Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 1 - Sunday Night Slate! The 2023 NFL season is finally underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.
On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception", meaning every reception is worth one point.
Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.
If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 1 Sunday Night
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Tony Pollard MORE than 71.5 rush yards
Tony Pollard and the Dallas Cowboys look to take on the New York Giants for the very first Sunday Night Football game of the season. Pollard averaged a very solid 5.2 yards per carry in 2022 and will look to keep that up here to start the season. In addition to being an efficient rusher, the Giants' rush defense is terrible. Pollard should see a great amount of volume as he no longer has the toll of sharing with Ezekiel Elliott.
The books have Pollard listed at 70.5 rushing yards with even odds, giving us a one-yard margin. Pollard is a guy who can go off for 100 yards on any given week, so if all I need from him is 72 yards to cash, I'll take it.
Daniel Jones MORE than 31.5 pass attempts
Daniel Jones and the Giants fell to the Cowboys in both games last year, both in which Jones threw 35+ attempts. The Cowboys should take a lead here in this game, forcing Jones to pass the ball more urgently.
The books have Jones at 31.5 pass attempts with -125 odds on the over. I expect to see a close game in which Danny Dimes lets it fly.
Darren Waller MORE than 4 receptions
As the new and improved tight end for the Giants, I expect Waller to instantly become a focal point for this New York offense. The Giants' receiving core is extremely weak; there's no question about it. Being the talented TE that he is, Waller should be a go-to option for Jones whenever he is in trouble. On a team with not much WR star power, I don't see why Waller doesn't become that guy.
The books have Waller listed at 4.5 receptions with -150 odds on the under, giving us a half-reception margin here. Consider this a safe push play with solid potential to go over in his Giants debut.
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