RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - American Express

The PGA RotoBaller staff digs into their One and Done selections for the American Express. Here are some under the radar plays and picks for this week's event.

One And Done Staff Picks Overview

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for a third season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Andrew Putters and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

One and Done Selections - Sony Open

Joe Nicely - Abraham Ancer

Alternate - Sam Burns

Yearly Earnings - $15,048

Yearly Cuts Made - 1/1

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Joe by using promo code NICE when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer!

Spencer Aguiar - Abraham Ancer

Alternate - Patrick Cantlay

I got a good performance from Webb Simpson at the Sony Open, although what would this contest be if I wasn't complaining about lost earnings down the stretch. Simpson's out of bounds on the par-three 11th mixed with his second-shot error at the easy par-five 18th probably removed at least an extra 300k out of his pockets and might have prevented the American from having a real shot at capturing the title.

As we enter the second event of the season, this is an extremely difficult board to narrow down to one selection. I could make a strong argument that Patrick Cantlay is worth a shot as a rare favorite, but I think I would rather save him from a venue that features Bentgrass greens.

After going back and forth on this decision, I have elected to roll with Abraham Ancer, who finished the first two rounds at the Sony Open ranked 12th in the field, despite missing the cut. A shoddy short game saw him lose everything he gained with his driver and irons, but one would have to imagine that some sort of positive regression is in store for him on the greens. Ancer is ranked 27th in strokes gained putting when looking at his two-year baseline compared to this field, and while Bermuda is his worst surface metrically, we are only talking about a deviation of about 0.15 strokes per round between that and his preferable Poa setup. Ancer's two straight top-20s at the property should bode well for an excellent bounce-back opportunity, and I am fully ok playing things a little safer with a choice that will undoubtedly be popular.

Yearly Earnings - $277,750

Yearly Cuts Made - 1/1

Josh Bennett - Patrick Reed

Alternate - Russell Henley

I think the tournament this week is going to be much different than in the past. A tournament that has been labeled a “birdie-fest” is going to be flipped a little by having dropped by far the easiest course on the rotation and added in another round on the hardest. This means that those making the cut will have played 3 rounds at a course that should be hard to score on. This course is get-able with precise irons, but many of the greens have very small spaces to actually land it on. If they aren’t dropping it on a dime all over the course, they’re going to need good short games. Many of the players that have the best scores on the stadium course are unsurprisingly very good short game players.

With that in mind, I’m going with someone that is routinely touted as having the best short game on tour. Reed also happens to score the ball well too, just in case for some reason it turns into a birdie-fest. At his elite level, we won’t see Reed in a field with this low of strength very often, so this is a perfect time to roll him out in one of his best chances to get a win. As long as he isn’t pulling driver out and dumping it into the water, I fully expect him to be in contention down the stretch on Sunday.

Yearly Earnings - $34,577

Yearly Cuts Made - 1/1

Andrew Putters - Scottie Scheffler

Alternate - Patrick Cantlay

Ring the bell! We're not even through January yet and I'm already walking back an opinion! I said on this week's episode of The Turn podcast that I was all-in on Phil Mickelson, but after digging a little deeper into the field, there's no way that I can seriously use Phil Mickelson here. As I mentioned in the RotoBaller Expert Roundtable, "The closer I get to Thursday, Scheffler is making more and more sense."

First off, you have course history, Scheffler finished third in last year's AmEx. We also have to consider field strength and when comparing this field to what we saw after the restart, this is undoubtedly a weaker field of competition. Lastly, look at SG: Ball Striking. Scottie is top-20 in Ball Striking and top-five Off the Tee. Scoring will be super low this week and Scheffler is a player that will give himself plenty of opportunities to score.

Yearly Earnings - $14,454

Yearly Cuts Made - 1/1

Running Totals

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

Congrats @tenndolly2 ???

Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt

— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

Featured Sportsbook Promo Offers

All new sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Check out all of the sportsbooks and their bonus offers: