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Phillies vs. Padres Betting Picks - Today's Free MLB Best Bets, Odds, Predictions (10/21)

Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday October 21st, 2022.

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In addition to all of our other betting content and advice, we have now added daily betting analysis articles and betting recommendations for each MLB game. Every single game on the MLB schedule will have its own betting analysis, betting breakdown and betting picks, every single day! We hope you enjoy, and good luck RotoBallers.

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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Phillies

The Padres take on the Phillies on Friday October 21st at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.

  • Matchup: San Diego Padres (1-1) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1-1)
  • Date: Friday October 21st, 2022
  • Time: 7:37 ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

 

Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Phillies

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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis

The San Diego Padres will look to take a 2-1 in this NLCS Series, as they are currently all tied up at 1-1. On the road, the Padres have a strong record of 48-38. The team is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 8-5 win over Philadelphia. So far, San Diego has won 28 out of their first 54 series, 28-18-8.

San Diego starter Joe Musgrove take the mound with an overall record of 10-7. Coming into the game, Musgrove has put together an ERA of 2.93 across his 30 outings. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .227. In his 181 innings of work, Musgrove has given up 22 home runs. Overall, he has notched 184 strikeouts on a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. In his outings, Joe Musgrove is putting batters on through walks at an alarming rate, averaging 2.09 walks per 9 innings.

San Diego's offense comes into this game averaging 4.35 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 23rd in runs scored through 4 innings. This year, the Padres have the 15th-ranked batting average at .240. Per game, the team is averaging 8.11 hits. The team's lineup is hitting home runs at a rate of 0.96 per game, good for 19th in the league. The team's current slugging percentage of .382 ranks near the league average. San Diego's overall OBP of .317, is good for 9th in the league. While their current wOBA of .308 is similar to the league average.

 

Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Padres, hoping to bounce back from their recent loss and take 2-1 lead in the NLCS. At Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia has put together a record of 49-34. In their previous games, Philadelphia lost by a score of 8-5 to the Padres. So far, the team has won 26 out of their 54 series at 26-22-6.

Philadelphia starter Ranger Suarez takes the mound with an overall record of 10-7. Across 29 appearances, Suarez has a combined ERA of 3.65. Ranger Suarez has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.33. Across his previous outings, Suarez has a SLG% allowed of .396. In total, he has given up 15 home runs. Heading into the game, Suarez has struck 19.0% of the batters he's faced. Thus far, Ranger Suarez has had problems with walks, averaging 3.36 BB/9.

Entering today's action, Philadelphia features the 7th-ranked scoring unit, averaging 4.62 runs per game. In the team's last 3 contests, their run differential comes in at 4. As a team, the Phillies are batting a healthy .252, placing them 8th in the league. This includes batting .238 over their last 3 games. The team has also been strong in the power department, averaging 1.26 home runs per game, which ranks 6th. To date, the team's barrel rate of 8.5% ranks near the top of the league. Philadelphia's overall OBP of .315 is good for 11th in the league. The team is generating walks at a rate of 7.9%.

 

Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Phillies

Today's matchup between San Diego and Philadelphia is predicted to be a close game, as there is no clear cut favorite on the moneyline. However, the MLB predictive model gives the advantage to the Phillies. The best bet is to take Philadelphia on the moneyliune.

Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline



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