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PrizePicks PGA DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for the RBC Heritage (Round 1)

Welcome to our PrizePicks PGA DFS prop picks for the RBC Heritage (Round 1). The PGA Tour is in full swing, and PrizePicks has an extensive selection of props for us to take advantage of!

PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or singular stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best and easiest-to-win PGA DFS games in the industry. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky just to place. At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections, and the guys at PrizePicks have worked hard to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a 100% match on your deposit of up to $100.

This week, we're at Harbour Town Golf Links for the RBC Heritage. For the first time in its history, the Heritage will be labeled as an "elevated event," on the PGA Tour. With that label comes a total purse of $20 million and 18 of the top 20 players in the world vying for the Tartan Jacket. I and the entire Rotoballer PGA staff have put out 1,000s of words on the course, key stats, and field this week, so this article won't be focused on the minutiae of projecting outright winners or DFS pivot plays. Instead, I'll be solely focused on a few money-making opportunities I've found in PrizePicks' unique markets to help you build your bankroll as the PGA Tour season gets into full swing! Today's plays are specifically for round one on Thursday, April 13.

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Single Stat PGA Totals - DFS Prop Picks

Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.

Shane Lowry MORE than 11.5 Greens in Regulation

It was quite surprising for me to see Shane Lowry's GIR line set in the same range as players like Sahith Theegala, Kurt Kitayama and Adam Scott (all of whom rank outside the top 50 in this field in GIR % in 2023).

Lowry, on the other hand, has been very proficient in creating birdie looks not only in 2023, but also historically around Harbour Town. Lowry ranks inside the Top 15 in GIRs Gained to the field in both a recent sample size of his last 24 rounds as well as over the course of his Harbour Town career.

He is one of just two other players that can boast the same credentials (Corey Conners and Patrick Cantlay being the others), yet his line is set in a tier below his two contemporaries.

Shane has hit at least 12 GIRs at Harbour Town in 9 of his last 14 rounds, and coming off of a T16 finish at the Masters in which he gained nearly eight shots to the field from tee-to-green, I have no doubts that Lowry can carry that momentum over at a venue he's had so much historical success at.

 

Sam Burns MORE than Taylor Pendrith - Birdies or Better Matchup

We've gotten burned recently in this market with Peter Malnati somehow making six birdies in Round One of the Valero to ruin our ticket that week, but I still maintain that there is value to be had in some of the more egregious Birdie or Better Matchups offered on PrizePicks.

Burns vs Pendrith seems to be the biggest outlier being offered this week, as not only does Sam come into this week on the back of a Match Play win (at another short, positional Pete Dye track), and a career-best finish at the Masters (T29), but his opponent in this matchup comes into the week in some truly dire form.

Pendrith ranks outside the top 100 in both Birdie or Better % and Birdie Chances Created inside 15 feet, and unfortunately for a player that a lot of us picked as a breakout performer in 2023, Pendrith has just one Top 40 finish in nine 2023 starts.

Burns is also the only one of the two with previous Harbour Town experience: finishing ninth here in 2019 and rating out 10th in Birdie or Better % over his 10 cumulative rounds. Sam has the recent form, the course history, and an elite tool (putter) that makes him an everpresent threat to take it deep. I see him as a massive favorite tomorrow morning against a struggling Pendrith.

 

Cameron Young MORE than Davis Riley - Birdies or Better Matchup

While longtime readers of mine will know just how much of a sucker I am for Davis Riley, a birdie or better matchup against Cameron Young is a bridge too far in even my biased view.

Outside of Jon Rahm, nobody on the PGA Tour has been a more prolific birdie maker than Cameron Young in 2023, and that's in spite of ranking 131st in SG: Putting for the year. With Paul Tesori on the bag and a new method of reading greens (AimPoint Express), Young has managed to gain over a stroke per round on the greens in his last two tournaments (Match Play and the Masters).

If these trends continue, things could get pretty ridiculous for the 2022 PGA Tour Rookie of the Year. He's long been considered one of the best ball-strikers on Tour, and this newfound confidence over the flat stick brings Young's ceiling to dizzying heights.

After finishing one shot out of a sudden-death playoff in 2022, everything seems to be lining up for Cam to make a serious run at this year's RBC Heritage. I'm about as overweight on him as I'll ever be on a golfer in a given week, and I'm still more than comfortable adding this prop to my weekly portfolio.

 

Other Recommendations

  • Sungjae Im MORE than 9.5 Fairways Hit
  • Viktor Hovland MORE than Seamus Power - Birdies or Better Matchup
  • Ryan Fox MORE than 36.5 Holes Played

 

Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX

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Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks


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Ausar Thompson14 mins ago

Won't Play On Thursday
Zach Collins19 mins ago

Cleared To Play Thursday
Domantas Sabonis20 mins ago

Gets Through Full Practice
Chris Paul22 mins ago

Good To Go Thursday
Brock Purdy24 mins ago

Limited Again On Thursday
Malik Monk30 mins ago

Making Progress
George Kittle30 mins ago

Limited Again On Thursday
Tre Mann39 mins ago

Good To Go On Thursday
Miles Bridges45 mins ago

Won't Play On Thursday
Vince Williams Jr.53 mins ago

Out At Least A Month
Scottie Barnes59 mins ago

Returning On Thursday
Alex Ovechkin1 hour ago

To Miss 4-6 Weeks With Fractured Fibula
Paul George1 hour ago

Out At Least Two Games
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Back For Blue Jackets Thursday
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Nicholas Paul Will Miss Thursday's Game
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Sam Darnold2 hours ago

