Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some PrizePicks for the Thursday Night Football game between the Baltimore Ravens and Miami Dolphins.
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Single-Stat NFL Totals
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for point per reception, meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
Lamar Jackson over 230.5 passing yards - The Ravens have been relying heavily on the arms and legs of Jackson this season and he has now thrown at least 30 passes in five of the Ravens' previous six games. The Dolphins have struggled against the pass this season as they have allowed three of the previous five quarterbacks they have faced to get over this total and have allowed five quarterbacks to eclipse it on the season. This is also a number Jackson has gone over in five of his previous six games.
Marquise Brown over 57.5 receiving yards - Brown gets a solid matchup in this one against a Dolphins team that has allowed an average of nearly 177 receiving yards per game over the previous four weeks, which is ranked fifth-worst in the league over that span. Brown has been heavily targeted as he has seen an average of over 10 targets per game over the previous four weeks. He has also eclipsed this total in four of his previous five games and loves playing in Miami as he hauled in four receptions for 147 yards and two touchdowns in his last trip during the 2019 season.
Mark Andrews over 48.5 receiving yards - This feels like a solid game to stack up Ravens' pass catchers as the Dolphins have also struggled against the tight end position. Over the previous four weeks, the Dolphins have allowed tight ends to average over 83 receiving yards per game, which is ranked second-worst in the league. Andrews has also averaged nearly nine targets per game over the previous five weeks and has gone over this total in five of his previous seven games.
Jaylen Waddle over 61.5 receiving yards - We have to include a Miami Dolphin here, so Jaylen Waddle makes the most sense as the Dolphins figure to be trailing in this game and they are down on pass catchers as DeVante Parker was recently added to IR. Waddle has seen nearly 11 targets per game over the previous four weeks and has managed to get over this total in three of those four games. The Ravens have allowed a wide receiver to get over this total in three of their previous four games, and Waddle makes the most sense to be the next.
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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