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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, September 6th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Brewers vs. Pirates
The Brewers take on the Pirates on Wednesday, September 6th 2023 at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers (77-61) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (64-75)
- Date: Wednesday, September 6th 2023
- Time: 12:35 ET
- Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Brewers vs. Pirates
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Milwaukee Brewers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 77-61, the Milwaukee Brewers will host Milwaukee, currently ranked 1st in the NL Central. On the season, the Brewers have an above .500 road record, at 37-33.
Despite having the advantage of being favored in 71 of their 138 games, Milwaukee's record vs. the runline is just 65-73. The team's over/under record comes in at 62-72 with an average betting line of 9.
Milwaukee pitcher Freddy Peralta gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 11-8. Through 26 outings, Freddy Peralta has an ERA sitting at 3.85. Currently, opponents are batting just .206 against the right-hander. So far, Peralta has given up 21 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .289. Peralta's WHIP of 1.14 comes along with a total of 53 walks allowed.
On offense, Milwaukee comes into the game averaging 4.4 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Through 138 games, the Brewers have the 20th-ranked batting average at .236. Overall, the team has hit 142 home runs, placing them 20th. Up to this point, Milwaukee has been getting on base at a rate of .315, placing them 17th in all of baseball.
Pittsburgh Pirates - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Milwaukee, the Pirates have a record of just 64-75. This places the team 4th in the NL Central. Pittsburgh has yet to take advantage of playing at home, going just 33-37.
Across their 139 games, Pittsburgh has been favored 28 times, yet their record against the runline is above .500. The team's over/under record comes in at 74-60 with an average betting line of 9.
Taking the mound for Pittsburgh is Colin Selby. Heading into play, he has a mark of 2-0. Colin Selby will be looking to bring down an ERA of 5.79. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .255. Opposing hitters have gone deep three times against Colin Selby, who has a WOBA allowed of .312. Selby's WHIP of 1.43 comes along with a total of six walks allowed.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Pittsburgh, as they are the 24th-ranked scoring team, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Through 139 games, the Pirates have the 20th-ranked batting average at .236. The team's lineup has gone deep a total of 136 times, good for 22nd in the league. To date, Pittsburgh has the MLB's 18th-rated OBP, sitting at .313.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Brewers vs. Pirates
Heading into today's matchup between Milwaukee and Pittsburgh, the Brewers are the betting favorite at -186 on the moneyline. Milwaukee's implied win probability sits at 65.03%. The MLB predictive model shows Milwaukee pulling out a close win over the Pirates. It is recommended to take the Brewers Moneyline -186 on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Brewers Moneyline -186
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