Welcome to our Sleeper NBA DFS prop picks for Friday, February 2. As we head into All-Star break…wait did anyone hear about Dejounte Murray potentially getting traded? Wait…did anyone hear about Jalen Green possibly getting traded? WAIT…is LeBron James getting TRADED?! What is going on right now?! I get we are headed into a real dead-zone when it comes to resting players and lineup announcements and all that, but these rumors have to be pure speculation.
Maybe it’s to create some drama around the league to draw attention during a quiet part of the year. I’m no insider, but you can be sure that the ‘NBA-interested’ population currently has their ears to the ground hoping for the rumblings of a life-changing trade coming down the way.
Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NBA DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting – there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are some of our favorite NBA prop picks for Friday's 10-game slate.
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NBA DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Friday, February 2
Deni Avdija OVER 10.5 Rebounds + Assists
Deni Avdija is no one-trick pony. He may not be very good at the tricks he knows, but he at least knows more than one. When the Wizards play teams that thrive on the glass like the Knicks, Suns, or Timberwolves, Advija rarely hits this over. On a positive note, he still floats around eight to ten combo-stats against stingier opponents and luckily for us the Heat are not stingy. If anything, they’ve been bad and getting worse over the last month, a perfect setting for a role-player with a high floor.
We know Avdija is capable of clearing this over with rebounds alone, but when those double-digit rebound games happen is arguably random. The assists offer a nice boost, but the Heat are one of the worst rebounding teams over the last couple weeks and nearly all of Avdija’s top rebounding games came against opponents of that same ‘caliber.’
Anfernee Simons OVER 2.5 Rebounds
RotoBaller’s Prop-Optimizer likes this over and it’s hard not to agree. Anfernee Simons is a former dunk-contest winner so we know it’s not his athleticism in question here. Being a guard will always make rebounds a non-priority, but he’s hit this over in 17 of the 26 games he’s played this year. His natural sense to chase the ball and control the game should give him plenty of opportunities to turn defensive rebounds into quick fast breaks.
Betting on an undersized guard to get rebounds is always risky. His last game proves that, but a look further down the list and you’ll see multiple 5+ rebound games. More proof that he has sense for creating his own possessions off rebounds. It’s obviously not his calling, but there’s a reason why this current bet is sitting at -140 on multiple sportsbooks.
Grayson Allen OVER 11.5 Points
When your only job is to score, there are no safe ‘points’ bets. Either Grayson Allen hits the over with ease or goes down trying. There’s not much else he can do since he’ll never be the primary playmaker and his defense is rarely impactful enough to change the trajectory of a game. Playing next to Eric Gordon only makes things worse since either one is capable acting as the necessary spacer within the offense and right now the Suns are rolling with Gordon.
Despite Allen’s recent resurgence where he was averaging around 14.3 PPG over the last two months, the averages drop drastically with every shifting time frame. The last two weeks it’s only 10.1 PPG and in three games last week he averaged just 7.3 PPG. The Hawks would be the team to break out of a funk against, but Allen didn’t play last game versus the Nets after suffering an ankle injury versus the Heat. Assuming he does come back and is full-strength, he should have the green-light, but be wary since he hasn't played since January 29th.
Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
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