Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 11 - Sunday Main Slate! The 2023 NFL season is underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.
On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point.
Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.
If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 11
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Amon-Ra St. Brown MORE than 85.5 receiving yards
We had solid success with St. Brown last week as he cruised over his receiving prop by hauling in eight receptions for 156 receiving yards and a touchdown against the Los Angeles Chargers. He has now averaged nearly 10 receptions and over 122 receiving yards per game over his previous four games while also totaling at least 100 receiving yards in each of those four games.
St. Brown and the Lions have a solid matchup through the air in this game as well. On the season, the Bears have been stout against the run by allowing the fifth-fewest rushing yards to the position. However, they have allowed a total of 1,438 receiving yards to wide receivers. This equates to them allowing an average of over 140 receiving yards per game to wide receivers. The Lions should come out looking to attack through the air in this game and that certainly helps St. Brown's chances of eclipsing this total.
Brock Purdy MORE than 238.5 passing yards
I have been burned by Purdy once already this season, but this feels like a great spot for him. He has now eclipsed this total in three straight games and in six of his previous seven games. He will also be up against a pass-funnel offense in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
On the season, Tampa Bay has allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards to the running back position while also allowing the third-most passing yards to the quarterback position. This is a situation not dissimilar to last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars when Purdy went 19-for-26 for 296 passing yards.
Trey McBride MORE than 54.5 receiving yards
Although Trey McBride has only eclipsed this total in three total games this season, they have all come in his last five games played. With Zach Ertz out, McBride has stepped up and has a solid shot of eclipsing this total in his game against the Houston Texans.
On the season, Houston has struggled against the tight end position by allowing the seventh-most total receiving yards to them. They have also allowed an average of over 61 receiving yards per game to tight ends. A total of three tight ends over the Texans' previous five games have eclipsed this total.
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