3 weeks agoComing off a T48 at the API and missing the cut at TPC Sawgrass last week, Sam Burns will look to rebound at Innisbrook this week at the Valspar Championship. This is an event where the 28-year-old has thrived in past years having back-to-back victories in 2022 and 2023. From a course history perspective, he is one of the most dominant players in the field, as he sports a +2.809 total strokes gained at this course over his last 14 rounds. It has been by way of dominant approach play, with an average of +0.932 in strokes gained on approach. However, the two previous starts mentioned this season have been due to horrific iron play that will make repeat success at this championship difficult. If picking Burns is purely reliant on course history, he's a worthwhile pick; but the current state of his game is undoubtedly hard to trust.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
4 weeks agoSam Burns finished T48 at last week's Arnold Palmer Invitational and is now focusing on preparing for The PLAYERS Championship, which will be held at TPC Sawgrass this week. Burns has not missed the cut in any of his six tournaments this year and has a solid history at The PLAYERS Championship. He finished T45 in 2024, T35 in 2023, and T26 in 2022. In last year's edition, over 32% of approach shots came from 100-150 yards. Over the past 12 months, Burns has ranked in the 58th percentile for greens in regulation percentage on approach shots from this distance in the fairway. Given his recent performance and past success at The PLAYERS Championship, Burns could be a valuable addition to DFS lineups this week.
--Ian Christenson - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
1 month agoSam Burns has finished inside the top 50 in every event so far this 2025 season. The American golfer has not won since the 2023 WGC Match Play. Despite his five wins on the PGA Tour, Burns almost feels forgotten. Bay Hill may be a golf course that allows him to linger but not truly contend again. The problem is Burns ranks 87th in par-five scoring average. The Arnold Palmer has a few of those. Also, his moving-day scoring average of 71 ranks 133rd. That makes his final rounds more difficult due to playing catch-up. His birdie average is 4.75, which comes in 19th. Burns could be a decent DFS option if one is willing to risk the price. Odds to win the tournament are around plus-5,000 on DraftKings, though. Maybe a top-20 finish at plus-140 is a decent wager.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
2 months agoSam Burns started out with a top-10 finish at The Sentry in 2025. Since then, the American golfer has seen his results trend downward. Burns did warm up with a 66 on Sunday at the WM Phoenix Open. The calling card for Burns is his putter. He has ranked inside the top 20 every single year in strokes gained in putting (14th in 2024). Through four events this year, Burns ranks 46th. The overall sample size is small, which indicates an eventual turnaround. With the Genesis Invitational being at Torrey Pines South, Burns could have fewer chances for birdies. Last year, Burns started off well in almost every early event. Six straight opening rounds of 70 or lower turned into a great start. This year continues to be more inconsistent.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
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