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While Denny Hamlin was arguably the best drafting track driver in the Gen-6 era of NASCAR, he hasn't seemed to have the same speed with the Next Gen chassis on these tracks. Since 2020, he's had an odd streak where he has finished outside the top ten in each of the last four spring races but finished inside the top ten in the last six fall races. However, it would be foolish to base any predictions on that likely random trend. Much like Alex Bowman and his teammate Chase Briscoe, Hamlin's value is likely limited because he qualified too well to earn many Place Differential points but too poorly to likely dominate, although admittedly he is more likely to dominant than Bowman or Briscoe. Since almost all the other top stars either qualified worse or are more likely to dominate (the Penske cars), there are too many better options to justify starting Hamlin.--Sean Wrona - RotoBaller
Source: Racing Reference
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