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PGA Stat Buffet - CJ Cup Golf Bets and DFS Research

The aim of this article is to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course to play, what kind of skillsets matter most, and who are the best players in the field in those categories. To microwave the food analogy that will drizzle this article throughout, hopefully this piece takes you straight to the lobster when searching through the buffet of golfers to throw onto your DFS plate.

 That being said, you can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me.

 

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The Menu (Course Breakdown)

Congaree Golf Club: Par: 71, Yardage: 7,655, Greens: Bermuda

With only one round of data and a weak field compiling it together, the week before a major last year, below how each statistical category correlated with success. Distance and accuracy off the tee much more important this week, almost rivaling approach play which typically is always the most predictive stat.

 

The Usual (Course History)

Not very many players have visited Congaree Golf Club before, with only nine professionals having played a full four rounds here. Hatton, Fitzpatrick, English, and Reavie all gained more than two strokes per round in their appearance at the Palmetto Championship last year.

 

This Week's Specials (Recent Form)

A peak at the top 20 in the four major strokes gained categories over the last 24 rounds. Please remember that for some of these numbers, the last 24 rounds could have taken place several months ago.

Top 20 players gaining the most total strokes over the last 24 rounds.

Top 20 players gaining the most strokes off the tee over the last 24 rounds.

Top 20 players gaining the most strokes on approach over the last 24 rounds.

Top 20 players gaining the most strokes around the green over the last 24 rounds.

Top 20 players gaining the most strokes putting over the last 24 rounds.

 

Let The Big Dog Eat (Driving Stats)

Any statistic that does not have a "L24" is a baseline stat and is weighted 95% (2022) and 5% (2023) by season.

The Driving Statistics portion of the article includes strokes gained off the tee, distance, accuracy and good drives gained.

Chefs' recommendation: Off The Tee (includes both distance and accuracy).

Top 20 players gaining off the tee

Top 20 players that hit bombs

Top 20 most accurate drivers in the field

Top 20 players gaining good drives

 

 

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The Meat and Potatoes (Approach Stats)

Approach. Is. King!

Strokes gained approach is the stat that has the highest correlation to strokes gained total and a good approach player provides consistent performances, usually with a relatively high floor. It is indeed the meat and potatoes of all the stats.

Chefs' Recommendation: 67% of shots came from 125-200 and 250+ last time an event was played here.

Top 20 in strokes gained approach

Top 20 players in fairway proximity from 125-200 and 250+ (67% of shots came from here last year)

Top 20 players in rough proximity from 125-200 and 250+ (67% of shots came from here last year)

 

Scrambled Eggs (Around The Green)

Who likes to scramble their eggs? Who digests their fried eggs best? Lets find out.

Chefs Recommendation: Congaree has tons of sand so bunker play will be essential this week.

The top 20 best around the green

The top 20 best proximities from fringe

The top 20 best proximites from sand

The top 20 best proximites from rough

 

Eat Your Greens (Putting)

Each week we visit a green surface that has specific grass. Players have definite appetites for different types of grasses and some golfers just play better on Bermuda grass.

Chefs Recommendation: Bermuda Putting

The top 20 best putters in the field.

Top 20 from 5-15 feet

Top 20 on Bermuda greens

Top 20 Bermu-DUHS! (Who putt better on Bermuda)

Top 20 Bermu-DONTS! (Who putt worse on Bermuda)

 

 

Sprinkles and Syrup (Scoring Stats)

Whatever you like on your ice cream or cheesecake, throw a little extra on there with some scoring stats.

Chefs' Recommendation: Medium Course Scoring

Top 20 scorers on medium courses (where par for the top 5 was -10 or better).

 

The 20 best birdie makers.

The best at playing boring golf, avoiding bogeys.

Who gets it in the hole the fastest on par 5s?

 

The Fortune Cookie (Above Average in Six Key Stats)

Fortune favors the brave, and these 4 guys appear to be above average in all six key categories that were recommended by the chef. Two of them are on my outright card this week.

 

Hopefully this helped you narrow down your players with ease and success.

Good luck this week and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!!

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Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

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