Robbie Ray 2025 Fantasy Baseball Outlook: Veteran Seeking Productive Year After Elbow Surgery
Robbie Ray totaled only 34.0 IP in the last two seasons. Prior to his elbow injury, Ray was looking like a top-20 starting pitcher. Between 2021-2022, Ray threw 382.1 innings. In those 64 starts, Ray had a 25-19 W-L record, 3.27 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 460 Ks. His 3.47 xFIP and 3.35 SIERA across those two seasons suggested Ray was a slam dunk SP2, where he was taken in 2023 drafts. The good news is that Ray returned to the mound late last year, and looked good. In seven starts, Ray had a 3-2 W-L record, 4.70 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and 43 Ks (30.2 IP). Even in a small sample, his ERA might not look like a reason to draft Ray. However, his 4.09 xFIP and 3.50 SIERA suggest he was unlucky and that small a sample shouldn't be given too much credence. The positive was Ray's 33.3% K% in those starts as strikeouts were a big reason why he had so much fantasy appeal. We shouldn't expect more than ~160.0 IP from Ray in 2025 but assuming he comes through Spring unscathed, Ray should be a productive fantasy option.
Tommy John Surgery (TJS) in 2023 has meant
Robbie Ray Tosses Seven Shutout Frames
Robbie Ray tossed seven shutout innings on Friday evening en route to picking up the victory over the Colorado Rockies. Ray allowed just two hits and two walks. He struck out eight batters. This was another impressive showing for the southpaw, as he has struggled through the first month of the season. In his most recent outing, Ray also logged seven innings of work, but allowed five hits and two runs. Prior to these two outings, the left-hander carried a modest 4.07 ERA with a high 1.56 WHIP across his first 24 1/3 innings of work this season. During this rough start, Ray struck out just 25 batters and allowed five long balls. However, the 33-year-old has been able to turn the corner and is flashing high upside. Given his recent two starts, he should be viewed as a must-start option in all standard formats going forward.
Source: MLB.com
San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Source: MLB.com
Robbie Ray Records Eight Strikeouts
Robbie Ray had his swing-and-miss stuff going on the mound during Saturday's game against the Texas Rangers. The southpaw had some problems in the first inning when he gave up two hits and a run. After that, Ray settled down and tossed seven innings, allowing two earned runs on five hits, while striking out eight batters in the no-decision. This was the deepest Ray has worked in a game this season, but sadly he wasn't able to get the win. Despite that, Ray has pitched well this season and will carry a 3.73 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, and 33/19 K/BB ratio into his next start against the Colorado Rockies. This will be a favorable matchup for Ray at home against the struggling Rockies offense. Fantasy managers will likely want to capitalize on this opportunity.
Source: mlb.com
San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Source: mlb.com
Robbie Ray Works Five Innings In No-Decision
Robbie Ray gave up a two-run home run to rookie Caleb Durbin but was able to limit the damage to just those two runs allowed over his five innings on Tuesday night. He was not efficient with his pitch count and needed 92 pitches to get through five frames while striking out four, walking three, and giving up five hits. The 33-year-old lefty has issued at least three free passes in each of his last four starts and has a 6.7 BB/9 rate on the year. He'll need to improve his control and efficiency to work deeper into games, but he has battled to maintain a 9.3 K/9 and 4.07 ERA despite a 5.87 FIP and 1.56 WHIP. The Giants ultimately won Monday's game, and they'll hope to get a better outing from Ray in his next scheduled start on Saturday against the Rangers.
Source: ESPN.com
San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Source: ESPN.com
Robbie Ray Finishes Strong Spring
Robbie Ray pitched five strong innings on Tuesday to pick up a win in the Giants' 6-4 victory over the Tigers. Ray has only been available for eight starts over the last two seasons but showed good potential in his seven starts last season, going 3-2 with a 4.70 ERA and 4.96 FIP but posting an impressive 12.6 K/9. The 2021 AL Cy Young winner has also looked sharp this spring, allowing just four earned runs in five starts for a 1.86 ERA. He racked up 23 strikeouts in 19 1/3 innings, highlighted by an eight-strikeout performance against the Rangers. Ray has shown he can be good enough when healthy to be a mixed-league option coming into the season. He'll face the Reds on the road in a less-than-ideal matchup next week, but he's definitely someone to watch early in the season.
Source: ESPN.com
San Franciso Giants starting pitcher Source: ESPN.com
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