4 months agoAaron Rai has strung together four consecutive top-20 finishes, including a T19 at the US Open, which ties his best finish in a major. Rai has been working with putting coach John Graham and has gained plus-16.59 strokes putting in his last 12 rounds. A notable issue with Rai is his Round 4 putting splits, which have lost him 2.78 strokes in that same stretch. If Rai can overcome his poor Sunday putting performances, his tee-to-green game leaves him with a great chance to win a tournament soon.
--Byron LindequeSource: pga
4 months agoNicolai Hojgaard, the DP World Tour Championship winner in 2023, who also had an additional six top-five finishes that year, has been struggling to match that level of success on the PGA Tour, with his only top-five finish coming in his first PGA start of the year at the Famers Insurance Open. A T16 at the Masters has been his only other top-20 showing this year, with his driver having been a weakness since the Masters. He will be looking to get back on track now that he is back in Europe.
--Byron LindequeSource: pga
4 months agoMatt Fitzpatrick has not finished better than T36 in four of his last five starts. The outlier was a T5 at the Memorial three starts ago, where he gained six strokes putting while also gaining strokes around the green, on approach, and off the tee. That performance has been an outlier recently, and despite being back on his home continent, a top-10 performance would be a result that he would be satisfied with given his current form.
--Byron LindequeSource: pga
4 months agoJordan Spieth has finished T23 or better in his last six Open Championships. He also finished T10 in the 2022 edition of the Scottish Open but missed the cut in his 2023 campaign. Since the Masters Spieth has not finished better than a T26 at the John Deere which was one of the weakest fields of the year. If there is a style of course that can provide him the platform to bounce back it is the next two weeks, but his current form is very worrisome.
--Byron LindequeSource: pga
4 months agoLudvig Aberg has quickly become a household name in his first PGA Tour season. The 24-year-old Swede has impressively finished inside of the top-15 in 12 of his 18 starts as a rookie, including two runner-up results and an outright victory at the RSM Classic back in November. Aberg unsurprisingly should be a solid course fit once again at The Renaissance Club, as he ranks third in weighted strokes gained off-the-tee, 19th in driving distance, 6th in weighted approach play, 16th in weighted putting, and fifth in bogey avoidance over the last 24 rounds. He did miss the cut in his Scottish Open debut last year, but that can largely be attributed to him uncharacteristically losing close to four strokes putting. Fantasy managers should expect a much different outcome this year, and it could very well be the week Aberg notches his second PGA Tour victory.
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
4 months agoIt hasn't been pretty for Max Homa lately, and his $7,700 DraftKings salary is a clear reflection of his recent form. The 33-year-old Tour star has lost strokes off-the-tee in five consecutive starts, a span of golf that has included two missed cuts and zero finishes inside of the top-20. But the Scottish Open could be a buy-low spot for fantasy managers this week, as he returns to a course where he has posted finishes of T16 and T12 in his only two appearances. Homa's recent troubles off-the-tee should be mitigated with a low missed penalty fairway at The Renaissance Club, and he still ranks inside of the top-20 in weighted approach and around-the-green play over his last 24 rounds. He's certainly capable of spiking with the flat stick and appears due for a rebound in that category. If that holds true this week, Homa could be a massive value and key to unlocking a lucrative week ahead for fantasy managers
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
4 months agoAdam Scott could be in line for a solid week at The Renaissance Club. The 43-year-old Tour veteran has only missed the cut in two of 15 starts in the 2024 calendar year, a span of golf that has included seven top-25 results and no finish worse than his T45 at The Players Championship back in March. And despite a missed cut last year in his only Scottish Open appearance in North Berwick, Scott appears to be an excellent course fit statistically. He's gained strokes in every major category over the last 24 rounds, in addition to ranking ninth in driving distance, 58th in weighted approach play, 20th in weighted around-the-green play, 26th in bogey avoidance and 23rd in putting on slow greens. Scott projects as a cut-maker with top-20 upside this week, which could be enticing to fantasy managers at his $7,300 DraftKings salary.
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
4 months agoFantasy managers will face a tough decision on Cam Davis this week. The 29-year-old Aussie enters the week on heels of his second PGA Tour victory at the Rocket Mortgage classic, where he gained a massive 8.7 strokes from tee-to-green and 12.3 strokes total. However, in his six prior starts dating back to May, Davis lost strokes from tee-to-green in five events, missed two cuts, with his best finish being a T38 at the Wells Fargo Championship. And while he does ranks 31st in driving distance, 37th in weighted around-the-green play, and 30th in par 5 scoring over the last 24 rounds, he ranks 104th on approach, 122nd putting, and he missed the cut in his only start at this event last year. Davis may be a tempting option for fantasy managers given his $6,200 DraftKings salary, but it may be wise for them to temper their expectations coming off of his victory two weeks ago.
