X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Q&A: Will Tim Lincecum bounce back in 2013?

 
Question Submitted to RotoBaller >>
 
Name: Mitch I.

Fantasy Baseball Question: Will Tim Lincecum bounce back? My other options to keep are Mark Buehrle or a closer. So Lincecum is a must. But how do you think he will fair in 2013?

Player Pool: Mixed

# of Teams: 11-13

League Info and Categories: Keeper League; Offense: Standard plus OBP; Pitching: Standard plus QS

Roster Positions: Standard

League Host: Yahoo!

 


 
RotoBaller Detailed Analysis >>
 
Hi Mitchell,

Thanks for submitting your question to Rotoballer!

To anyone who wiped Lincecum's 2012 from their memory, this would be a no-brainer! Unfortunately, Lincecum's 2012 was very real, and there's a good chance that he cost many teams a fantasy championship because they kept rolling the two-time Cy Young winner out there. I think he'll fair better in 2013, but let's look at the numbers a little deeper to temper our expectations.

2012 was a career worst, but he still racked up the Ks (9.2 K/9) and that's right in line with his last two years. His biggest issues last year were that he walked a lot more guys (now a 4-year trend) and he allowed a lot more line drives, which consequently gave those walked baserunners the opportunity to come around to score much more frequently. At the heart of the increased line drive rate is Lincecum's diminishing velocity, which Baseball Analytics illustrates in this chart. Quite simply, batters squared up his fastball a lot more, and they were crushing it.

Was there any silver lining in Lincecum's 2012? Yes - his second half showed much better control, an improved WHIP, a normalized BABIP and LOB%, all resulting in a huge improvement in ERA (6.4 1st half vs 3.8 2nd half). He was also extremely unlucky with the long-ball, garnering an almost impossible ~17% HR/FB rate-- that's one stat that you've got to expect to regress in a bit in 2013.

All these data points are reasons to expect a more consistent and improved 2013 campaign for Lincecum. His total #'s are pushing him down the draft charts to the point where his ADP has him going with the likes of Dan Haren, Jeff Samardzija, Homer Bailey, Josh Johnson, Jarrod Parker, AJ Burnett and Tim Hudson. There's just as great a risk with some of these guys, and not as great of an upside as you have with Tiny Tim.
 


 

    YOUR ANSWER! >>
     
    The big question that everyone seems to be asking is: can Lincecum learn to pitch rather than just throw? He needs to get better at throwing to the edge of the plate and at limiting the line drives. It's important because his decreased velocity doesn't allow him to get away with mistakes like he used to. My answer about whether to keep him, therefore, is a soft yes. Here's a guy who won two Cy Young awards, and even in a down year still had the stuff to induce as many swings and misses as in past years, generating a very respectable number of Ks. Like other guys before him, he'll learn to adapt-- there were already signs of this in last year's second half, and I think that trend will continue in 2013. My rough projection for him in 2013 is: 200 IP, 210 SO, 3.75 ERA, 1.3 WHIP, 12-14 W with room for upside. With 11th-12th round value, he's an easy keeper over a reliever or Buehrle.

     


     
    Hope this was helpful and thanks for your submission!
     
    - The RotoBaller Staff
     
     




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

8 hours ago

Willson Contreras Will Transition To 1B/DH Role In 2025
Lauri Markkanen9 hours ago

Questionable Versus Milwaukee
Giannis Antetokounmpo9 hours ago

In Danger Of Missing Another Game
Ja Morant9 hours ago

Injures Hamstring, Leaves Game In Third Quarter
10 hours ago

Mookie Betts To Play Infield For The Dodgers In 2025
Bradley Beal11 hours ago

Active On Wednesday
11 hours ago

Baker Mayfield Gets Tagged As DNP On Wednesday
Josh Giddey11 hours ago

To Play On Wednesday
Zach LaVine11 hours ago

Ruled Out On Wednesday
Dereck Lively II12 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday
D'Angelo Russell12 hours ago

Austin Reaves Will Play Wednesday
Jose Alvarado12 hours ago

Jordan Hawkins Both Active On Wednesday
12 hours ago

Chris Olave Visiting With Specialists, Saints Not Rushing Him Back
Zion Williamson12 hours ago

Good To Go On Wednesday
12 hours ago

Dallas Goedert Practicing In Full On Wednesday
Anthony Davis12 hours ago

Ruled Out On Wednesday
Brandin Podziemski13 hours ago

Won't Play Against Boston
13 hours ago

Christian McCaffrey Pain-Free As He Returns To Limited Practice
Caris LeVert13 hours ago

