X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

My RotoBaller Story - Spencer Aguiar

My entrance into the writing industry is different than most.

Life can be comical in that aspect because 21-year-old me, who was playing poker and sports betting professionally to pay my way through college at UNLV, would never have envisioned that life as I knew it would end up in the arena of someone writing about golf betting for a living.

Now, I don't think the trajectory shift into the writing world is an unexpected return since I did find myself minoring in Journalism at UNLV while majoring in Gaming Management. However, the exact way things occurred, such as my repositioning into a golf-centric role at RotoBaller, Action Network, and various other locations, is the twist to the story that I could have never projected in any model of mine.

 

My Friendship With Chip Reese

Born and raised in Las Vegas, Nevada, I grew up with the great David "Chip" Reese as a mentor. Many in the poker world consider Chip the greatest cash-game player in history because of his ability to play his A-game when any amount of money was on the line. 

I got close to Chip and his family because my dad was his personal trainer. Trips to Montana with our families, baseball outings with top coaches throughout the country that Chip would take me on with his son Casey to improve our skills and other life-changing adventures became a way of life for me at a young age. 

There are three Chip stories that ring in my head from time to time when I reflect on my experiences with him. 

  1. I'll never forget how he used to call me "good ol' number 13" during each passing moment over the years when we would reconnect. In retrospect, it was a weird number for a gambler to give one of his star players. Still, I have always considered it an endearing answer since not even an "unlucky" number could stop me from performing. 
  2. The first bet I ever placed was against his son Casey, who tragically passed away in 2009. Casey made a wager that I couldn't eat an entire plate of marshmallows at their cabin in Montana. One thing led to the next (most notably me puking in the backwoods at the age of six), although a winning bet was made on my part that night when 50-pound me devoured the entire plate and caused Casey to run to Chip to retrieve 20 dollars. I can't say I fully grasped the impact of going on trips that would include Doyle Brunson, Huck Seed and other poker legends, but who else can say they won their first bet and got paid out by the greatest poker player of all time?
  3. Fast forward to eighth grade. I was a student aide for the front office. Most of my time was spent playing blackjack or poker since the gambling bug hit me at a very young age. Some of my relationship with Chip had drifted at that time since I didn't see him quite as frequently as I once did. However, I got a tap on my shoulder one day during class, turned around to see Chip's imposing figure, and heard, "Good ol' number 13! Are you winning?" Presumably, this is not a great question to ask a middle schooler who is gambling during class. I can't say that with factual-based reasoning because I have never run into a middle school kid in the midst of facing a bet on the river. That said, very few would say Vegas has ever provided the expected outcome that you get in other cities. Chip sat there for a few minutes, teaching me some deeper nuances of Texas Hold'em, before eventually leaving with his frequent tagline, "See you around, 13."

Unfortunately, Chip's life was cut short in December of 2007, right before my 18th birthday.

It is one of those things that didn't make sense at the time (and still doesn't 17 years later), but the lessons I took away from my time with him over the years molded me into the gambler I am today. For that, I am forever indebted to Chip's beautiful mind and kind heart. 

 

Life As A Professional Gambler

I spent most of my years between 18 and 27 modeling for sports betting or playing poker. You learn so many life lessons at a young age when you decide to make an industry like that your primary source of income. 

I've always said that those with a deep poker background are some of the best critical thinkers in the world. Not only do you have to try to problem-solve and fine-tune your strategy along the way, but there is also a particular form of adaptability and flexibility that poker instills for everyday life situations. 

Black Friday on April 15th, 2011, was a challenging moment for me since it made online gambling illegal throughout the United States and greatly affected my expected value in poker. I never loved playing face-to-face and watching people lose money they needed for everyday life. It was one thing when faces and real-life stories were behind a computer screen, shown as a Full Tilt dog avatar as your only point of reference; it was another when people would leave visibly distraught and unable to pay for their next meal because of a gambling addiction. 

America's commercial casinos won $66.5 billion from gamblers in 2023. That dollar amount won't stem primarily from sports betting, but it was another opportunity to blend my lifelong love of math, numbers, and strategy into one all-encompassing perspective since who wouldn't want to beat those who live in the high-rise buildings over the alternative of taking money from the ones who pay for the structures. 

In my opinion, you need a combination of several things to be a good sports bettor. 

  1. An understanding of numbers and how to create statistical models to attack those edges. There is a genuine science in long-term data and how it can be used to extrapolate information into future results. 
  2. Connections with people you trust. I had always considered myself someone who specialized in NCAA basketball, boxing, NFL, and tennis. I did have an edge in MLB and NBA because of relationships I formed with people who modeled those sports far better than I ever could, but those relations can take you a long way when trying to find every little edge possible. 
  3. This is perhaps the most critical aspect because I have seen quality gamblers go broke in all walks of life by not adhering to this answer, but you need a firm grasp of bankroll management and an ability to not chase losses when things go south. That was one of the concepts I learned from Chip at a young age. He once told me that what separated him from all other gamblers was how he never played worse than his A-game. No matter how much money he was up or down, every decision was formed with a concrete and critical-thinking strategy. Some players may have been better with the top-end level of their game, but the range of performance would adjust far too wide between a losing session and a winning one, giving Chip the ultimate edge in those moments. 

