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Today's free MLB betting picks, odds, predictions for the Phillies vs. Braves on September 11, 2023. Our best bets and top picks for moneylines, run totals and more.
Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday, September 11th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Braves vs. Phillies
The Braves take on the Phillies on Monday, September 11th 2023 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves (93-49) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (78-64)
- Date: Monday, September 11th 2023
- Time: 1:05 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Braves vs. Phillies
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Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Atlanta Braves enter play ranked 1st in the NL East with an overall record of 93-49. In their 70 games on the road, the Braves have a strong record of 46-24.
Atlanta currently has an above .500 record against the runline (76-66). So far, they have been favored in 128 of their 142 games. The team's over/under record comes in at 77-61 with an average betting line of 9.
Atlanta starter Charlie Morton takes the mound with an overall record of 14-11. Charlie Morton boasts an ERA of 3.32. Currently, opponents are batting just .235 against the right-hander. Charlie Morton has given up 13 home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .306. With a total of 72 walks, Morton has a WHIP of 1.39.
Atlanta enters play averaging 5.8 runs per game, placing them 1st in the MLB. Heading into play, the Braves are the 1st-ranked unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .276. The team has also been strong in the power department, having hit 273 home runs which is 1st. Atlanta's strong OBP of .344 is 1st best in the league.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves, they have a record of 78-64, placing them 2nd in the NL East. When playing at Citizens Bank Park, the Phillies have played well, posting a record of 42-28.
Philadelphia's record against the runline stands at 63-79, even though they have been favored in 99 of their 142 games. The team has an over/under record of 63-70, with an average betting line of 9.
For Philadelphia, Taijuan Walker gets the start, currently holding a record of 15-5. Across 27 appearances, Taijuan Walker has a combined ERA of 4.15. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .234. Opposing hitters have gone deep 18 times against Taijuan Walker, who has a WOBA allowed of .311. Walker has a WHIP of 1.32, with 62 walks allowed.
Philadelphia enters play averaging 4.9 runs per game, placing them 9th in the MLB. The Phillies have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate as their team batting average of .259 ranks 6th in the league. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 188 home runs (10th). To date, Philadelphia has the MLB's 6th best OBP at .330.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Braves vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and Philadelphia, the Braves are the betting favorite at -146 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 59.35%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Braves on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Braves Moneyline -146
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