Good To Go On Wednesday
LaMelo Ball13 hours ago

Will Play Against Detroit
13 hours ago

Dak Prescott Partially Tore Hamstring Off Bone
Shaedon Sharpe13 hours ago

Questionable For Thursday Night
David Roddy13 hours ago

Good To Go Versus New York
De'Andre Hunter13 hours ago

Still Out On Wednesday
13 hours ago

DeVonta Smith Does Not Practice Wednesday
Jaylen Brown13 hours ago

"Day-To-Day"
Trae Young13 hours ago

Cleared To Suit Up On Wednesday
Derek Forbort14 hours ago

Out Week-To-Week With A Knee Problem
Bryan Rust14 hours ago

Logs Full Practice On Wednesday
Kevin Hayes14 hours ago

Misses Practice With An Upper-Body Injury
Mason Marchment14 hours ago

Considered Day-To-Day
Matt Roy14 hours ago

Ready To Return On Wednesday
Connor McDavid14 hours ago

Returns To Action Wednesday
15 hours ago

Justin Fields Does Not Practice On Wednesday
15 hours ago

Isiah Pacheco Nearing Return To Practice
15 hours ago

Patrick Mahomes To Practice In Full On Wednesday
15 hours ago

Brian Robinson Jr. Will Practice On Wednesday
15 hours ago

Isaiah Likely Ruled Out For Week 10
15 hours ago

Lamar Jackson Off The Injury Report
15 hours ago

Michael Pittman Jr. Sidelined On Wednesday
16 hours ago

Chris Olave, Cedrick Wilson Jr. Not Practicing On Wednesday
Tari Eason16 hours ago

Listed As Questionable With Illness On Wednesday
Dillon Brooks16 hours ago

Questionable Wednesday With Illness
16 hours ago

Tee Higgins Doubtful For Thursday Night Versus Ravens
16 hours ago

Bryce Young Will Start In Week 10
16 hours ago

Jonathon Brooks To Be Activated, Week 10 Status Still Unclear
17 hours ago

Dallas Goedert Returns To Practice Ahead Of Cowboys Matchup
17 hours ago

A.J. Brown On The Practice Field To Begin Week 10 Prep
17 hours ago

CeeDee Lamb Expected To Be Limited On Wednesday
17 hours ago

Nico Collins Not Practicing On Wednesday, Could Return In Week 10
18 hours ago

Royce Lewis Might See More Time At Second Base
18 hours ago

Alex Bregman Has Bone Chip Removed From Elbow
18 hours ago

Angels Sign Kyle Hendricks
Max Greyserman18 hours ago

Earns Highest DraftKings Salary For WWT Championship
Harry Hall18 hours ago

In Solid Form Heading To Cabo
PGA19 hours ago

Matti Schmid On Fire Ahead Of WWT Championship
Jhonattan Vegas19 hours ago

A Safe Play At WWT Championship
Taylor Moore19 hours ago

Looks To Contend At WWT Championship
Patrick Fishburn19 hours ago

A Volatile Option At El Cardonal
Michael Kim19 hours ago

Aims For Back-To-Back Top-10 Finishes At WWT Championship
Charley Hoffman19 hours ago

Tough To Trust At WWT Championship
Adam Svensson20 hours ago

A Risky Play In Mexico
Daniel Berger21 hours ago

Looks To Keep Cuts-Made Streak Alive In Mexico
Tom Hoge22 hours ago

Hopes To Steady The Ship At World Wide Technology Championship
Travis Konecny24 hours ago

Tallies Four Points In Losing Effort
Nathan MacKinnon24 hours ago

Matches Franchise Record With Five Assists
Andrew Peeke24 hours ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury Tuesday
Anthony Mantha24 hours ago

Suffers A Lower-Body Injury
Cale Makar24 hours ago

Exits With Injury Versus Seattle
Dylan Holloway1 day ago

Taken To Hospital After Being Hit By A Puck
San Diego Padres1 day ago

Padres Nearing Contract Extension With Manager Mike Shildt
1 day ago

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Could Be Moved Back To Second Base
1 day ago

Astros Have Had "Productive" Talks With Alex Bregman
2 days ago

Rangers Decline 2025 Option On Andrew Chafin
2 days ago

Camilo Doval Generating Interest
2 days ago

Shohei Ohtani Undergoes Arthroscopic Shoulder Surgery
2 days ago

Ronald Acuna Jr., Spencer Strider Not Expected To Be Ready By Opening Day
2 days ago

