X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Poetry in Motion: The Development of Robbie Ray

The NL strikeout king next season could turn out to be a player with a 6-11 record and 4.47 ERA. (Let's just assume Clayton Kershaw is still hurt in 2017 for this exercise). In the last 30 days, basically the entire second half to this point, Arizona Diamondbacks LHP Robbie Ray has more strikeouts than all but three pitchers: Stephen Strasburg, Madison Bumgarner, and Max Scherzer. Since the break, Ray is just two K shy of the NL-leading Strasburg, but I don't need to tell you how Strasburg is faring over that time since his 7.63 ERA and inability to escape the 2nd inning the other day say it all (sorry Strasburg owners - I feel ya).

For the majority of the season Ray has been a streaming option at best and has frustrated owners with his inconsistency. With an ERA that hasn't dipped below 4.00 since April 28th and a serious lack of wins, fantasy owners can't be blamed for ignoring him. While struggles may be expected from a relatively young pitcher at 24 years old, Ray is starting to show signs of maturity that may bode well for his immediate future.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller offers the best Premium MLB Subscription - only $14.99 for the rest of season (plus playoffs), or less than 25 cents a day. All the tools you need to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids. Plus advanced tools for Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings, and Under-the-Radar Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, plus

Ray's current overall ratios don't inspire much confidence. 4.47 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .341 OBP just don't cut it in any format. As a result, he is owned in 27% of Fleaflicker leagues, which means some of his strengths have gone unnoticed. Ray is fifth among all qualifying starters with a 10.89 K/9 for the season and his 161 total strikeouts rank sixth in the NL, ahead of Cy Young candidates Jake Arrieta and Johnny Cueto. Those numbers have even gone up in the past month, with a 12.24 K/9. He has a live fastball that is creeping up in velocity each season, up to 93.9 MPH in 2016. He combines that with a nasty slider to get hitters out. He is currently getting an 18.8% SwStr% on his slider, a figure that has jumped dramatically since his rookie year. Although he wasn't labeled a strikeout pitcher entering the league, his K rate has jumped each year, from 6.0 K/9 in 2014 with Detroit, to 8.4 last year in Arizona, up to 12.4 this season.

Ray K slider

That's the face I made after reading Strasburg's latest line. Yes, I'm a bitter owner.

Strikeouts alone don't make a successful pitcher in the fantasy world, but there is evidence that Ray has been a bit unlucky and pitching better than his stats suggest. His 3.40 xFIP is actually good for eighth in the NL. Ray also has a .362 BABIP which is second-highest in the majors. Other pitchers who profile similarly to Ray in this respect are high strikeout pitchers as well, including Noah Syndergaard (3rd), Jose Fernandez (8th), and David Price (10th). This is no surprise as Arizona's defense is ranked 22nd in errors made this year with 78, and 21st in fielding percentage.

His home ballpark hasn't done him any favors either. His 5.13 ERA at home is over a full run higher than away, where it's a respectable 3.80. Ray is not a fly ball pitcher, as he averages a 29.3% FB% at home. Unfortunately, his 14.9% HR/FB% ranks in the top 20 among starting pitchers. Chase Field has the second highest HR rate in the NL at 2.70. In case you are wondering, Coors Field is not first. It's actually the Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati at 2.95.

Ray homer

Even if Ray kept more balls in the park, the WHIP is still problematic. Ray's 3.32 BB/9 puts him in the top 20 in MLB. (The plate's over there, Robbie.) He is turning a corner in the second half, though, with a 2.20 BB/9 in the last 30 days. With a rising strikeout rate and falling walk rate, it's easy to see why this third year pitcher might be primed for a jump in value.

Ray double Ks

Did I mention he strikes out a lot of batters?

