PrizePicks NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Week 5 (Sunday Late 4 PM Slate)

Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 5 - Sunday Late 4 PM Slate! The 2023 NFL season is underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.

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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests

PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.

On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point.

Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.

If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.

NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 5

Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.

Patrick Mahomes LESS than 290.5 passing yards

This is admittedly risky as Mahomes can throw for 300 passing yards on any given Sunday. That being said, the PrizePicks Optimizer loves this play as it has been given a 55.36% chance of success. The main reason behind the play at this number is due to the fact that most books have this listed somewhere around 285.5 passing yards, so we are getting a five-yard discount.

Mahomes has also only eclipsed this total in one of his first four games and has not even been close in the other three games. The Vikings' pass defense has also been slightly better than expected as they have allowed an average of just under 244 passing yards per game. While not superb, this might be enough to keep Mahomes under the total. The Chiefs are also favored in this game, which could lead to less passing and more carries for Isiah Pacheco.

Travis Kelce MORE than .5 pass+ rush + rec touchdowns

Kelce got shut out as far as touchdowns were concerned in Week 4 against the New York Jets, but he has a solid shot in this game against the Vikings. Thus far in 2023, Minnesota has allowed two touchdowns to the tight end position, which ranks sixth-worst in the league.

Kelce has earned 27 targets through his first three games and has also managed to score in two of those three games. The Chiefs also have an implied total of 29.5 points, so Kelce can certainly be expected to be involved in that type of offensive output.

UPDATE: This play has recently been removed from the board, but keep an eye out as it could certainly re-emerge as the week progresses.

Joe Mixon MORE than 68.5 rushing yards

The Bengals have gotten off to a rough start to begin 2023, but this could be a get-right spot for Joe Mixon and company against the Arizona Cardinals. Mixon has carried the ball 59 times for 247 rushing yards while eclipsing this total in each of his previous two games.

He will be up against a Cardinals defense that has allowed running backs to average over 4.3 yards per carry. They have also allowed the 10th-most total rushing yards to the position. The Bengals will enter this game as field goal favorites as well, which should certainly help the cause for Mixon to carry the ball a bit more down the stretch.

Other Recommendations: Joe Mixon MORE than .5 pass + rush + rec touchdowns

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