Bo Bichette Not On The Trade Block
Ryan Poehling2 days ago

Out On Tuesday
Alexander Romanov2 days ago

Remains Sidelined Tuesday
Artem Zub2 days ago

Remains Out On Tuesday
Ty Dellandrea2 days ago

Ready To Rejoin Action On Tuesday
Jake Walman2 days ago

Sits As Healthy Scratch On Tuesday
Brayden Point2 days ago

Sits Out Tuesday's Game
Auston Matthews2 days ago

Out On Tuesday
Chandler Phillips2 days ago

Attempts To Keep Final-Round Form This Week
2 days ago

A's Planning To Keep Brent Rooker
Neal Shipley2 days ago

Past Five Tournaments Make Him An Interesting DFS Option
Austin Eckroat2 days ago

Wants To Shake Off Some More Rust In Mexico
Rico Hoey2 days ago

Needs The Putter To Work In Mexico
J.J. Spaun2 days ago

Tries To Keep Second Half Rolling In Mexico
Sam Stevens2 days ago

Hopes To Continue Riding A Hot Putter In Mexico
Erik Van Rooyen2 days ago

Erik van Rooyen Tries To Defend WWT Title
2 days ago

Braves Interested In Nathan Eovaldi
Lucas Glover2 days ago

Well-Rested Heading Into WWT Championship
Ben Griffin2 days ago

Hopes To Continue Good Form In Mexico
Keith Mitchell2 days ago

An Unappealing Play At World Wide Technology Championship
Los Angeles Dodgers2 days ago

Dodgers Expected To Be Favorites To Land Roki Sasaki
2 days ago

Cardinals Don't Extend Qualifying Offer To Paul Goldschmidt
2 days ago

Reds Give Nick Martinez A Qualifying Offer
2 days ago

Christian Walker Receives Qualifying Offer From D-Backs
2 days ago

Dodgers Extend Qualifying Offer To Teoscar Hernandez
2 days ago

Willy Adames Receives Qualifying Offer From Brewers
Artturi Lehkonen2 days ago

Will Make His Season Debut On Tuesday
Ilya Sorokin2 days ago

Takes On Penguins Tuesday
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Wins At Martinsville And Has Chance To Earn Second Straight Championship
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Penalized At Martinsville, Removed From Championship Four
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Not A Factor At Martinsville And Looks Ahead To Phoenix
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Misses Advancing Through Playoffs Despite Top-Three Finish
Brad Keselowski3 days ago

Has A Solid Top-10 Performance At Martinsville
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Loses Out On Winning At Martinsville
Rose Namajunas3 days ago

Drops Decision Matchup
Erin Blanchfield3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Dustin Stoltzfus3 days ago

Gets First-Round Knockout At UFC Edmonton
Marc-Andre Barriault3 days ago

Knocked Out At UFC Edmonton
Trevin Giles3 days ago

Losses Third Fight In A Row
Mike Malott3 days ago

Wins Decision At UFC Edmonton
NASCAR3 days ago

Speeding Penalty Foils Martin Truex Jr.'s Last Realistic Shot At Winning
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Fails To Advance To Championship 4 But Runs Well
Shane Van Gisbergen3 days ago

Shane van Gisbergen Earns Best Oval Finish at Martinsville
William Byron3 days ago

Tentatively In Championship 4 Pending Ruling On Manufacturer Orders
MMA3 days ago

Ariane Lipski Submitted At UFC Edmonton
Jasmine Jasudavicius4 days ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC Edmonton
Caio Machado4 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
Brendson Ribeiro4 days ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC Edmonton
Amir Albazi4 days ago

Falls Short At UFC Edmonton
Brandon Moreno4 days ago

Dominates At UFC Edmonton
Daniel Suarez4 days ago

Will Start 20th At Martinsville
Zane Smith4 days ago

Might Be An Underrated Value Play For Martinsville
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Is A Top DFS Recommendation For Martinsville Lineups
Joey Logano4 days ago

Will Be One To Watch At Martinsville
Brad Keselowski4 days ago

Should DFS Players Rely On Brad Keselowski For Martinsville Lineups?
Carson Hocevar4 days ago

Is A Great DFS Option For All Martinsville DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Is Ty Gibbs Worth Rostering At Martinsville This Week For DFS?
Austin Cindric4 days ago

Could Have A Top-20 Performance At Martinsville
William Byron4 days ago

Might Be Usable Only In DFS Tournaments At Martinsville
Chris Buescher4 days ago

Should DFS Players Roster Chris Buescher At Martinsville?
Alex Bowman4 days ago

Expect A Solid Top-10 Performance From Alex Bowman At Martinsville
Rose Namajunas6 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Edmonton
Erin Blanchfield6 days ago

Returns At UFC Edmonton
Marc-Andre Barriault6 days ago

Dustin Stoltzfus Set To Face Marc-Andre Barriault At UFC Edmonton
Marc-Andre Barriault6 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Edmonton
Trevin Giles6 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mike Malott6 days ago

Opens Up UFC Edmonton Main Card

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP