X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

PGA DFS Picks - Round 4 Showdown for 2023 Travelers Championship

Scottie Scheffler - PGA DFS Lineup Picks, Daily Fantasy Golf, Betting Picks

Byron's top PGA DFS lineup picks for FanDuel, DraftKings. The Round 4 showdown slate for the 2023 Travelers Championship.

Keegan Bradley sits -21 on the leaderboard ahead of Chez Reavie, who is -20. Next up is Patrick Cantlay who sits all the way in 3rd place 5 shots back at -16. If the two guys in the front of the leaderboard land up stumbling, things could get real exciting for the tomorrow's showdown slate. Can Keegan hold on in the Northeast? Can Chez win this event again? Does somebody nearby shoot another -10 round to surge up the leaderboard? Hopefully one of the guys we roster tomorrow can be the "Yes" to our final question.

The general logic for showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. We will also be using my DFS Showdown Model which is available for premium members on the website and in our discord.

You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me. My DFS style is very ownership-centric, and at times, this can make you feel like an unsuccessful DFS player, but when a sneaky, low-owned golfer comes through for you, it is all worth it. In this article, we are going to break down the tournament's Ballers and Crawlers and use that information to derive a player pool full of upside and leverage.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

Finishing Position Points vs. Ownership

Round 4 showdown adds the element of finishing position points to the mix. It provides an immense leverage opportunity for those of us brave enough to click on names with a T30 associated with them. There is a five-point difference between second place and 15th place, the points equivalent of one extra birdie in a player's round. If somebody sitting outside the top 20 entering Round 4 has an amazing day, making only one extra birdie than the guys in the top five, they essentially nullify the finishing position advantage. Did we mention that they will also come in at a quarter of the ownership?

Ownership in DFS is king. If you are part of the 2% of the field that has John Huh shooting -9, 98% of the field is missing out on those points. This is where money is made in DFS and if we ignore finishing position points for the most part, there is a decent chance that one of the top points scorers is sitting outside the top 10 entering Round 4. There will be instances where the leaders continue to play well, and that is not ideal, but how many times have we seen a 45% owned overnight leader have his nerves get the better of him and shoot over par? In this scenario, you have a major edge over half the field.

Now, as much as we preach to avoid chasing ownership points, there are always exceptions to the rule and the beast that is Oak Hill CC is just that. Time for some quick math. The average points scored in R3 of the Byron Nelson was 41. Today, the field average was 21 points, on the easiest of the 3 days played so far.

So, we have a 20-point difference in average points between the two tournaments. The average of the points available for top 10 finishes is 8, which is 16% of the total points scored at the Byron and 28% of the available projected points in R4 tomorrow. A 12% increase across six roster spots is 72% which is basically 3/4 of a 7th roster spot. We are probably going to want to try roster as many guys who have a legitimate shot at making it into the top-10 tomorrow. More on this below.

 

Round 4 Strategy

Weather seems like a non-factor tomorrow with temps not baking out the course at all. The scores in the afternoon in R3 were -0.3 lower than the scores in the AM despite the wind picking up in the afternoon. Assuming things remain the same, we are not expecting a weather edge in R4.

With so many birdies out there and multiple 60s being recorded this week, we can dive deeper down the leaderboard in anticipation of a slate breaker round at low ownership.

 

Round 4 Power Rankings

The Power Rankings for Round 4:

These are the golfers I will be looking to slot into my lineups for round 4. The ownership numbers are projected for R4 of $5 PGA SHOWDOWN $12K CADDIE [SINGLE ENTRY] (ROUND 3), which is important to note, as contest size and entry fee impacts the ownership numbers of different golfers across the contests. Click here for a full field power rankings that is part of the DFS Showdown Model on RotoBaller's website.

 

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIAC when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022!

 

$10,000+

Favorite play: Scottie Scheffler sits in T7 and despite his hefty price tag, he provides one of the most consistent outputs on the slate at an extremely high level. He will be in T7, 7 shots back, and if he has an outlier round with the putter, we know he will have birdie look after birdie look. He could come in at half the ownership of Patrick Cantlay, who sits in third place and is much more affordable.

Other considerations: Rory McIlroy sits in T15 and despite his recent struggles in R4, we can expect him to charge up the leaderboard with little pressure on his shoulders. Xander Schauffele is $10,100 and is in T18 which should reduce his ownership and we have seen Xander break US Open records about a week ago.

$9,000+

Favorite play: Viktor Hovland will most likely not win tomorrow all the way in T33, but we can expect the Norwegian to rattle off some seriously low round in the morning before the leaders get through the turn. He is a birdie machine and sits far enough out of contention that we could see a round that was uninhibited by any pressure.

Other considerations: Tony Finau will find himself in T26 before the round starts and Sungjae Im is going to be a popular yet reliable option at this price point at T18. Sahith Theegala is one of the leading birdie makers in the field and if he can go nuclear on a course he finished T2 at just over a year ago, we can reap the rewards at some low ownership. Eric Cole made an 8 on a par 4 today and should be right in the mix had that hole not derailed his round.

 

$8,000+

Favorite play: Denny McCarthy is in T4 after a rather unrewarding R3. He has been on fire throughout the tournament and we can expect the best putter in the field over the last 24 rounds to do his thing on the greens in round 4, knowing he has ground to make up.

Other considerations:  Matt Fitzpatrick  is at -6 in T47 but we have seen him work some magic in R4 in the past, and if the ball striking and putter can collaborate for 18 holes, who knows what he can shoot. Wyndham Clark, Hideki Matsuyama, Tom Kim, and Corey Conners will all find themselves in my player pool for 20+ entry contests.

$7,000+

Favorite play: Jason Day seems to be playing much better golf in the last two rounds since an open 70. He is capable of going lights out with the putter and has one of the better R4 strokes gained averages in the field. He is also a monster at making birdies when he feels like he is in the mood.

Other considerations: Cameron Young  is flirting with disaster and desirability like a handsome highschooler, while Austin Eckroat and Emiliano Grillo are not that far out of a big round scooting them into the top 10 of the leaderboard.

$6,000+

Favorite play: Sepp Straka can very easily race up the leaderboard in R4 like he has shown in the past. He will hardly be owned and is very capable of rattling off a lot of birdies if he gets hot with the putter.

Other considerations: Ben Martin owns one of the worst R4 scoring averages, but sitting way outside the top of the leaderboard we can expect some fireworks from the man who is price at $6,900.

Good luck tomorrow, and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP
10
9
11
10
12
19
13
22
14
24
15
25
16
33
17
39
18
40
19
41

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
1
1
2
3
3
7
4
11
6
14
7
15
8
18
9
19
10
20

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Austin Gomber1 hour ago

Scratched From Rehab Start With Shoulder Inflammation
Zack Wheeler1 hour ago

Records 10 Strikeouts
Aroldis Chapman1 hour ago

Earns First Save Of The Season
Garrett Crochet2 hours ago

Works Eight Strong Innings
Rafael Devers2 hours ago

Finally Delivers At The Plate
Xavier Edwards2 hours ago

Collects Four Hits
Pete Alonso2 hours ago

Comes Up Clutch
Jackson Merrill4 hours ago

Goes Deep After Inking Nine-Year Extension
Luis Castillo4 hours ago

Finally Beats The Tigers On Wednesday
Seiya Suzuki4 hours ago

Carries Cubs Offense With Two Homers, Five RBI
Dennis Santana4 hours ago

Picks Up First Save Of The Year
Evan Phillips4 hours ago

Tony Gonsolin, Evan Phillips Starting Rehab Assignments
George Springer5 hours ago

Hits First Homer In Win Over Nationals
Alex Bregman5 hours ago

Considering Using Torpedo Bat
Freddie Freeman5 hours ago

Remains Out On Wednesday
Ozzie Albies5 hours ago

Moving To Leadoff Spot On Wednesday
Freddy Peralta5 hours ago

Dazzles In No-Decision Against Royals
Jackson Chourio6 hours ago

Picks Up Three Hits, First Homer In Extra-Innings Win
Michael Harris II6 hours ago

