Hello everybody and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 4 Thursday Night Football - Bears vs. Commanders! The 2023 NFL season is finally underway and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for TNF
Justin Fields MORE than 192.5 passing yards
Justin Fields has had some ups and downs to begin 2023, but he is fresh off of a Week 4 performance in which he lit up the Denver Broncos defense for 335 passing yards in a crushing defeat. He has also thrown for more than 200 passing yards in three of his first four games to begin the 2023 campaign and will be up against a suspect Washington Commanders' secondary.
Over the first four weeks of the season, Washington has allowed an average of over 244 passing yards per game to the quarterback position, which ranks in the bottom half of the league. The Bears are also going to enter this game as seven-point underdogs, which should lead to some additional passing on their end. Add in the fact that each of the last three quarterbacks the Commanders have faced has eclipsed this total and you have a solid recipe for success in with this play.
D.J. Moore MORE than 50.5 receiving yards
I do not normally enjoy recommending a Bears' wide receiver to go over their receiving prop, but this spot might be too good to ignore for D.J. Moore. More has eclipsed this total in two of his previous three games while eclipsing 100 receiving yards in those two games.
As aforementioned, the Bears will be touchdown underdogs in this one, which should lead to some additional passing, and with Moore having garnered 22 targets over his previous three games, he will likely be a big beneficiary of those extra targets. This is great news as the Commanders have allowed an average of over 200 receiving yards per game to the wide receiver position, which ranks fifth-worst in the league.
Brian Robinson Jr. MORE than 63.5 rushing yards
The Washington Commanders run game should be able to perform well in this one. They will be up against a Bears defense that has allowed an average of 96 rushing yards per game to the running back position, which ranks ninth-worst in the league.
Robinson has eclipsed this total in two of his previous three games while also averaging over 15 carries per game on the season, and is a relatively solid play based on the PrizePicks Optimizer. The fact that Washington is heavily favored should also work in his favor as he will likely shoulder the load down the stretch.
Other Recommendations: Antonio Gibson MORE than 13.5 receiving yards
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