Robbie Ray may, in fact, be the type of pitcher worth taking a chance on as a savvy waiver wire pickup down the stretch, approaching September. He could even enter the discussion as mid-rotation arm next year in fantasy drafts. While the Diamondbacks pitching staff has largely disappointed this year, Ray has the potential to bring value to fantasy owners in strikeouts alone. It doesn't look like baseball is going to abolish the Wins category any time soon (sorry, @Roto_Dubs), but that's nearly impossible to predict anyway. Starting him at home carries some risk, but you know what they say- bet on Ray away and he just might save the day. (Ed note: nobody has ever said that, ever)

Live Expert Q&A Chats - Every Weekday @ 1 PM and 6 PM EST (DFS)

Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-55" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Wyndham Clark2 mins ago

Hitting His Stride Heading To The PLAYERS Championship
Akshay Bhatia4 mins ago

Looks To Bounce Back At The PLAYERS Championship
Sepp Straka5 mins ago

In Excellent Form Heading To The PLAYERS Championship
5 mins ago

Juuso Valimaki To Miss 8-9 Months Following Knee Surgery
Justin Rose8 mins ago

Secures Second Top-10 Finish
Maverick McNealy10 mins ago

Misses The Cut For The First Time In 2025
Kenny Pickett10 mins ago

Browns Acquire Kenny Pickett From The Eagles
Jonathan Kuminga10 mins ago

Continues To Progress But Still No Timetable On Return
Hideki Matsuyama14 mins ago

Playing Excellent Golf Heading To The PLAYERS Championship
Jake Knapp16 mins ago

Returns To Action For The PLAYERS Championship
Will Zalatoris17 mins ago

Continues Excellent 2025 Season At Arnold Palmer Invitational
Billy Horschel18 mins ago

Misses The Cut At Arnold Palmer Invitational
Tommy Fleetwood18 mins ago

Secures Fourth Top-25 Finish In 2025
Jason Day20 mins ago

Secures Top-10 Finish At Arnold Palmer Invitational
Sam Burns23 mins ago

Has Yet To Miss The Cut In 2025
Ludvig Aberg23 mins ago

Finishes Strong At Arnold Palmer Invitational
Denver Broncos32 mins ago

Broncos Agree To Three-Year Contract With Talanoa Hufanga
Denver Broncos39 mins ago

D.J. Jones, Broncos Agree On Three-Year Deal
Kelly Oubre Jr.40 mins ago

Out Against Hawks
Trevor Rogers41 mins ago

Still Playing Catch On Flat Ground
Pittsburgh Steelers50 mins ago

Steelers Release Larry Ogunjobi
Noah Cameron54 mins ago

Royals Cut Noah Cameron, Among Others
Pittsburgh Steelers57 mins ago

Darius Slay Set To Join The Steelers
Bradley Beal1 hour ago

Sidelined On Monday
Osleivis Basabe1 hour ago

Optioned By San Francisco
Houston Texans1 hour ago

Sheldon Rankins Returns To Houston
Braxton Berrios1 hour ago

Agrees On One-Year Deal With Texans
Aaron Gordon1 hour ago

Ruled Out Monday
Nick Mullens1 hour ago

Jaguars Add Nick Mullens On Two-Year Deal
Tom Murphy1 hour ago

Still Battling Back Issue
Washington Commanders2 hours ago

Javon Kinlaw Agrees With Commanders On Three-Year Deal
Washington Commanders2 hours ago

Commanders Acquire Laremy Tunsil From Texans
Wade Meckler2 hours ago

Dealing With Neck Strain
Carolina Panthers2 hours ago

Patrick Jones II Heading To Panthers On Two-Year Deal
Carolina Panthers2 hours ago

Panthers Sign Tre'von Moehrig To Three-Year Deal
Luke Farrell2 hours ago

Agrees To Three-Year Deal With 49ers
Patrick Taylor Jr.2 hours ago

49ers Give Patrick Taylor Jr. A One-Year Extension
Chicago Bears2 hours ago

Bears Give Dayo Odeyingbo A Three-Year Deal
Chicago Bears2 hours ago

Drew Dalman Agrees To Three-Year Deal With Bears
Green Bay Packers2 hours ago

Packers, Aaron Banks Agree To $77 Million Contract
Chicago Bears2 hours ago

Bears Bringing Grady Jarrett To Chicago On Three-Year Deal
Samaje Perine3 hours ago

