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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday November 2nd, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Astros vs. Phillies
The Astros take on the Phillies on Wednesday November 2nd at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Houston Astros (106-56) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (87-75)
- Date: Wednesday November 2nd, 2022
- Time: 8:03 ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Astros vs. Phillies
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Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into their matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies, the Astros will need a win to even the series as they trail 2-1. When playing away from home, the Astros have played well posting a record of 54-31. In their previous games, the Astros lost by a score of 7-0 to Philadelphia. For the year, Houston has played a total of 56 series, going 36-14-6.
Houston pitcher Cristian Javier gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 11-9. In his 30 appearances, Javier has an ERA of 2.54. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .170 against him. Through 148 innings of work, Javier has a HR/9 figure of 1.03, placing him near the league average. Cristian Javier takes the mound with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.73. This has come while striking out 33.0% of the batters he's faced.
Houston enters play averaging 4.52 runs per game, placing them 9th in the MLB. So far, the Astros have combined for a team batting average of .246, placing them 13th in the league. For the season, 38.1% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, Houston's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.33 home runs per game, ranking 4th. Houston's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 7th with an OBP of .318. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 8.7%.
Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Philadelphia Phillies host the Houston Astros, they look to take a commanding 3-1 lead in the World Series. In their 87 games at Citizens Bank Park, the Phillies have a strong record of 53-34. Philadelphia will look to tack on another victory as they defeated the Astros by a score of 7-0. For the year, the team has played a total of 55 series, going 28-22-5.
The Phillies will send Aaron Nola to the mound with an overall record of 11-13. So far, Nola has put together an ERA of 3.25 across his 32 outings. Aaron Nola comes into the game with one of the lower WHIP's among starting pitchers (.96). So far, Aaron Nola has a SLG% allowed of .346, including giving up 19 home runs. Overall, Nola has notched 235 strikeouts on a K rate of 28.9%. In his outings, Aaron Nola is putting batters on through walks at a rate of 1.27 BB/9.
Entering today's action, Philadelphia features the 7th-ranked scoring unit, averaging 4.65 runs per game. In the team's 87 games at home, their run differential is -5. The Phillies are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 8th, at .252. For the season, 36.0% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team has also been strong in the power department, averaging 1.29 home runs per game, which ranks 6th. In terms of exit velocity, the team ranks near the top of the league. To date, Philadelphia has the MLB's 11th-best OBP at .316. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .322.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Astros vs. Phillies
Heading into today's matchup between Houston and Philadelphia, the Astros are the betting favorite at -126 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 55.75%. The MLB predictive model shows the Phillies pulling off the upset over Houston. It is recommended to take Philadelphia on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Moneyline
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