April 8, 2025
There have been glimpses of form from Patrick Cantlay in 2025, though most came early in the year. He managed to finish T12 at The Players but has sandwiched two disappointing finishes outside the top 30 around that. The flat stick has been the deciding factor between contending and being in the middle of the pack. He's lost strokes putting in three total events, which all resulted in T31 or worse; gaining strokes has resulted in finishing no worse than T15. Looking at his history at Augusta National, Cantlay has averaged -1.177 strokes gained putting over his last four starts. His ball striking may be some of the best in professional golf, but losing that much on the greens will never yield good results. The 33-year-old has had some good finishes here, but the apparent lack of confidence on the greens warrants looking elsewhere.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
April 1, 2025
Patrick Cantlay has been rock-solid to start the year, finishing in the top 33 in all six of his starts, including four top-15 finishes. He now aims to continue his strong form at the Valero Texas Open, an event he has yet to play in his career. Success at TPC San Antonio requires sharp play on approach, an area where Cantlay has excelled this season. Currently, he ranks 33rd in strokes gained on approach, gaining an impressive 0.443 strokes per round. In addition to his approach game, Cantlay boasts a solid short game, ranking 35th in strokes gained putting (0.367 per round) and 45th around the green (0.224). He also ranks in the 90th percentile for proximity from 200-plus yards, an area that accounted for 28.7% of all approach shots here last year. With a price tag of $10,200 on DraftKings, Cantlay offers the kind of winning upside that fantasy managers are searching for.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
March 11, 2025
For someone as deadly with his ball striking and, at times, the clutchest putter on the PGA Tour, Patrick Cantlay has struggled to find much to be happy about at TPC Sawgrass. His best finish is a T19 in 2023 by gaining over nine strokes ball striking, and is similar form with the irons heading into this week. Over his last three starts, Cantlay is averaging +1.23 strokes gained on approach. The performance off the tee hasn't been as hot, but then again, his last few outings have been much more driver-dependent than perhaps TPC Sawgrass is. There is certainly room to be skeptical of the 32-year-old this week, but it feels like the Stadium Course is a venue where he will scare a win or even get one eventually.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
March 4, 2025
Patrick Cantlay has had a good start to the season, with two T5s and a T15 in three of his four starts. However, he hasn't been able to put everything together for four days and has left every event with one round he'd probably like to redo. That's all it takes to give up wins on the PGA Tour, but eventually, a guy with Cantlay's talent will break through. Bay Hill is a place ripe for the picking with his skill set, ranking 2nd on the season in GIR Percentage (76.39%), 26th in strokes gained tee to green (+0.823), and 30th in strokes gained putting (+0.501). The only scare is the reduction in putting that he's historically had on bermuda greens compared to his more comfortable surfaces on the West Coast. However, he can easily take the Scottie Scheffler route of success if his ball striking stays solid. Play Cantlay with confidence this week.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
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