Reuniting With Bengals
Dyami Brown3 hours ago

Set To Join Jaguars On $10 Million Deal
Dylan Floro3 hours ago

A's Reassign Dylan Floro To Minor-League Camp
Joshua Palmer3 hours ago

Heading To Buffalo
Los Angeles Dodgers3 hours ago

Dodgers, Dave Roberts Agree On Four-Year Extension
Luis Rengifo3 hours ago

Takes Part In On-Field Drills
Riley Adams3 hours ago

Back In Action On Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.3 hours ago

Ronald Acuna Jr. Impressing In Live Batting Practice
Gerrit Cole3 hours ago

Meeting With Dr. Neal ElAttrache On Monday
Clarke Schmidt5 hours ago

To Make Grapefruit League Debut On Tuesday
Starling Marte5 hours ago

Serving As DH On Monday In Spring Debut
Noelvi Marte5 hours ago

Reds Send Noelvi Marte To Triple-A
Dillon Tate5 hours ago

Blue Jays Agree With Dillon Tate
PIT5 hours ago

Thomas Novak Sustains Lower-Body Injury On Sunday
Erik Swanson5 hours ago

To Meet With Doctor On Thursday
Stuart Skinner5 hours ago

Facing Buffalo On Monday
Daulton Varsho5 hours ago

Truly Day-To-Day
Jason Zucker5 hours ago

Expected To Return On Monday
Jacob Bernard-Docker6 hours ago

Not Playing On Monday
Jayson Tatum6 hours ago

Questionable Monday Against Jazz
Jiri Kulich6 hours ago

Not Playing On Monday
Jordan Greenway6 hours ago

A Game-Time Call On Monday
Trae Young6 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable Against 76ers
Andrew Wiggins6 hours ago

Listed As Probable On Monday
Tyler Herro6 hours ago

Tagged As Probable On Monday
Luka Dončić6 hours ago

Luka Doncic Considered Questionable Monday Against Nets
Tyler Reddick6 hours ago

Power-Steering Failure Foils Tyler Reddick's Bid For Potential Victory
William Byron6 hours ago

Recovers From Being Trapped A Lap Down To Finish Sixth
Josh Berry6 hours ago

Gives Wood Brothers Team Best Run Since 2021
Amen Thompson7 hours ago

Sidelined For 10-14 Days
Jusuf Nurkić7 hours ago

Jusuf Nurkic Likely To Play On Monday
Alex Pereira7 hours ago

Drops Decision At UFC 313
Magomed Ankalaev7 hours ago

Becomes The New UFC Light-Heavyweight Champion
Emmanuel Rodriguez8 hours ago

Sent To Minor-League Camp
Alan Roden8 hours ago

Flashing Power In Grapefruit League
Justin Gaethje8 hours ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Jackson Jobe8 hours ago

Allows One Hit In Latest Spring Outing
Rafael Fiziev8 hours ago

Loses Third Fight In A Row
Cade Horton8 hours ago

Makes Spring Debut
Ignacio Bahamondes8 hours ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC 313
Christopher Bell8 hours ago

Scores His Third Consecutive Victory Of The Season At Phoenix
Kyle Larson8 hours ago

Strong Phoenix Performance Falls Short Of Victory
Chris Buescher8 hours ago

Quietly Earns A Top-Five Finish At Phoenix
Alex Bowman8 hours ago

Leaves Phoenix With His Best Finish At The Site Since 2016
Zane Smith8 hours ago

Quietly Nabs His First Phoenix Top-10 Finish
Jalin Turner8 hours ago

Retires After UFC 313 Loss
Iasmin Lucindo9 hours ago

Gets Dominated At UFC 313
Amanda Lemos9 hours ago

Dominates At UFC 313
King Green9 hours ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC 313
Mauricio Ruffy9 hours ago

