RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - RBC Heritage

3 years ago by Spencer Aguiar

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In This Article hide

2. Joe Nicely - Shane Lowry

3. Spencer Aguiar - Matthew Fitzpatrick

4. Matt Miller - Joaquin Niemann

5. Owen Vrabel - Daniel Berger

6. Josh Bennett - Daniel Berger

7. Andrew Putters - Shane Lowry

8. Running Totals

9. Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

10. More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for the fourth season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Andrew Putters, Owen Vrabel, Matt Miller and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course which highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

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One and Done Selections - RBC Heritage

Joe Nicely - Shane Lowry

Alternate - Webb Simpson

I imagine that while Spencer was cheering on Rory McIlroy’s magical final-round 64 last week, I was somewhere still sulking about Brooks Koepka’s complete disappearing act in the year’s first major championship. “The Big Game Hunter” played like a soft, fluffy bunny last week and put a huge dent in my OAD prospects.

One man that did show up at Augusta National was lovable Irishman, Shane Lowry. The 2019 Open champ recorded the best Masters finish of his career with a T3. It was no fluke, as Lowry’s ball-striking has led him to terrific results in the U.S. this year. I look for the big guy to stay hot this week at Harbour Town, a course where he’s posted finishes of T3 & T9 over his last three Heritage appearances. One Irishman broke my heart last week, perhaps another one can mend it up on this slate.

Yearly Earnings - $4,894,086
Yearly Cuts Made - 10/13

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Hayden Buckley -118 over Vincent Whaley gets to the window. @RotoBaller

4-0-1 in-tournament H2Hs this week
9-1-1 on the season. https://t.co/bGvwKIWIBu pic.twitter.com/se5s4mWjPi
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) January 16, 2022

Spencer Aguiar - Matthew Fitzpatrick

Alternate - Tommy Fleetwood

If I thought I had to put myself in a position to be more aggressive, I would highly consider Tommy Fleetwood here, but I am going to trust Matthew Fitzpatrick's course history, world ranking and overall appeal for Harbour Town above what some of the proximity numbers might be telling me for the week.

I do want to address the elephant in the room very quickly since Fitzpatrick ranks 122nd on my model for weighted proximity, but it is important to note that it is hard to find any 75-yard range where he wouldn't be near the bottom of that list. To me, that signifies a problem with his irons as a whole, but then we get this bizarre situation where he still manages to grade inside the top-25 of this field for overall approach stats. I am going to trust the prevailing data above all else since we have seen him dominate the facility in the past with three top-14 finishes over his last four starts, and the current form has been equally as impressive, with nothing worth than an 18th-place finish at the Match Play if we ignore the abnormal Players Championship that did a great job of ravaging the field with the weather.

I don't have a ton of natural places that I am trying to fit Fitzpatrick into a OAD contest this year, so let's grab the 23rd-ranked player at Hilton Head and try to squeeze out a top-10 finish.

Yearly Earnings - $5,598,618
Yearly Cuts Made - 13/13

Matt Miller - Joaquin Niemann

Alternate -

I could not have been more impressed with Joaquin at the Masters last week. It is no easy task to be paired with Tiger Woods in that setting and he handled it like a veteran. The weekend was a little bit of a struggle but there were a lot of positives to take away from the 35th place finish. Prior to the Masters, we saw a 22nd place finish at the players and then a dominating win at Riviera in February. It looks like Niemann's game has turned a corner and he is ready to be a serious contender week in and week out on tour.

The iron play has been good and the short game has improved drastically. He has now gained strokes around the green in seven straight starts, which should be important this week since Harbour Town has the second smallest greens on tour. In his only start at this course in his career, he finished in fifth, I expect a similar result this week.

Yearly Earnings - $1,483,647
Yearly Cuts Made - 10/13

Owen Vrabel - Daniel Berger

Alternate - Kevin Kisner

I'll be jumping on the Daniel Berger bandwagon this week as I attempt to continue a solid start to the OAD season. Although Berger played poorly on the weekend at Augusta, Berger has had a very solid run of play in 2022. He has gained multiple strokes on approach in 12 of his last 15 events; and at Harbour Town where elite iron play will be rewarded, I expect Berger to be one of the best in the field.

Berger has yet to miss a cut at the RBC Heritage, with a 13th place finish and a third-place finish in his last two appearances. There are plenty of players in the field who played the masters last week, Berger being one of them, that have had lots of success at the RBC the week following the Masters. Berger hasn't won a tournament since the 2020 Charles Schwab, but I have a great feeling he will be in contention this coming Sunday.

Yearly Earnings - $4,876,689
Yearly Cuts Made - 11/13

Josh Bennett - Daniel Berger

Alternate - Joaquin Niemann

I had a hard time picking between my actual pick and my alternate this week, I think both could be in line for a win this week. They both should fit this course pretty well but ultimately going to lean to Berger because he’s a little more accurate off the tee. Now, when I say that, I don’t think that the accuracy stat is actually a huge factor on this course given many shots off the tee are not hit with drivers, but these 2 guys are so similar in other areas that I’m looking that the accuracy was just the final deciding factor that I think could make a difference on a hole or two per round. What I’m really liking about Berger is that the course sets you up so that you’re forced to play a lot of mid-irons. Berger is not in the group of long hitters on tour, so he’s shown he can compete from longer distances throughout the season already. Now you bring everyone in the field back to him because they can’t hit driver and I think he’s got a big advantage there. He’s proven to me that this thought process could be correct as well with 13^th and 3^rd place finishes his last two attempts here, I think he’ll put up another solid performance again this year.

Yearly Earnings - $3,015,561
Yearly Cuts Made - 10/13

Andrew Putters - Shane Lowry

Alternate - Matthew Fitzpatrick

Lowry ranks easily at the top of my model, and he is nearly at the top of every category. Most importantly, it is very possible that he could have an average putting week and contend at the RBC this week. He ranks top 15 in these important categories: SG App, Bogey avoid, course history, prox 125-150, par3 175-200, and birdie or better gained. It is actually pretty amazing that he ranks this high across the board against the field. I will never say someone is a sure thing, but I have to think he is as close as you can get going into an event. Fitzpatrick is my backup plan because he openly loves this track and has good history.

Yearly Earnings - $2,542,429
Yearly Cuts Made - 9/13

Running Totals

Follow along here on the OAD Spreadsheet!

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