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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, April 20th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Reds vs. Pirates
The Reds take on the Pirates on Thursday, April 20th 2023 at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds (7-11) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12-7)
- Date: Thursday, April 20th 2023
- Time: 6:35 ET
- Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Reds vs. Pirates
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The Cincinnati Reds come into this road contest vs Pittsburgh with a below .500 record (7-11). In the NL Central standings, the team ranks 5th. Cincinnati has had their problems when playing away from home, going just 1-5.
Cincinnati currently has an above .500 record against the runline. This mark has come while being favored four times in 18 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 11-7 with an average betting line of 9.
Looking back to last year, Luke Weaver started with the Diamondbacks before finishing the year with the Royals. For the season, he ended with a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 6.56 across 27 apperances. Weaver needs to focus on preventing opposing teams from hitting for power this year if he wants to perform better. Last season, he finished with a slugging percentage allowed of .452.
On offense, Cincinnati comes into the game averaging 4.6 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. So far, the Reds have combined for a team batting average of .239, placing them 19th in the league. In terms of home runs, the team is struggling to generate power at just 15 deep shots (26th). To date, Cincinnati has the MLB's 14th-rated OBP, sitting at .327.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Pittsburgh Pirates host the Cincinnati Reds, they have a record of 12-7, placing them 2nd in the NL Central. Heading into play, the Pirates have won half of their six home games, sitting at 3-3.
Across their 19 games, Pittsburgh has been favored two times, yet their record against the runline is above .500. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 10-9.
Roansy Contreras gets the starting nod for Pittsburgh, looking to improve his overall record of 1-1. Roansy Contreras will be looking to bring down an ERA of 6.00. Compared to other pitchers, he has an elevated batting average allowed (.316). With a WOBA allowed of .352, Roansy Contreras has not given up a home run so far this year. Contreras' WHIP of 1.73 comes along with a total of eight walks allowed.
Offensively, Pittsburgh has had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 5.2 runs per game, ranks 5th in the MLB. As a team, the Pirates are batting a healthy .257, placing them 8th in the league. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 25 home runs (6th). To date, Pittsburgh has the MLB's 9th best OBP at .335.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Reds vs. Pirates
Heading into today's matchup between Pittsburgh and Cincinnati, the Pirates are the betting favorite at -163 on the moneyline. Pittsburgh's implied win probability sits at 61.98%. The MLB predictive model shows the Pirates pitching to carry the team to a win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an advantage to take Pittsburgh on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Pirates -1.5
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