Scores Highlight-Reel Knockout
Ben Simmons22 hours ago

To Miss Road Trip
Jabari Walker22 hours ago

Cleared For Sunday
Luka Garza22 hours ago

Available On Sunday
Deni Avdija22 hours ago

Remains Out On Sunday
Rudy Gobert22 hours ago

To Play On Sunday
Gary Trent Jr.23 hours ago

Returning On Sunday
Kyle Kuzma23 hours ago

Available On Sunday
Walker Kessler23 hours ago

Remains Out On Sunday
Andre Drummond23 hours ago

Cleared For Sunday
Jose Alvarado24 hours ago

Available Versus Memphis
Marcus Hogberg1 day ago

Activated From Injured Reserve
Connor Ingram1 day ago

Re-Enters Player Assistance Program
Connor Hellebuyck1 day ago

Taking On Hurricanes Sunday
Frederik Andersen1 day ago

Faces Jets Sunday
Daniil Tarasov1 day ago

Starts Against Rangers Sunday
Luke Kunin1 day ago

Set For Blue Jackets Debut Sunday
Dmitry Orlov1 day ago

Out On Sunday
Steven Stamkos1 day ago

Nets Hat Trick On Saturday
Zach Hyman1 day ago

Tallies Three Points In Victory
Dustin Wolf1 day ago

Shuts The Door On Canadiens On Saturday
Valeri Nichushkin1 day ago

Leads The Way On Saturday
Vitek Vanecek1 day ago

Shines In Florida Debut
Roope Hintz1 day ago

Exits Early On Saturday
Chase Elliott1 day ago

Is Chase Elliott Worth Rostering At Phoenix This Week For DFS?
Joey Logano1 day ago

Will Be A Top Contender To Win At Phoenix
Denny Hamlin1 day ago

Is Difficult to Recommend As A DFS Option
Carson Hocevar1 day ago

Is Not An Ideal Driver To Add To Phoenix DFS Lineups
Brad Keselowski1 day ago

Is A Solid DFS Choice For Phoenix Lineups
Austin Cindric1 day ago

Could Be Worth Using In Phoenix Tournament Lineups
Kyle Busch1 day ago

Should Fantasy Players Roster Kyle Busch At Phoenix?
Michael McDowell1 day ago

Is Michael McDowell Worth Rostering For Phoenix DFS Lineups?
Ty Gibbs1 day ago

Is A DFS Recommendation Despite Inconsistent Track History At Phoenix
Austin Dillon1 day ago

Is Austin Dillon Worth Rostering In DFS For Phoenix This Week?
Cole Custer1 day ago

Is An Underrated DFS Value Pick For Phoenix Lineups
Tyler Reddick1 day ago

DFS Value Likely Hinges On How Much He Leads
Chase Briscoe1 day ago

Despite Strong Phoenix Record, Chase Briscoe Qualifies Inexplicably Poorly
Jakub Dobes2 days ago

Starts For Canadiens Saturday
Magomed Ankalaev3 days ago

Challenges For Light-Heavyweight Title At UFC 313
Alex Pereira3 days ago

Set For Fourth Title Defense
Rafael Fiziev3 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Justin Gaethje3 days ago

Set For A Rematch
Ignacio Bahamondes3 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Jalin Turner3 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Iasmin Lucindo3 days ago

Looks For Her Fifth Win In A Row
Amanda Lemos3 days ago

Looks To Return To Win Column At UFC 313
Mauricio Ruffy3 days ago

Returns To Action At UFC 313
King Green3 days ago

Opens Up UFC 313 Main Card
Sahith Theegala5 days ago

Looking To Keep Spark From Last Event Alive At Bay Hill
Robert MacIntyre5 days ago

An Interesting Play At Arnold Palmer Invitational
Max Homa5 days ago

Hoping His Course History At Bay Hill Can Help Turn Season Around
Tommy Fleetwood5 days ago

Looking To Get Back Into Good Graces At Bay Hill
Michael Kim5 days ago

One Of The Hottest Players In Golf Heading To Bay Hill
Xander Schauffele5 days ago

Making Long-Awaited Start Since Rib Injury At Bay Hill
Sepp Straka5 days ago

Needs Accuracy At Arnold Palmer Invitational
Collin Morikawa5 days ago

Looking For Better Form On And Around The Greens At Bay Hill
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF