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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday October 15th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Braves vs. Phillies
The Braves take on the Phillies on Saturday October 15th at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves (1-2) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (2-1)
- Date: Saturday October 15th, 2022
- Time: 2:07 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Braves vs. Phillies
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 101-61, the Atlanta Braves travel to take on the Philadelphia Phillies, trailing their Divisional Round series 2-1. In their games as the road team, Atlanta has put together a record of 46-36. The Braves will be looking to bounce back after falling to Philadelphia by a score of 9-1. For the year, Atlanta has played a total of 52 series, going 28-17-7.
Starting for the Braves will be Charlie Morton. On the season, he has an overall record of 9-6. With an ERA of 4.35, Morton has had his struggles on the mound. The right-hander has a batting average allowed of .232. Per 9 innings, Morton is giving up an average of 1.47 home runs, well above the MLB average. Heading into the game, he has struck 28% of the batters he's faced. Charlie Morton's per 9 walk average of 3.3 has been a problem for the right.
Atlanta enters play averaging 4.84 runs per game, placing them 3rd in the MLB. When playing on the road, the team has a run differential of -6. As a team, the Braves are batting a healthy .252, placing them 8th in the league. For the season, 39.6% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.48 home runs per game (2nd). To date, the team's barrel rate of 10.9% ranks near the top of the league. To date, Atlanta has the MLB's 10th-best OBP at .317. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.8%.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies look to pick up a win and advance to the NLCS as they currently have a 2-1 lead over Atlanta. So far, Philadelphia has been tough at Citizens Bank Park, putting together a mark of 48-34. Philadelphia will look to tack on another victory as they defeated the Braves by a score of 9-1. For the year, the team has played a total of 53 series, going 26-22-5.
The Phillies will send Noah Syndergaard to the mound with an overall record of 5-8. Syndergaard will take the mound with an ERA of 3.82. On average, Syndergaard is allowing 1.21 base runners per inning (WHIP). Across his previous outings, Syndergaard has a SLG% allowed of .383. In total, he has given up 9 home runs. Overall, Syndergaard has notched 64 strikeouts on a K rate of 19.0%. In his outings, Noah Syndergaard is putting batters on through walks at a rate of 2.48 BB/9.
Philadelphia enters play averaging 4.62 runs per game, placing them 7th in the MLB. As a team, the Phillies are batting a healthy .252, placing them 7th in the league. This includes batting .240 over their last 3 games. So far, Philadelphia's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.25 home runs per game ranks 6th. For the season, the team has one of the best hard-hit rates in the league at 41.1%. To date, Philadelphia has the MLB's 11th best OBP at .316. The team is generating walks at a rate of 7.9%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Braves vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and Philadelphia, the Braves are the betting favorite at -124 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 55.36%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Braves on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Braves Moneyline
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