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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday October 14th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Braves vs. Phillies
The Braves take on the Phillies on Friday October 14th at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves (1-1) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1-1)
- Date: Friday October 14th, 2022
- Time: 4:37 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Braves vs. Phillies
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Atlanta Braves travel to take on the Philadelphia Phillies with this NL Divisional round series all tied at 1-1. As a road team, the Braves have a strong record of 46-35. In their last game, the Braves picked up a 3-0 win over the Philadelphia. For the year, Atlanta has played a total of 52 series, going 28-16-8.
Atlanta pitcher Charlie Morton gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 9-6. With an ERA of 4.35, Morton has had his struggles on the mound. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .232 against the right-hander. Per 9 innings, Morton is giving up an average of 1.47 home runs, well above the MLB average. In his previous outings, Morton has struck out 3.25 batters for every issued walk. This includes averaging 6.6 K's per game.
Offensively, the Braves have had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 4.87 runs per game ranks 3rd in the MLB. So far, the team ranks 13th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings of action. Heading into play, the Braves are the 7th unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .253. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .269. So far, Atlanta's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.49 home runs per game ranks 2nd. To date, Atlanta has the MLB's 8th-best OBP at .317. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.8%.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies return home, looking to take the lead in their Divisional round matchup vs Atlanta, as they are all square at 1-1. In their 81 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia has put together a record of 47-34. Philadelphia will be looking to bounce back after falling to the Braves by a score of 3-0. For the year, the team has played a total of 53 series, going 25-22-6.
The Phillies will send Aaron Nola to the mound with an overall record of 11-13. So far, Nola has put together an ERA of 3.25 across his 32 outings. Aaron Nola comes into the game with one of the lower WHIP's among starting pitchers (0.96). Across his previous outings, Nola has a SLG% allowed of .346. In total, he has given up 19 home runs. For the season, Nola has picked up 235 strikeouts on a K rate of 28.9%. Thus far, Aaron Nola has had problems with walks, averaging 1.27 BB/9.
On the season, Philadelphia boasts the 7th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.59 runs per game. In the team's 81 games at home, their run differential is -1. As a team, the Phillies are batting a healthy .252, placing them 9th in the league. This includes batting .209 over their last 3 games. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.24 home runs per game (6th). In terms of exit velocity, the team ranks near the top of the league. To date, Philadelphia has the MLB's 11th best OBP at .316. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .322.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Braves vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and Philadelphia, the Phillies are the betting favorite at -120 on the moneyline. Philadelphia's implied win probability sits at 54.55%. The MLB predictive model shows Philadelphia holding the advantage in both starting pitching and at the plate. It is recommended to take the Phillies on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline
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