Hello everybody and welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 4 Thursday Night Football - Lions vs. Packers! The 2023 NFL season is well underway and that means our friends over at Sleeper have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for TNF
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Sam LaPorta OVER 3.5 Receptions
The Detroit Lions have been red hot, and so has their rookie tight end, Sam LaPorta. LaPorta has recorded a total of 18 receptions in just his first three NFL games, setting a rookie record. Tonight on primetime television, the Lions look to take on the Green Bay Packers, a defense that ranks 17th against TEs.
The books have LaPorta at 4.5 receptions with -140 odds to go under, giving us a one-point margin here. Sleeper is the only site offering this discount, listing him at 3.5, and it is definitely one to take advantage of.
Christian Watson OVER 36.5 Receiving Yards
The Packers' second-year receiver looks to make his season debut tonight after suffering from a hamstring injury. Christian Watson had a solid rookie year, finishing with a 25.5% target rate. Jordan Love has been playing well under center, and he loves throwing the deep ball. Although he may be limited, this line is still too low for Watson.
The books have Watson listed at 39.5 receiving yards, giving us a three-yard margin. I expect this divisional game to stay competitive and Watson to rack up some solid yardage in this great matchup.
Jordan Love UNDER 0.5 Anytime Touchdowns
This is a pretty safe bet that is at -690 odds to go under. You can add this to slightly increase the multiplier payout.
So far, Love has scored one rushing touchdown this season. The Lions bring on great pressure, so I do not see him repeating that this week.
Other Recommendations:
- Aaron Jones OVER 14.5 Receiving Yards
- Kalif Raymond UNDER 0.5 Anytime TD
- Luke Musgrave OVER 36.5 Receiving Yards
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