 

Getting Into The Writing Industry

I got lucky to sign up for Twitter at the beginning of 2018 and stumbled across a post from Pat Mayo within the first few days, who was talking about the fantastic opportunity to land a gig at a premier business like RotoBaller for their start-up golf company that would be starting during the Masters in April.

To be honest, I didn't know anything about RotoBaller. I didn't have a sample article to submit when I applied for the site. Hell, I was more of a college basketball or NFL person than someone who wanted to land in an area covering the PGA Tour.

Golf was a sport I had modeled successfully over the years. It certainly wasn't my number one interest in where I wanted to land as a writer, but getting in the door was a way to propel myself into the hard-hitting NFL world, which had just started to pique my curiosity when it came to writing about it from a data-driven perspective.

I quickly put together some research for that week's golf tournament from my betting model. Compiled an article that felt award-winning when it was written and then submitted it to RotoBaller, assuming I would quickly hear back that I had received the job.

Unfortunately, that is not always how life always works. RotoBaller hired five people for the team, including our current captain, Joe Nicely, but my name was missing from the original list of newly hired writers.

I've never gotten the full story of what happened or who pulled out of the job to re-open the door for me. Nonetheless, somewhere between that initial job denial and the week before the Masters was going to start, I got a second message from RotoBaller that they had one of their five team members quit and could use me as the replacement to start this grand undertaking for their first week of covering content.

The rest is now history.

 

Perseverance In The Industry

I have always lived under the belief that the butterfly effect massively alters our trajectory without us even knowing it. Something small and inconsequential at the time has a non-linear impact on our lives.

Despite the highest of highs while covering golf over the past seven years, it hasn't always been sunshine and rainbows. Nights of writing are long. Relationships are hard to maintain. It is a tough industry to move from point A to point B when everyone is vying for the same outcome.

I'd be lying if I said I didn't want to know who left RotoBaller seven years ago to open up my job and the reason behind their departure because it is unlikely I would have ended up in the golf sector without that outcome. Then again, some stories in this world are better left untold when that one lucky break ends up landing you in a position to do your dream job, even when you don't realize it at the time.

As a gambler, you never question the aftermath of the moments you run above expected value.

 

*** If you have ever wanted to get into the space, I am more than happy to help! You can reach out to me on Twitter @TeeOffSports


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

LeBron James14 mins ago

Active Against Pistons
Dario Saric38 mins ago

Available On Monday
Draymond Green46 mins ago

Ready To Go Monday
Isaac Guerendo53 mins ago

Expected To Practice On Thursday
Ben Sheppard56 mins ago

Upgraded To Available
Gary Payton II1 hour ago

Misses First Game Of The Season
Kyler Murray2 hours ago

Cardinals Won't Rest Kyler Murray In Final Two Games
Moses Moody2 hours ago

Available For Monday's Game
Jamal Murray2 hours ago

Out On Monday
Nelson Agholor2 hours ago

Zay Flowers, Nelson Agholor Listed As DNPs On Monday
Dalano Banton2 hours ago

Returns From Two-Game Absence
San Francisco 49ers3 hours ago

Trent Williams Won't Return For Final Two Games
Robert Williams III3 hours ago

Sits Out Monday's Game
Ivica Zubac3 hours ago

Active Versus Grizzlies
Kenneth Walker III3 hours ago

Listed As DNP On Monday
Marcus Smart3 hours ago

Unavailable Monday
Ja Morant3 hours ago

Back In Grizzlies Lineup
Desmond Bane3 hours ago

Good To Go Monday
RJ Barrett3 hours ago

Returns To Action Monday
Alexandre Sarr3 hours ago

Ruled Out On Monday
Bilal Coulibaly3 hours ago

Won't Play Monday
Terry Rozier3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Monday
Luka Doncic3 hours ago

