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Welcome to our Rival Fantasy NBA DFS prop picks for Wednesday, May 3rd, 2023. One game tonight means this article will act more as a summary for tonight’s Game 2. The only player not getting a specific blurb will be Al Horford, but don't worry we'll still find a way to include him here.
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RIVAL Over/Under Picks
We saw how Game 1 turned out and Celtics fans should be worried about a potential and problematic Game 2 loss. James Harden isn’t likely to sustain this type of production, but in the playoffs there’s no one else for the 76ers to turn to. He will still be leading the charge in terms of the offense, so Harden having a good or bad game will depend on how many of his 30+ shots he actually makes.
Jayson Tatum OVER 52.48 fantasy points
After Game 1, Jayson Tatum has seen a three point jump to his fantasy line and for good reason. The Celtics are going to stick with what’s working and getting the absolute most out of their best player.
There’s not much to say in trying to convince someone to take the over on Tatum because his upside is almost never-ending. His good games are borderline historic and he rarely fails to keep up with the competition.
Embiid or no Embiid, Tatum might not have the same efficiency that he did in Game 1, but Game 2 is primed for another 25+ field goal attempt, double-digit rebound type of night.
James Harden OVER 43.39 fantasy points
The line-setters at Rival don’t seem to have a lot of faith in James Harden tonight, which is surprising given that the 76ers have no real choice but to let Harden have the ultimate green light.
Until Embiid is back and healthy, he can’t be relied on for his normal production. If he plays he might pull from Harden’s overall stats, but Embiid is potentially coming back way too early from an injury that, scientifically, does not heal this quickly.
There’s no way Harden can slide under the radar tonight and we shouldn’t expect him to. He walked into Boston an underdog and walked out a winner after playing his best game of the season.
Tobias Harris OVER 30.34 fantasy points
When there is upside available and Tobias Harris is playing a full workload, the under is never a fun bet. He’s not the same player he once was, but he can still find ways to produce given his frame and skillset.
The Celtics defense matches up well for Harris and favors players that can create their own shot. It also helps that he’s a type of shooter that will eventually start hitting their jumper if it’s not hitting early in the game.
Add in the fact that he will rebound and pass and play defense, albeit not terribly well, and it doesn’t matter what the over or under is, Harris is likely to have a well-rounded game and score close to 20 points, much like in Game 1 and to remind you he did not have a good Game 1.
Malcolm Brogdon OVER 31.09 fantasy points
This is where we can talk about Al Horford and Derrick White needing to play better and how it won’t even matter because Malcolm Brogdon is very clearly third in line in this offense.
Even off the bench, Brogdon posted a massive game in an effort to minimize the negative efforts given by the Celtics who barely scored more points than shot attempts on route to scoring no more than 12 points.
The playoffs are the wrong time to try to find a groove and both Horford and White are on steep decline if they can’t figure things out quick. Brogdon on the other hand is likely to benefit from each and every instance of 'unproduction' since he’s peaking at the right time while others are falling.
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