PrizePicks NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Week 12 (Sunday Early 1 PM Slate)

Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 12 - Sunday Early 1 PM Slate! The 2023 NFL season is well underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.

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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests

PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.

On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.

Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point.

Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.

If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.

NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 12

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Michael Pittman Jr. MORE than 65.5 receiving yards

Michael Pittman Jr. and the Colts' passing offense should be in pretty good shape against this Tampa Bay Buccaneers secondary. On the season, the Bucs have allowed the third-most receiving yards to wide receivers behind only the Washington Commanders and New York Giants.

Pittman Jr. has eclipsed this total in three of his previous five games while averaging seven receptions per game across that span. Pittman Jr. has also averaged over 10 targets per game across his previous five games, so volume should not be a concern in this game.

Mike Evans MORE than 60.5 receiving yards

Mike Evans has eclipsed this total in two of his previous three games and three of his previous five games. He will be up against a Colts secondary that has allowed nine wide receivers to eclipse this total across their 10 games played. The Colts have also allowed an average of over 153 receiving yards per game to wide receivers. Evans has become the bona fide favorite target of Baker Mayfield as well as noted by the fact that he has averaged nearly nine targets per game across his previous six games.

Gardner Minshew MORE than 230.5 passing yards

I like the idea of pairing up Minshew and Pittman Jr. in this game given how bad the Bucs have been against the pass this season. While they have allowed the third-most receiving yards to wide receivers, they have also allowed the third-most passing yards to quarterbacks while also allowing an average of nearly 290 passing yards per game.

Gardner Minshew has failed to reach this total in each of his previous three games; however, he will be up against an absolute pass funnel defense in this one. The Bucs, despite being lousy against the pass, have actually allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards to the running back position. This tells me that the Colts could definitely struggle to get Jonathan Taylor going in this one and be forced to rely a bit more on Minshew's arm, which is certainly capable of eclipsing this total as he did in Weeks 6 and 7 when he threw for over 300 yards in each contest.

Derrick Henry MORE than .5 pass + rush + rec touchdowns

We all know Derrick Henry has struggled the previous two weeks, only carrying the ball 21 times for 62 rushing yards, but this matchup against Carolina could get him back on track. The Panthers have allowed the fourth-most total rushing yards to the running back position while also allowing an average of 115 rushing yards per game and an average of over 4.6 yards per carry. If this does not scream a massive game for Henry, perhaps the fact that the Panthers have allowed 16 (!) total touchdowns to the running back position this season will help reinforce the point.

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