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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday September 8th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Marlins vs. Phillies
The Marlins take on the Phillies on Thursday September 8th at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Marlins (55-80) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (75-61)
- Date: Thursday September 8th, 2022
- Time: 6:45 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Marlins vs. Phillies
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Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Miami Marlins take on the Philadelphia, hoping to improve on their record of just 55-80, placing them 4th in the NL East division. The Marlins will need a win in today's game to improve their record on the road (29-42). The Marlins are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to Philadelphia by a score of 4-3. To start the year, Miami has picked up just 12 series wins, going 12-27-5.
For Miami, Sandy Alcantara gets the start, currently holding a record of 12-7. Coming into the game, Alcantara has put together an ERA of 2.36 across his 27 outings. Currently, opponents are batting just .209 against the right-hander. Per 9 innings pitched, Alcantara is averaging just 0.62 home runs allowed. In his previous outings, Alcantara has struck out 3.62 batters for every issued walk. This includes averaging 6.2 K's per game.
This season, runs have been hard to come by for Miami, as they are the 27th-ranked scoring team, averaging 3.53 runs per game. So far, the teams' offense has struggled to score late, ranking 30th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. Through 135 games, the Marlins have the 28th ranked batting average at .228. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .202. So far, home runs have been hard to come by for the team, as they are averaging just 0.87 per game (25th). Up to this point, Miami has been getting on base at a rate of just .293, placing them 27th in all of baseball. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 7.4%.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Philadelphia Phillies host the Miami Marlins, they have a record of 75-61, placing them 3rd in the NL East division. When playing at Citizens Bank Park, the Phillies have played well, posting a record of 41-30. In their last game, Philadelphia picked up a 4-3 win over the Marlins. The team's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 21-19-3.
Making the start for Philadelphia is Kyle Gibson, with a record of 9-6 and ERA of 4.48. Currently, opponents have a batting average of .250 against him. Opposing batters have been able to hit for power against Gibson. So far, he has allowed 18 home runs, leading to a per 9 average of 1.16. In his previous outings, Gibson has a K/BB rate of 2.76, this includes averaging 4.46 K's per appearance.
On offense, Philadelphia will look to continue their strong play, as they rank 6th in runs scored, averaging 4.68 runs per game. In the team's 71 games at home, their run differential is -8. The Phillies have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of .254 ranks 9th. For the season, 35.1% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, Philadelphia's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.24 home runs per game ranks 7th. To date, the team's barrel rate of 8.5% ranks near the top of the league. Up to this point, Philadelphia has been getting on base at a rate of .316, placing them 13th in all of baseball, while the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .321.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Marlins vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Philadelphia, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -130 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 56.52%. The MLB predictive model sees the Phillies winning by multiple runs and recommends taking the Phillies on the runline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Runline
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