X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Fool Me Once... Sophomore Tight Ends Set to Bust Again

It was a mixed year for rookie tight ends in 2018. Antonio Losada takes a look at three rookie TEs that struggled last season and explains why they should be remaining off fantasy radars in 2019.

If there is something volatile in fantasy football, that is the tight end position.

But here I am, trying to identify busts on their rookie season that are expected not to do much better this year. I have limited myself to rookies that were drafted in real-life. Those were mostly the ones to hold somehow "valuable" ADPs last year and therefore the ones that ultimately didn't fulfill their ROI expectations. And no, for the most part, there are no rebounds expected here, folks, so keep your expectations low.

You may have fooled me once, but I've learned from my mistakes!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Hayden Hurst, Baltimore Ravens

The 2018 tight end class wasn't that good to start with. Hurst projected as one of the best available TEs and Baltimore picked him in the first round of the draft. Perhaps they already knew Hurst could be in for an upsetting season when they drafted Mark Andrews barely 60 picks later.

From a first-round talent, production is expected from day one. Turns out, Hurst was a plain negative for the Ravens. He missed the start of the season with a foot-related injury, but that is no excuse for what came later. He finished the season averaging a paltry 2.94 PPR/G, fourth-worst among rookie TEs with at least 20 targets. He had a really low 57% catch rate and if he's targeted more, that value could get even lower. When he caught the ball, he produced, finishing with 12.54 Yds/R but only a total of 163 Yds on the season.

If Hurst had it hard last season, imagine this year in a team that will feature Lamar Jackson (scrambling QB) from day one, an already-established TE in Mark Andrews that could be the next great thing at the position and surpassed him all the way, and will also see Mark Ingram join the running back corps. It doesn't look very promising for Hurst to leapfrog Andrews and become fantasy-relevant.

 

Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins

Gesicki was able to sneak into the early second round of last year's draft but his production never caught up to the expectations. Miami used him equally both in the slot and out wide. In total, they targeted him 32 times, and he was able to catch 22 passes for a total 202 yards on the season (he played every week as the Dolphins leading TE). All of those yards, though, ended with one single TD: the same amount as times he fumbled the ball.

Of tight ends to feature in all 16 games during the 2018 season (min. 20 targets), he finished with the lowest number of fantasy points in standard leagues and second-lowest in PPR (Jordan Akins, also a rookie, finished last but only 0.7 points behind...).

The new season can bring an improvement to Gesicki's production. Miami has changed coaches, will feature a new QB in Rosen/Fitzpatrick (complete booms or busts), has lost his most used RB in Frank Gore, and will keep slotting Gesicki as the No. 1 TE. Even with a jump in production, though, things could turn into a completely different story for Gesicki to even be rosterable once we reach late September.

 

Jordan Leggett, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Pretty much following the same model Baltimore employed, the Jets also opted to draft two TEs in 2018. Only in this case, the first one to hear his name (Chris Herndon) demolished Leggett at basically everything. Of course, they didn't have the same amount of chances. Leggett was never the first option in the Jets' offensive scheme, while Herndon was. Even with that, he played in 15 games and was targeted 24 times. The problem for Leggett were his hands. He caught only 56% of the passes thrown his way, and although he converted a TD he finished the season with only 114 yards.

Legget finished the season as the rookie with the worst Yds/Tgt mark (4.75). It resulted in the Jets getting rid of him this postseason. He is now part of the Bucs and the situation doesn't look much better in Tampa. If he lost snaps and targets to Herndon in 2018, imagine what will happen this season when he has to look up to OJ Howard, not to mention the presence of Cameron Brate.

Tampa Bay wasn't dumb picking him off waivers, though. If there is anyone with upside it must be Leggett. Another injury for Howard and Leggett could find his place and improve on his poor first season. Sadly for fantasy owners, that is too much to gamble in early on. Maybe betting on a breakout rookie season was passable last year, but I'm afraid I wouldn't bite on what Leggett has to offer again.

More ADP Busts and Avoids




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kyle Stowers

Hits Game-Winning Grand Slam
Jake Meyers

Homers Twice, Drives In Seven On Saturday
Corbin Burnes

To Skip Next Start With Shoulder Inflammation
Anthony Volpe

Feels Pop In Shoulder, May Undergo MRI
Corey Seager

Activated From Injured List, Batting Third As Designated Hitter Saturday
Tommy Edman

Heading To 10-Day Injured List
Jackson Merrill

To Rehab At Double-A, Expected To Return Monday
Merrill Kelly

Still Dealing With Cramping
Fernando Tatis Jr.

In Saturday's Lineup
New York Mets

Mets, Cardinals Postponed On Saturday
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez Out On Saturday
Triston Casas

Diagnosed With Ruptured Left Patellar Tendon
Coby Mayo

Promoted To Major Leagues
Yordan Alvarez

Scratched With Hand Inflammation
Clarke Schmidt

Scratched On Saturday With Side Soreness
Riley Greene

Makes History, Homers Twice In The Ninth Inning
Cal Raleigh

Slugs Two Homers, Collects Five RBI On Friday
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Hits Two More Homers, Cubs Trounce Brewers
Hunter Greene

Shuts Down Nationals, Fans 12 Over Six Innings Pitched
Triston Casas

At The Hospital, Expected To Be Out A While
Fernando Tatis Jr.

X-Rays Come Back Negative On Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Forearm
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP
10
11
11
18
12
19
13
20
14
23
15
25
16
33
17
36
18
39
19
Max Fried NYY
42

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF