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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 10th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Texans @ Ravens
The Texans take on the Ravens on Sunday, September 10th at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Houston Texans (0-0) vs. Baltimore Ravens (0-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 10th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Texans @ Ravens
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Houston Texans - NFL Betting Analysis
Following a season where they wrapped up with a total record of just 3-13-1, the Texans are gearing up for their season opener. In the AFC-South, Houston finished 4th and posted a 3-2-1 record against their division opponents. On their home field, the Texans concluded with a 0-7-1 record, and when away from home, they went 3-6.
At the quarterback position, the Texans are turning to rookie C.J. Stroud out of Ohio State. Stroud was drafted in the 1st round in this past year's draft. Houston's leading passer from last season was Davis Mills who threw for 3118 yards on a completion percentage of 61.0%. For the season, he finished with 17 compared to 15 interceptions. In 2022, the Texans offense finished 30th in the NFL in third-down conversion rate (30.3%) and averaged 283.5 yards per game, putting them 14th in the league. On average, they threw the ball 34.1 times per game leading to 196.7 receiving yards per contest. Houston's rushing attack finished 30th in yards per attempt.
The Texans' defense is coming off a season in which they were 26th in points allowed and gave up an average of 379.5 yards per game (30th). When looking at how they got after the quarterback, Houston was 10th while also finishing 22nd in quarterback hits while hitting the QB on 14.3% of their dropbacks.
The Texans are coming off a season in which they went 7-8-2 vs. the spread and had an over/under record of 7-10. Houston's average scoring margin for the season was -7.7 points per game with their games averaging a combined 41.7 points.
Baltimore Ravens - NFL Betting Analysis
Looking back to last season, the Ravens finished with a record of 10-7 and lost a Wild-Card round matchup with the Bengals (24-17). Baltimore's road record last year was 5-5 and 5-3 at home. In the AFC-North, the Ravens finished 2nd while going 3-4 in games within their division.
Last season, Lamar Jackson completed 62.3% of his passes for a total of 2242 yards. For the season, he finished 26th among QB's in passing yards and 11th in touchdowns (17). Jackson's passer rating for the season was 91.1 (27th). Offensively, the Ravens averaged 20.4 points per game in 2022, putting them 20th in the NFL. In the passing game, they finished 26th in passing attempts and averaged 180.5 yards per game through the air. When looking at their running game, the Ravens were 2nd in yards per attempt.
On defense, the Ravens finished the season ranked 3rd in points allowed at 18.8 points per contest. On the road, Baltimore gave up 20 points per game compared to 17.4 at home. In terms of yardage, the Ravens gave up 319.3 yards per game and finished the season 4th in turnovers.
Against the spread, the Ravens put together a record of 9-9 on an average scoring margin of +1.6 points per game. As the favorite, the Ravens were 4-8 vs. the spread while going 5-1 (ATS) as the underdog. Baltimore's over/under record came in at 6-12.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Texans vs. Ravens
Last season, the Texans and Ravens did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Ravens have the leg up at 3-0. The Ravens also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 45 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
- Houston has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 24 points per game while allowing 24. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
- In their last ten games home from home, the Ravens have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 21 points per game in this stretch.
- As the betting underdog, the Ravens have an ATS mark of just 8-2 in their last ten games. Baltimore posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
- The last three games that Houston was favored, they have an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Texans +10
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 43.5
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