes for a total of 1374 yards. For the season, he finished 33rd among QB's in passing yards and 15th in touchdowns (13). Purdy's passer rating for the season was 107.3 (3rd). San Francisco closed out last season as the 6th ranked offense in terms of points per game (25.8). In the passing game, the 49ers averaged 223.1 while sitting 25th in attempts. For the season, they were 6th in terms of sacks allowed and 7th in quarterback hits allowed. In the running game, San Francisco averaged 136.8 rushing yards per contest.
The 49ers are coming off a season in which they allowed just 17.2 points per game, which was the best mark in the NFL. For the season, they finished with 44 sacks (6th and 2nd) in takeaways.
Against the spread, the 49ers put together a record of 13-7 on an average scoring margin of +8.7 points per game. As the favorite, the 49ers were 12-5 vs. the spread while going 1-2 (ATS) as the underdog. San Francisco's over/under record came in at 10-10.
Pittsburgh Steelers - NFL Betting Analysis
Although the Steelers are coming off a season in which they finished above .500 at 9-8, the Pittsburgh Steelers found themselves outside the playoff picture last season. Within the AFC-North, the Steelers concluded their efforts with a 3rd place finish, holding a record of 3-3. All in all, Pittsburgh was 8th in the AFC.
Last season, Kenny Pickett completed 63.0% of his passes for a total of 2404 yards. For the season, he finished 24th among QB's in passing yards and 19th in touchdowns (7). Pickett's passer rating for the season was 76.7 (55th). Offensively, the Steelers averaged 18.1 points per game in 2022, putting them 26th in the NFL. In the passing game, they finished 16th in passing attempts and averaged 200.6 yards per game through the air. When looking at their running game, the Steelers were 25th in yards per attempt.
On the defensive end, the Steelers are coming off a season in which they gave up an average of 20.4 points per game, putting them 10th. Overall, opponents averaged 330.4 yards per game vs. Pittsburgh. In terms of turnovers, the Steelers forced 23 takeaways, which was 6th in the NFL.
Pittsburgh's over/under record last season wrapped up at 7-10 with their games averaging 38.5 points per contest. When looking at how they finished vs. the spread, they were 10-6-1 with an average scoring margin of -2.2 point per game.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - 49ers vs. Steelers
The 49ers and Steelers did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the 49ers have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Steelers went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 1-1-1 on an average of 42 points per game.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, San Francisco has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- In their last three home games, Pittsburgh has averaged 19 points per game while allowing 15. The team's record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
- Through their last five games as the underdog, the Steelers have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
- As the betting favorite, the 49ers have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their straight up record was 5-0.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Steelers +2.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 40.5
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