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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, December 18th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Falcons @ Saints
The Falcons take on the Saints on Sunday, December 18th at Caesars Superdome, New Orleans. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Falcons (5-8) vs. New Orleans Saints (4-9)
- Date: Sunday, December 18th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Falcons @ Saints
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Atlanta Falcons - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Atlanta Falcons are hoping to get back in the win column after falling 19-16 to the Pittsburgh Steelers. Atlanta not only lost the game but failed to cover the spread as 1.0-point underdogs. The over-under betting total going into the game was 43, which the teams did not surpass. The Falcons were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Pittsburgh by a score of 19-13 heading into the final quarter. Through 13 games, the Falcons have an ATS record of 7-6. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-7. This week's betting total of 43.0 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Falcons' offense is averaging 22.2 points per game, placing them 16th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Saints defense giving up 22.8 points per game. Even though Atlanta has a good matchup in the passing game, as the Saints are ranked 15th in passer rating allowed, we don't anticipate Atlanta being able to take advantage as they are 31st in pass yards per game. On the ground, the Falcons should be in line for a good performance, as they are one of the better rushing team's in the league and are facing a defense that has its problem stopping the run.
New Orleans Saints - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 15, the New Orleans Saints are looking to bounce back from a divisional loss to the Buccaneers by a score of 17-16. New Orleans went into the game as the 3.5-point underdogs on the spread. With an over-under betting line of 40, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 33. In the losing effort, the Saints blew a 10-point lead heading into the 4th quarter, as Tampa Bay outscored them by 11 in the final period. Through 13 games, the Saints have an ATS record of 5-8. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-7. This week's betting total of 43.0 is right in line with their previous games.
As the Saints prepare to take on Atlanta, they are ranked 21st in points per game at 20.4. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Falcons defense giving up 24 points per game. Throughout the game, New Orleans should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 11th-ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, New Orleans is averaging 109.5 yards per contest.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Falcons vs. Saints
Looking back at the recent matchups between Atlanta and New Orleans, the Saints have taken 4 of the last 5 contests. The two teams have combined to average 45.0 points per game in their last 5 meetings. This week, the Falcons will be looking for some revenge, as they already have 1 loss to the Saints this season. In the first game, Atlanta fell by a score of 27-26. Even though the Saints came away with the win, the Falcons covered the spread as +4.0 point underdogs. To start the year, each team will be looking to get a leg up, as the Falcons and Saints split last year's season series. New Orleans won by a score of 30-20, while Atlanta grabbed a 27-25 victory.
The New Orleans Saints have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 3-2-0. The Falcons' offense has averaged 19.6 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with New Orleans, compared to the Saints at 25.4.
Through their 3 most recent regular season matchups, the Falcons have gone 1-2. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 1-2. Their over-under record in this span was 1-2.
Although Atlanta has a straight-up record of 0-3 in their last 3 road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 0-3. The team averaged 15.0 points per game in these games.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Saints have gone 1-2 straight up. In addition, the team has not done well vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2.
Across their last 3 home contests, New Orleans has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 21.33 points per game.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Falcons 4.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 43.0
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