March
5,
2025
After
posting
three
top-15
finishes
in
his
first
four
events
of
the
year,
Taylor
Pendrith
has
since
recorded
a
T50
at
the
Genesis
Invitational
and
a
missed
cut
at
last
week's
Cognizant
Classic.
A
major
issue
has
been
his
short
game,
read more...
March 5, 2025
Hideki Matsuyama has recorded back-to-back top-25 finishes at the Genesis Invitational and Phoenix Open and now sets his sights on the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where he will compete for the 11th time. In previous appearances, he's made nine cuts and posted five top-25 finishes, including a T12 last year. To succeed at Bay Hill, Matsuyama will need to be efficient off the tee and with his approach play, as the course ranks among the toughest for both. Known for his elite iron play, he ranks 17th in strokes gained on approach and in the 98th percentile for proximity from 150-200 yards, a distance that accounts for 35.5% of all approach shots here. He also ranks in the 95th percentile for proximity from 200-plus yards. Matsuyama's main issue remains his off-the-tee play, where he's lost 1.679 strokes this year and ranks 175th in total driving. Fantasy managers can confidently play Matsuyama at his $9,300 price tag, and he'll likely be in contention on Sunday if he can improve his first-shot performance.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
March
4,
2025
After
recording
a
T7
finish
at
Pebble
Beach,
Tom
Kim
followed
up
with
consecutive
T44
finishes
at
the
Genesis
Invitational
and
the
Phoenix
Open.
He
now
looks
ahead
to
the
Arnold
Palmer
Invitational,
an
event
he
has
played
twice,
with
finishes
read more...
March 4, 2025
Christiaan Bezuidenhout has had a primarily mediocre year aside from a T-4 finish at the WM Phoenix Open. In his last two events, the Genesis Invitational and Cognizant Classic in the Palm Beaches, he finished T-39 and T-42. At the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill this week, players must excel at hitting off the tee and long irons, with the course measuring 7,460 yards. Bezuidenhout ranks 163rd in strokes gained off the tee, 154th in total driving, and 134th in approaches from 175-200 yards. He makes up for this around the green and putting where he's ranked 24th and third in strokes gained. He's still a hazardous play this week, and it's best to avoid him at all costs in DFS.
--Jake Walker - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour Stats Page
March 4, 2025
Coming off a disappointing T50 finish at the Genesis Invitational in February, Jason Day is making another start at Bay Hill. A winner here in 2016, there have been way more examples of good golf than bad, which he'll need to lean into to build some positive momentum before next week's Players Championship. Unfortunately, his ball striking has been slowly declining since the start of the season. The 37-year-old Aussie had gained strokes on approach in all of his first four events at an average of +1.055 and gained strokes off the tee in his last three starts at an average of +0.493 before the Genesis. However, he lost strokes in both metrics there. Bay Hill is luckily a much different animal than Torrey Pines, but the play off the tee will certainly have to come back in form if he hopes to have a chance.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
March
4,
2025
Billy
Horschel
has
been
a
quintessential
boom-or-bust
player
this
year,
recording
three
missed
cuts
and
three
top-25
finishes
in
his
last
six
starts,
including
a
T25
at
the
Cognizant
Classic
last
week.
He
now
looks
to
find
consistency
at
the
Arnold
read more...
March 4, 2025
Ben Griffin has sniffed victory in back-to-back starts with two consecutive fourth-place finishes at the Cognizant Classic and the Mexico Open. He now looks ahead to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where he has competed just once, finishing T13 in 2023. To succeed at Bay Hill, players will need to be sharp off the tee and excel with long irons, especially given the forecasted 20-plus-mph winds this weekend. These are areas where Griffin has excelled, ranking 34th in total driving and 58th in strokes gained per round on approach. He also ranks in the 78th percentile for proximity from 200-plus yards, a distance that accounts for 31.7% of all approach shots at this course. Additionally, he is eighth on tour in proximity from 175-200 yards, which makes up 17.4% of all approach shots. Given his recent form and ability to hit these key stats, Griffin is worth strong consideration by fantasy managers at his price tag of $7,600 on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
March 4, 2025
Coming off his first PGA career win at the Phoenix Open, Thomas Detry followed it up with a 53rd-place finish at the Genesis Invitational last month. He now returns to play in the Arnold Palmer Invitational, an event he has participated in just once, finishing T24 in 2023. To succeed at Bay Hill, which measures 7,460 yards, players will need to execute well off the tee and be sharp with long irons. Detry is ranked 99th in total driving and 137th in strokes gained on approach, where he has lost 0.256 strokes per round. He is also ranked in the 52nd percentile in proximity from 150-200 yards, a distance that accounts for 35.5% of all approach shots at this course. Where Detry can make up strokes is on the greens, as he ranks 14th in strokes gained per round at 0.653. Given his struggles with approach play, Detry may find it difficult to succeed this week, and fantasy managers should consider looking elsewhere at his price tag of $7,200 on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
March 4, 2025
