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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday, April 29th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Guardians vs. Red Sox
The Guardians take on the Red Sox on Saturday, April 29th 2023 at Fenway Park, Boston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Cleveland Guardians (13-13) vs. Boston Red Sox (13-14)
- Date: Saturday, April 29th 2023
- Time: 4:10 ET
- Venue: Fenway Park, Boston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Guardians vs. Red Sox
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Cleveland Guardians - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Cleveland takes on the Boston Red Sox looking to get back over .500, with a record of 13-13. This mark places them 2nd in the AL Central. When playing away from home, the Guardians have played well posting a record of 9-5.
Despite being the favorite in 19 of their 26 games, Cleveland's record against the runline is only 10-16. The team's over/under record comes in at 11-15 with an average betting line of 8.
The Guardians will send Zach Plesac to the mound with an overall record of 1-1. Compared to other starting pitchers, Zach Plesac has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 6.50. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .354 against him. Zach Plesac has given up two home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .410. With a total of four walks, Plesac has a WHIP of 1.83.
Cleveland has struggled to score runs this season, currently ranking 24th in scoring with an average of 3.8 runs per game. Although the team has struggled to score runs, their combined batting average of .231 comes in closer to the league average. Overall, the team has hit just 15 home runs, placing them 29th in the league. Cleveland's overall OBP of .312 puts them 20th in the league.
Boston Red Sox - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Boston Red Sox take on the Cleveland hoping to improve on their record of just 13-14, placing them 5th in the AL East Heading into play, the Red Sox have won half of their 14 home games, sitting at 7-7.
With an above .500 record against the runline, Boston has been favored 12 times in 27 games played so far. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 18-9.
The Red Sox will send Brayan Bello to the mound with an overall record of 0-1. Against the Guardians, Brayan Bello is hoping to improve on his current ERA of 9.82. His batting average allowed of .433 is high compared to other pitchers. Brayan Bello has given up two home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .437. With a total of three walks, Bello has a WHIP of 2.18.
Boston comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 5.5 runs per game, good for 3rd in the MLB. The Red Sox have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate as their team batting average of .251 ranks 12th in the league. So far, the team has put together a strong home-run hitting lineup ranking 7th in home runs, with a total of 34 deep shots. Boston's OBP of .328 places them 12th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Guardians vs. Red Sox
Heading into today's matchup between Boston and Cleveland, the Red Sox are the betting favorite at -136 on the moneyline. Boston's implied win probability sits at 57.63%. The MLB predictive model shows Boston pulling out a close win over the Guardians. It is recommended to take the Red Sox Moneyline on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Red Sox Moneyline
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