Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL regular season is winding down, but our new friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some props for Week 17's Monday night contest between the Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers.
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NFL Fantasy Score and Single-Stat Totals
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for point per reception, meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
Ben Roethlisberger over 220.5 passing yards - This is likely Big Ben's final game at Heinz Field and he will likely go out swinging against this Browns defense. They have allowed seven quarterbacks to throw for over this total on the season and have allowed two of the previous three quarterbacks faced to get over this total. Roethlisberger has also gone over this total in three of his previous five games and also threw for 266 passing yards in his last game against these Browns.
Diontae Johnson over 68.5 receiving yards - It makes sense to pair Big Ben with his favorite receiver in Diontate Johnson. Johnson has earned double-digit targets in all but four games this season. He has also gone over this total in all but four games this season and managed to haul in six receptions for 98 yards in his last meeting with these Browns. The Browns have also allowed Rashod Bateman and Davante Adams to burn them for over 100 receiving yards in two of the previous three weeks.
Nick Chubb over 19.0 fantasy score - The Browns' props are a bit tougher to gauge this week as they have now been officially eliminated from the playoffs. That being said, they have an opportunity to end the Steelers season tonight and that should be reason enough to motivate them. The Steelers have allowed an average of over 120 rushing yards per game to running backs this season, which is ranked second-worst in the league. They have also allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to the position on the season by allowing nearly 27 points per game, which is great news for Chubb as he is fresh off a 27-point performance against the Packers on Christmas night.
Najee Harris under 16.0 fantasy score - The Browns have a strong run defense as they have allowed the 11th-fewest rushing yards to running backs on the season while also allowing the 11th-fewest fantasy points per game to the position. Harris has also struggled to get going in recent weeks as he has eclipsed this total just once in his previous five games while averaging just 13 fantasy points per game over that span.
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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