Returning On Monday
Bogdan Bogdanovic4 hours ago

Will Not Play On Monday
Dillon Brooks4 hours ago

A Late Scratch On Monday Versus Hornets
Trae Young4 hours ago

Cleared For Action
Jake Neighbours4 hours ago

Good To Go Versus Red Wings
Filip Gustavsson5 hours ago

Returns To Work Monday
Sean Couturier5 hours ago

Back For Battle Of Pennsylvania
Jake Walman5 hours ago

Unavailable Monday
Zach Werenski5 hours ago

Questionable For Monday's Action
Ivan Barbashev5 hours ago

Nicolas Roy Remain Out Monday
Leo Carlsson5 hours ago

Not Expected To Play On Monday
Diontae Johnson6 hours ago

Texans Claim Diontae Johnson Off Waivers From Ravens
Zach Charbonnet6 hours ago

Should Be Full-Go For Thursday
David Njoku6 hours ago

Undergoing MRI On His Knee
George Pickens6 hours ago

Expected To Play On Christmas Day
Jalen Hurts6 hours ago

In Concussion Protocol
J.K. Dobbins7 hours ago

Chargers Opening J.K. Dobbins' Practice Window
Patrick Mahomes7 hours ago

Thinks His Ankle Will Be Better Off In Week 17
Andrew McCutchen8 hours ago

Re-Signs With Pirates
Walker Buehler8 hours ago

Red Sox Agree On One-Year Deal
Tank Dell8 hours ago

Tears ACL, Out For Remainder Of Season
Garrett Wilson10 hours ago

Wants To Be More Involved
Tyrone Tracy Jr.10 hours ago

Aggravates Ankle Injury In Week 16
Josh Allen10 hours ago

Says His Arm Is Fine
De'Von Achane12 hours ago

Dominant In Week 16 Victory
Sean Manaea14 hours ago

Returns To Mets On Three-Year Deal
Joc Pederson14 hours ago

Agrees To Contract With Texas
Aliaksei Protas15 hours ago

Scores Twice On Sunday
Clayton Keller15 hours ago

Tallies Four Points On Sunday
Linus Ullmark15 hours ago

Leaves Sunday's Game With Upper-Body Injury
Zach Hyman15 hours ago

Extends Goal Streak To Six Games
Mikko Rantanen15 hours ago

Tallies Two Helpers, Extends Point Streak To Nine Games
Kaapo Kakko15 hours ago

Scores First Goal With Seattle
Drake Maye20 hours ago

Shows Flashes In Two-Touchdown Effort
CeeDee Lamb21 hours ago

Eclipses Triple-Digit Yardage Sunday
Jalen McMillan22 hours ago

Extends Touchdown Streak Against Cowboys
George Kittle22 hours ago

Goes Over 100 Receiving Yards In Week 16
Nathaniel Lowe1 day ago

Traded To Washington
Linus Ullmark1 day ago

Red-Hot Ahead Of Meeting With Oilers
Pyotr Kochetkov1 day ago

Achieves Rare Feat In Sunday's Win
Sebastian Aho1 day ago

Scores Third Goal In Four Games
Michael Amadio1 day ago

In Concussion Protocol
Mackenzie Blackwood1 day ago

Takes On Kraken Sunday
Matt Rempe1 day ago

Slapped With Eight-Game Suspension
Jesús Luzardo2 days ago

Phillies Acquire Jesus Luzardo From Miami
Mark Stone2 days ago

Tallies Three Points In Saturday's Victory
Patrik Laine2 days ago

Extends Goal Streak To Three Games
Alex Bregman2 days ago

Mets Showing Interest In Alex Bregman
Carlos Santana2 days ago

Inks One-Year Contract With Cleveland
Josh Naylor2 days ago

Traded To Arizona
Paul Goldschmidt2 days ago

Agrees With Yankees On One-Year Deal
Chicago Cubs3 days ago

Roki Sasaki Meets With Cubs
Christian Walker3 days ago

Agrees To Three-Year Deal With Astros
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.4 days ago

Extension Remains In Play For Toronto
New York Mets4 days ago

Roki Sasaki Meets With Mets On Thursday
Max Kepler4 days ago

Phillies Sign Max Kepler To One-Year Deal
Marcus Semien4 days ago

Rangers Could Look To Rest Marcus Semien More
Jesús Luzardo4 days ago

Cubs Trade Talks For Jesus Luzardo Are "Dead"
Josh Naylor4 days ago

Mentioned In Trade Talks With Mariners
Nolan Arenado5 days ago

Blocks Trade To Astros
Devin Williams5 days ago

Yankees Name Devin Williams As The Closer

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Jalen McMillan, Adam Thielen, Bryce Young, Michael Carter and More!

