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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 12
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Josh Downs MORE than 57.5 receiving yards
Josh Downs has been on a solid streak as he has hauled in 22 of 33 targets for 325 receiving yards over the previous four weeks. He has also eclipsed this total in each of the previous four weeks.
He will be up against a Lions defense that has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards to wide receivers on the season. It has especially struggled against slot wide receivers, which is where Downs has lined up on 65% of his snaps. In recent weeks, the Lions have allowed some big games to slot receivers like John Metchie (5/74), Jayden Reed (5/113), and Jalen Nailor (4/76).
The Colts are also entering this game as seven-point underdogs, which should lead to some additional targets for Downs as they may be passing more late in the game.
Hunter Henry MORE than 43.5 receiving yards
Hunter Henry is another pass-catcher who has seen a lot of volume recently as he has garnered at least six targets in four of his previous five games. He has also gone for more than this total in four of his previous five games while averaging 54 receiving yards per game over that span.
The matchup against Miami comes at the right time as well. Over the previous four weeks, Miami has allowed 341 receiving yards to the tight-end position, which ranks second-worst in the league over that span. In those four weeks, Miami has allowed some massive games to Trey McBride (9/124) and Brock Bowers (13/126). It has also allowed a 71% completion rate on tight-end targets during that span.
As with Josh Downs, Henry and the Patriots are seven-point underdogs, which could lead to additional targets for Henry late in the game.
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