--Ryan HickeySource: PGA Tour
5 months agoEric Cole had missed four of his last six cuts heading to Detroit last week when he finally broke through to place T6 while gaining strokes in all areas of his game. 2024 looked like a breakthrough season for the 36-year-old, as he came out with six top-21 finishes through his first nine events, but of late he's lost his form, especially with his irons. Cole has only played TPC Deere Run twice in his career, including one missed cut, and he's surprisingly struggled off the tee in those outings. The California native will need to find fairways consistently, and make more birdie putts this week if he wants to compete in Illinois at an elevated $8,500 salary on DraftKings.
--Tommy BellSource: PGA Tour
5 months agoJ.T. Poston has been inconsistent on the PGA Tour this year, but he'll surely be welcoming the return of the John Deere Classic this week, as he won the event in 2021 before placing T6 last season. The scorer-friendly track seems to cure what issues Poston has with his driver each year, and his putting has improved annually, spiking to 7.3 SG: Putting in 2022. When the 31-year-old gains strokes on approach, he can compete in most high-scoring events, and he's known for fast starts on tour, often occupying a top spot after a Thursday round. The North Carolinian's form is in question, but his history is strong. Despite his relatively high price tag ($9,100 on DraftKings), there's plenty to like about a high-risk, high-reward option like Poston this week.
--Tommy BellSource: PGA Tour
5 months agoAaron Rai has been one of the most consistent players on the planet over the past two months, and he nearly capped it off with his first PGA Tour win at the Rocket Mortgage last week. The 29-year-old struggled to make big putts on Sunday to end up just one shot short of the winner, but his statistics remain admirable heading to Illinois for his John Deere debut. Rai gained an impressive 5.7 strokes on approach last week while finally finding some strong putting form, gaining 4.8 strokes with the flat stick. The Englishman will have no problem hitting the wide fairways at TPC Deere Run, as he's one of the most accurate drivers on tour. The question becomes whether or not he can keep up this putting improvement at a brand new track. Fantasy managers will need to pay a premium of $10,000 on DraftKings if they want to back Rai this week.
--Tommy BellSource: PGA Tour
5 months agoIt was nice to see J.J. Spaun back on a PGA Tour leaderboard last week in Detroit. Things have not gone as smoothly as things were looking after a decent run in the fall, as the tour journeyman hadn't had a top-25 finish on the books until a few days ago. His putting is as sporadic as they come and he's only gained strokes off the tee in three of his 15 events in 2024. Throw in the fact he has one of the lowest birdie or better percentages on tour (19.92%) and it's easy to see him slide back down to irrelevancy if he doesn't make every putt he stands over. Even at $9,300 on FanDuel, the risk likely isn't worth the reward.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
5 months agoThe week in Detroit was over before it started for Thorbjorn Oleson after carding an opening-round 77 (plus-five). His ball-striking let him down immensely over the two rounds, losing over 10 shots between iron and driver play. That won't get it done on any level of professional golf, let alone the PGA Tour. It is unlikely things will be that bad again at TPC Deere Run, but even with much-improved ball-striking, the likelihood of taking things low enough to be in contention seems unlikely. At $9,600 on FanDuel, there are better options around him.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
5 months agoThere hasn't been much excitement in playing Ben Griffin since his solo second at the RBC Canadian Open. He hasn't cracked the top 30 in the three events since, mostly because of horrible putting. However, he has a chance to notch another high finish this week at TPC Deere Run, which, certainly fits his game better than the Detroit Golf Club he played last week. Approach numbers between 125-175 yards will make up nearly 40% of the looks at TPC Deere Run, and Griffin ranks 25th in proximity from 125-150 (21' 11") and 71st from 150-175 (28' 2"). With such a weak field, you're grasping at straws to make a fair argument for most of the guys in the field, and at $10,200 on FanDuel, he makes as good a case as any.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
5 months agoFlorida State golfer, Luke Clanton, put on a heck of a show in Detroit en route to finishing T10. The newest face in golf finished second in the field in strokes gained off the tee (+1.08) and 12th in GIR% (80.6%). The 20-year-old has some serious game and will be a force to be reckoned with on the PGA Tour sooner or later, but, one good week doesn't make him a trustworthy option, especially at $9,900 on FanDuel. Take it from another fellow player, Nick Dunlap, who has found things much more difficult than he may have initially thought after winning the AMEX earlier in the season as an amateur. Performances like Clanton was able to have last week are rare, and while we are all hoping for repeat success, it isn't likely.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
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