Michael Florio is back going over his top waiver wire targets for Week 17! Florio also discusses his favorite streaming defenses of the week before going over all of his starts and sits! Get everything you need for the week, before you even set your waivers! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM […]


Survivor League Strategy Graphic

How To Master NFL Survivor Pools: Top Strategies to Win Your Survivor Leagues

Key Takeaways Survivor Pool Basics: NFL Survivor Pools are elimination contests where participants pick one team to win each week, but can’t reuse teams throughout the season. A single loss eliminates your entry. Winning Strategies: Success in Survivor Leagues requires strategic planning, like mapping out picks weeks in advance, avoiding popular or "chalk" selections to […]


Video: MUST ADD Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 17! Fantasy Football 2024

Our top 2024 fantasy football Week 17 waiver wire pickups for RB, WR, TE, and QB. This week's must-add fantasy football free agents -- potential waiver wire winners heading into Week 17 for running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks. Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel 87) - every […]


Christian Watson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL DFS Lineup Picks For FanDuel, DraftKings - Saints vs. Packers MNF Showdown (Week 16)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have an NFC showdown tonight as Spencer Rattler and the banged-up New Orleans Saints (5-9) head to Lambeau to take on Jordan Love and the Packers (10-4). The Packers are poised to solidify themselves as the sixth seed in the NFC playoffs, while the Saints hope to make it through the […]


Michael Penix Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Top Week 17 Quarterback Pickups - Best Fantasy QB Adds, Streamers Include Anthony Richardson, Bo Nix, Bryce Young, more

Fantasy managers who rode Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen throughout the season and into the playoffs were certainly disappointed by their production in Week 16. Many managers were likely knocked out of the playoffs thanks to their underwhelming fantasy performances due to injuries and ineffectiveness. Still, some awesome quarterback performances could have swung fantasy matchups. […]


Jonathan Taylor - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Top 10 Running Back Studs - Best Fantasy Football RB Performances Including Jonathan Taylor, Chuba Hubbard, De'Von Achane, And More

Week 16 felt like a whirlwind. It featured enormous performances for both wideouts and running backs. This slate of NFL action has brandished the second-most touchdowns of the season -- one shy of matching the highest total of 2024 (Week 8). Just in time for the fantasy semi-finals. If you're still kicking, then kudos. Getting […]


Dalton Schultz - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Tight Ends Fantasy Football Waiver Wire - Week 17 TE Pickups Including Dalton Schultz, Hunter Henry, Chig Okonkwo, Brenton Strange and More!

This is championship week, people! So, if you are reading this, congratulations of sorts are in order. It all comes down to this in the majority of fantasy football leagues around the country and around the world. You drafted well, you picked up the right guys on the waiver wire, and you made all the […]


Kareem Hunt - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Week 17 Waiver Wire Rankings (2024) - Fantasy Football Pickups Include Kareem Hunt, Tyjae Spears, Patrick Taylor Jr., Jalen McMillan, Dalton Schultz

Fantasy championship week is finally here, the moment fantasy managers have grinded all season to get to. At RotoBaller HQ, we have worked hard all season to help you prepare for this week, and we are back with our Week 17 fantasy football waiver wire rankings for 2024 to help secure a fantasy championship. Use […]


Drew Lock - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

10 Worst QB Performances From Week 16, Including Drew Lock and Dorian Thompson-Robinson

Week 16 brought a mixed bag of quarterback performances. The Saturday games were excellent, but Sunday brought puzzling quarterback play. Particularly, Drew Lock and Dorian Thompson-Robinson struggled mightily in Week 16. Many quarterbacks are playing for their 2025 roster spots and starting jobs right now. Some of the guys on this list are not doing […]


Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Running Back Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 17: Kendre Miller, Tyjae Spears, Trey Benson, Michael Carter, Audric Estime

Congratulations to those of you who are constructing rosters in Week 17. You have maintained your highest level of flexibility while navigating through injuries, bye weeks, production-inhibiting coaching decisions, and other unwanted developments that emerged during the season. Now your diligence has placed you at the threshold of capturing your league's championship. Winning your league […]


Calvin Austin - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Top Fantasy Football WR Adds for Week 17 Include Hollywood Brown, Wan'Dale Robinson, Calvin Austin III, Olamide Zaccheaus

This is it. Unless you're in some weird league that plays in Week 18, this upcoming week is the finals for your fantasy league. If you're still alive, it's you against one other person for the fantasy championship. With this week being the final chance for you, we're narrowing the focus of our wide receiver […]


Patrick Taylor Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, NFL Injury News

Biggest Fantasy Football Busts Of The Week - Fantasy Outlooks For Najee Harris, Brian Robinson Jr., Cooper Kupp, Khalil Shakir, Trey McBride, more

The 16th Sunday of the 2024 NFL season has come and gone. Hopefully, you woke up on Monday morning feeling very good about how your matchup went. However, this week's slate of games was certainly stress-inducing for many fantasy football managers. Part of that stress was caused by a group of players who drastically underachieved […]


Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Unexpected Boom Performances: Fantasy Football Risers Include Gus Edwards, Olamide Zaccheaus, Tyjae Spears, Chig Okonkwo, Kayshon Boutte

With fantasy football leagues now into their postseasons, Week 16 gave us a lot of stunning performances. One such outing came from rookie sensation Jayden Daniels. The Washington quarterback passed for 258 yards and five touchdowns, and he added 81 more yards on the ground to spur the Commanders to victory. Vikings superstar wideout Justin […]