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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday, April 30th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Guardians vs. Red Sox
The Guardians take on the Red Sox on Sunday, April 30th 2023 at Fenway Park, Boston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Cleveland Guardians (13-14) vs. Boston Red Sox (14-14)
- Date: Sunday, April 30th 2023
- Time: 1:35 ET
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Guardians vs. Red Sox
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Cleveland Guardians take on the Boston hoping to improve on their record of just 13-14, placing them 2nd in the AL Central. In their 15 games on the road, the Guardians have a strong record of 9-6.
Being the favorite in 19 of their 27 games has not helped Cleveland improve their record against the runline, which stands at just 11-16. The team's over/under record comes in at 12-15 with an average betting line of 8.
Cleveland starter Logan Allen takes the mound with an overall record of 1-0. Logan Allen heads into action with an ERA of just 1.50. Currently, opponents are batting just .227 against the left-hander. Logan Allen has given up one home run leading to a WOBA allowed of .287. With a total of one walk, Allen has a WHIP of 1.00.
Cleveland is the 24th-ranked scoring team this season, and with an average of 4.0 runs per game being hard to come by for the lineup. Through 27 games, the Guardians have the 22nd-ranked batting average at .236. In terms of home runs, the team is struggling to generate power at just 17 deep shots (29th). Cleveland's OBP of .316 places them 19th in the league.
Boston Red Sox - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Boston enters play ranked 5th in the AL East with a .500 record sitting at AL East. When playing at Fenway Park, the Red Sox have played well, posting a record of 8-7.
Being favored 13 times in 28 games, Boston is 14-14 against the runline. The team has an over/under record of 19-9, with an average betting line of 9.
Chris Sale gets the start for the Red Sox with a below .500 record at 1-2. With an ERA of 8.22, Chris Sale has had his struggles on the mound. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .323 against him. Chris Sale has given up five home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .417. Sale has a WHIP of 1.74, with 10 walks allowed.
Offensively, Boston has had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 5.6 runs per game, ranks 3rd in the MLB. The Red Sox have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate as their team batting average of .257 ranks 7th in the league. The team has also been strong in the power department, having hit 35 home runs which is 8th. To date, Boston has the MLB's 10th best OBP at .331.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Guardians vs. Red Sox
Heading into today's matchup between Boston and Cleveland, the Red Sox are the betting favorite at -126 on the moneyline. Boston's implied win probability sits at 55.75%. The MLB predictive model shows Boston picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Red Sox on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Red Sox -1.5
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