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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday, June 22nd 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Braves vs. Phillies
The Braves take on the Phillies on Thursday, June 22nd 2023 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves (47-26) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (38-35)
- Date: Thursday, June 22nd 2023
- Time: 1:05 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Braves vs. Phillies
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Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Atlanta Braves enter play ranked 1st in the NL East with an overall record of 47-26. On the season, the Braves have an above .500 road record, at 23-11.
Despite having the advantage of being favored in 63 of their 73 games, Atlanta's record vs. the runline is just 36-37. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 41-28.
Atlanta pitcher Bryce Elder gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 5-1. Runs have been hard to come by against Bryce Elder, as he has an ERA of just 2.60. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .233. Bryce Elder has given up eight home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .297. Elder's WHIP of 1.15 comes along with a total of 22 walks allowed.
Entering today's action, Atlanta features the 3rd-ranked scoring unit, averaging 5.5 runs per game. The Braves have enjoyed success at the plate, as their team batting average of .269 ranks 2nd. The team has also been strong in the power department, having hit 128 home runs which is 1st. To date, Atlanta has the MLB's 2nd best OBP at .339.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves, they have a record of 38-35, placing them 3rd in the NL East. Through 31 home contests, the Phillies come in with a mark of 19-12 at Citizens Bank Park.
Despite having the advantage of being favored in 44 of their 73 games, Philadelphia's record vs. the runline is just 30-43. The team's over/under record comes in at 29-38 with an average betting line of 9.
Philadelphia pitcher Aaron Nola gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 6-5. Aaron Nola will take the mound with an ERA of 4.66. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .227 against him. So far, Nola has given up 15 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .297. With a total of 24 walks, Nola has a WHIP of 1.10.
Philadelphia's offense enters play with the 17th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are batting a healthy .259, placing them 8th in the league. So far, the team is the 19th-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 78 long balls. Throughout the season, Philadelphia is ranked 13th in OBP (.322).
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Braves vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and Philadelphia, the Braves are the betting favorite at -117 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 53.92%. The MLB predictive model shows the Phillies pulling off the upset over Atlanta. It is recommended to take Philadelphia on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline -102
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