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Isiah Pacheco2 hours ago

Remains Limited On Thursday
D'Andre Swift3 hours ago

Upgrades To Limited Participant On Thursday
Luka Doncic3 hours ago

Expected To Miss At Least A Week
CeeDee Lamb3 hours ago

Sidelined During Thursday's Practice
Ladd McConkey3 hours ago

Does Not Practice On Thursday
Mike Evans3 hours ago

Logs Full Practice On Thursday
DeVonta Smith4 hours ago

Misses Another Practice
Cody Bellinger5 hours ago

Cubs Looking To Trade Cody Bellinger?
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Preparing To Play In Week 12
CeeDee Lamb5 hours ago

Not Seen At Thursday's Practice
5 hours ago

Blake Snell Has Met With Red Sox, Dodgers
Aaron Rodgers6 hours ago

Jets Owner Suggested Benching Aaron Rodgers
Mike Evans7 hours ago

Practicing Again On Thursday
Chandler Stephenson8 hours ago

Registers Three Assists Versus Predators
Jason Robertson8 hours ago

Totals Three Points In Wednesday's Win
Nils Lundkvist9 hours ago

Exits Early With A Lower-Body Injury
Matthew Knies9 hours ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury
Mikael Granlund9 hours ago

Exits Late With Injury Wednesday
Patrik Laine9 hours ago

Returns To Practice
Ausar Thompson9 hours ago

Listed As Doubtful For Thursday
Walker Kessler9 hours ago

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Chris Sale20 hours ago

Wins National League Cy Young Award
Tarik Skubal20 hours ago

Wins 2024 American League Cy Young Award
Austin Eckroat22 hours ago

Heads To The RSM Classic After Win
Harris English22 hours ago

Finding Form Heading To The RSM Classic
Ben Griffin22 hours ago

Continues Playing Well Heading To The RSM Classic
Denny McCarthy22 hours ago

Returns to The RSM Classic
Josh Jacobs23 hours ago

Limited With Multiple Injuries
DeVonta Smith23 hours ago

Misses Practice On Wednesday
Seth Jones1 day ago

Expected To Miss Four Weeks
Sam Darnold1 day ago

Limited With Foot Injury
Max Domi1 day ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Jalen Hurts1 day ago

Limited On Wednesday
Connor Ingram1 day ago

Out Day-To-Day With An Upper-Body Injury
Jake Ferguson1 day ago

Picks Up A DNP On Wednesday
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen1 day ago

Returns To Action Versus Kings
Alex Tuch1 day ago

Available Wednesday
Tage Thompson1 day ago

Remains Out On Wednesday
Jordan Eberle1 day ago

To Remain Out On Wednesday
Ludvig Aberg1 day ago

Looks To Defend RSM Classic Title
Si Woo Kim1 day ago

An Intriguing Option At RSM Classic
Maverick McNealy1 day ago

In Solid Form Ahead Of RSM Classic
Eric Cole1 day ago

Chasing First Tour Victory At RSM Classic
2 days ago

Guardians' Stephen Vogt Named AL Manager Of The Year
Milwaukee Brewers2 days ago

Pat Murphy Named NL Manager Of The Year
2 days ago

Nick Pivetta Declines Boston's Qualifying Offer
Jose Siri2 days ago

Mets Acquire Jose Siri From The Rays
2 days ago

Phillies To Meet With Juan Soto
2 days ago

Luis Severino Rejects Qualifying Offer From Mets
2 days ago

Willy Adames Declines Brewers Qualifying Offer
2 days ago

Teoscar Hernandez Declines Qualifying Offer From Dodgers
2 days ago

Juan Soto Declines Yankees' Qualifying Offer
Luis Gil3 days ago

Wins AL Rookie Of The Year Award
Paul Skenes3 days ago

Named 2024 NL Rookie Of The Year
Brady Singer3 days ago

Reds, Royals Discussing Jonathan India, Brady Singer
3 days ago

Sean Manaea To Reject Mets' Qualifying Offer
3 days ago

Braves Have Interest In Walker Buehler
3 days ago

Astros Interested In Willy Adames
Charles Oliveira3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Michael Chandler3 days ago

Gets Dominated At UFC 309
Karine Silva3 days ago

Suffers Her First UFC Loss
Viviane Araujo3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Mauricio Ruffy3 days ago

Extends His Win Streak To Six
Nick Martinez4 days ago

Signs Qualifying Offer With Reds
4 days ago

Luis Severino Likely To Decline Qualifying Offer From Mets
James Llontop4 days ago

Loses Clear-Cut Decision In Thrilling Fight At UFC 309
Paul Craig4 days ago

Loses Decision At UFC 309
Bo Nickal4 days ago

Remains Undefeated With Lackluster Performance At UFC 309
Stipe Miocic4 days ago

Retires After UFC 309 Loss
Jon Jones4 days ago

Gets TKO Win At UFC 309 To Defend Heavyweight Title

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