Wyndham Clark has spent most of his time on the TGL and has not played a PGA event since the Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines last month, where he finished T31. He now looks ahead to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, an event he has played four times, including a runner-up finish in 2024. To succeed at Bay Hill, players will need to be sharp off the tee and excel with long irons, especially given the forecasted 20-plus-mph winds this weekend. Clark ranks 32nd in driving distance but just 158th in driving accuracy. He has also lost 0.251 strokes on approach and ranks in the 24th percentile for approach shots from 200-plus yards, a range that accounts for 31.7% of all approach shots at this course, including three of the four par-threes. While the upside from Clark is undeniable, his recent form suggests it may be best to avoid him in DFS lineups this week.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
March 4, 2025
Akshay Bhatia has been knocking on the door of victory in his last two events, posting back-to-back ninth-place finishes at the Mexico Open and the Genesis Invitational. Bhatia now turns his attention to the Arnold Palmer Invitational, an event he has yet to compete in during his PGA career. To succeed at Bay Hill, players will need to be sharp off the tee and excel with long irons, especially given the forecasted 20-plus-mph winds this weekend. Bhatia, known for his driving accuracy, currently ranks 24th in this category and 101st in total driving. He also ranks in the 92nd percentile in proximity from 200-plus yards, a range that accounts for 31.7% of all approach shots at this course, including three of the four par-threes. Additionally, Bhatia can light it up on the greens, gaining 0.664 strokes per round in putting, which is 12th-best on tour. Given his recent form and strong ability with long irons, fantasy managers should confidently insert Bhatia into their lineups at his $7,800 price tag on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
March 4, 2025
Patrick Cantlay has had a good start to the season, with two T5s and a T15 in three of his four starts. However, he hasn't been able to put everything together for four days and has left every event with one round he'd probably like to redo. That's all it takes to give up wins on the PGA Tour, but eventually, a guy with Cantlay's talent will break through. Bay Hill is a place ripe for the picking with his skill set, ranking 2nd on the season in GIR Percentage (76.39%), 26th in strokes gained tee to green (+0.823), and 30th in strokes gained putting (+0.501). The only scare is the reduction in putting that he's historically had on bermuda greens compared to his more comfortable surfaces on the West Coast. However, he can easily take the Scottie Scheffler route of success if his ball striking stays solid. Play Cantlay with confidence this week.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
March 4, 2025
Daniel Berger is making his first start at Bay Hill since 2019. Before the coming out year the following season, and the injuries that came after that, he is undoubtedly a much different player in 2025. Coming off a string of good finishes, the 31-year-old will be a name to watch on Thursday. After a poor weekend with the irons at PGA National last week, where he lost -2.21 strokes, the hopefully firmer conditions of Bay Hill will allow him to rely more on his impressive short game and prowess on bermuda greens to churn out another high finish. If his lack of experience at this event keeps his ownership levels lower than the guys around him, Berger should be a confident start at $9,700 on FanDuel.
--Todd McGill - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
March 3, 2025
Adam Scott finished tied for 37th at last month's Genesis Invitational and is now focusing on preparing for this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational, held at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club. He has not missed a cut in any of his four starts this season, including two top-25 finishes. Scott has had mixed results at this tournament in the past; he missed the cut in 2024 and finished tied for 31st in 2023. Over the past 12 months, he has ranked in the 35th percentile for approach shots from 150-200 yards in the fairway. This is significant because, at last year's Arnold Palmer Invitational, over 35% of approach shots came from this range. Given Scott's past performance at this tournament, he may be a risky choice for DFS lineups this week.
--Ian Christenson - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
March 3, 2025
Aldrich Potgieter had the lead going into Sunday at the Mexico Open two weeks ago but ultimately finished in second. He is now putting that behind him and focusing on preparing for this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational, held at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club. This will be Potgieter's debut appearance at the tournament. One notable point is that, over the past 12 months, he ranks in the 73rd percentile for greens in regulation on approach shots from under 150 yards in the rough. This is significant because, at last year's Arnold Palmer Invitational, over 28% of approach shots came from within 150 yards. While Potgieter performed well at the Mexico Open, including him in DFS lineups this week carries some risk.
--Ian Christenson - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
March 3, 2025
Min Woo Lee finished T11 at last week's Cognizant Open and is now focusing on preparing for this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational, which will be held at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club. Lee has been in excellent form so far in 2025 and has not missed a cut in any of his appearances this season. In previous years at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, Lee has had mixed results, finishing T44 in 2024 and missing the cut in 2023. Over the past 12 months, he ranks in the 37th percentile for approach shots from 150-200 yards in the fairway. This is noteworthy because, at last year's Arnold Palmer Invitational, over 35% of approach shots came from this distance. While Lee could be a valuable addition to DFS lineups this week, it's important to note that including him does carry some risk.
--Ian Christenson - RotoBallerSource: Data Golf
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