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Welcome to our Rival Fantasy NBA DFS prop picks for Monday, June 12, 2023. With the Nuggets up 3-1 on the Miami Heat, not only will Nikola Jokic be in prime position to win his first championship, but the Heat can cause some serious chaos with a win tonight.
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RIVAL Over/Under Picks
There will be limited options because of a single-game slate, but that doesn't mean we can't find some offered props that will work for us.
Nikola Jokic OVER 61.43 fantasy points
With the championship on the line it’s only fair to put it all on Nikola Jokic, not to mention this year’s MVP trophy will forever live in infamy because of how well he’s been playing.
Jokic wasn’t even close to hitting the over last game, but his teammates carried a good chunk of the offense and he still put up 23-10 with a ton of defensive stats.
Since he’s putting up rebounds and this is a close-out game, we should expect Jokic to fill in the gaps and put in a little extra production to make up for the rest of the Nuggets potential over-excitement.
Jimmy Butler OVER 44.67 fantasy points
Similar to Jokic, there’s no reason to mess around with what’s been working. The Heat are down 3-1, but that doesn’t mean Jimmy Butler can’t have a good game or put up stats.
If anything, he’s the one person that will produce win or lose, and tonight is a win or go home situation. We should expect the Heat to come out firing from a ton of different directions, but there’s only source that seems worth betting on.
The series didn’t start great for Butler, but he’s increased production every game and they’ll need every minute he can offer.
Bruce Brown OVER 22.78 fantasy points
If Bruce Brown is going to be the X-factor off the bench then we have to bet on it. He’s playing a more engaging role as the backup playmaker and it’s afforded other role players the time and space needed to get comfortable.
There has only been one game these Finals where Brown didn’t have a usage rate above 20% and it was the Christian Braun game.
Brown is still a defensive anchor, so even if Denver’s other role players step up, Brown has solidified himself 25-30 minutes.
Caleb Martin UNDER 19.55 fantasy points
The once hot-shooting Caleb Martin propelled the Heat over the Celtics, but has yet to do anything these Finals.
He’s putting up stats and will continue to do so, but he’s not nearly as pivotal to the offense as he was last series. Miami won’t funnel offense to him unless he’s having a great night, so it’s hard to just bank on Game 5 being Caleb Martin’s night.
As stated before, he’ll put up stats but hitting the over should be more dependent on if he manages a few steals or defensive stats rather than points and rebounds.
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