Sitting Against Lefty On Wednesday
Gunnar Henderson6 hours ago

To Make Another Rehab Appearance On Wednesday
Paul Skenes6 hours ago

Wins His First Game Of The Season

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
UFL RANKINGS, FANTASY FOOTBALL,

UFL Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 2: QB, RB, WR, TE Rankings and Analysis (2025)

Week 2 of the UFL season is just around the corner. This week will feature one game on Friday, one game on Saturday, and two on Sunday. Birmingham and Michigan will play at 8:00 p.m. EDT on Friday, followed by Memphis-D.C. on Saturday at 8:00 p.m. EDT. Sunday's game pits the 1-0 Renegades against the […]


Calvin Ridley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS Picks, Draft Sleepers

Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Overvalued, Undervalued Players (2025)

Dynasty fantasy football rankings constantly shift, especially as we inch closer to the new season and fantasy drafts. Dynasty managers know the importance of finding those underrated players who could be steals in drafts or trades. They also know some players are overhyped due to unsustainable trends or past production. I'll break down two overvalued […]


Justin Fields - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Best Fantasy Football Moves During 2025 NFL Free Agency

It has been a wild offseason so far in the NFL. Plenty of players have switched teams in free agency, and some stars were even traded. Deebo Samuel Sr. was dealt to the Washington Commanders, Geno Smith was traded to the Las Vegas Raiders, and DK Metcalf has a new home with the Pittsburgh Steelers. These […]


Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Three Aging Fantasy Football Players To Sell In Dynasty Leagues

It's hard to always know when to sell off your aging fantasy football players. Often, it's also difficult to accept that it's better to move on from a player when he's coming off a productive season and still has a lot left in the tank. But I believe it's better to be a year early […]


J.J. McCarthy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Draft Sleepers

Five Fantasy Football Superflex Quarterback Breakouts, Draft Targets (2025)

If you’ve ever played in a Superflex fantasy football league, then you know how important quarterbacks are in this format. The ability to start multiple stud quarterbacks can carry you to a Superflex title. Unfortunately, finding two such players isn’t so easy. All the top signal-callers come off draft boards first, and that makes it […]


Omarion Hampton - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

Ideal Landing Spots For The Top 12 Fantasy Football Rookies - 2025 NFL Draft

Then, the NFL Draft continues to inch closer and closer. This is a very interesting class, with a handful of players who could be stars in the NFL and reshape fantasy football leagues going forward. Here are the ideal landing spots for the top 12 fantasy football rookies. These picks exist in conversation with each […]


Jalen Coker - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Eight Best Ball Late Round Value Fantasy Football Players To Target For 2025

Fantasy football is the most popular game in all of sports. It has gone from a paper-and-pen game to a multi-million dollar-a-year one. While redraft leagues are the most popular form of fantasy football, best ball leagues are quickly gaining steam. The best part of best ball leagues is the ability to draft thousands of […]


Abdul Carter - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2025 NFL Draft Rankings: Top 10 Fantasy Football Edge Rusher Prospects

Edge rusher is the most important, most coveted, and most highly-paid position on defense in the NFL. It stands to reason that the most important position in the entire game being quarterback, and by a wide margin, means the most important position on defense are the players that are tasked with disrupting opposing QBs as […]


Brock Purdy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

Brock Purdy Dynasty Fantasy Football Outlook and Trade Value

Despite becoming the all-time leading passer for the Iowa State Cyclones, Brock Purdy wasn't a highly touted prospect due to his perceived lack of athleticism. The 49ers picked him with the final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft, but Mr. Irrelevant quickly proved everyone wrong. In his first two years, he started in back-to-back NFC […]


Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Scouting NFL Draft Prospects!

Michael F Florio goes over some of the top prospects from this years NFL Draft. Florio talks about what he looks for when watching prospect tape and explains what traits translate best to the NFL level. Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel 87) on Sundays from 6-7 am. You can […]


Najee Harris - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Dynasty Fantasy Football Buy or Sell: Najee Harris, Rico Dowdle, Jordan Mason

One year ago, we discussed the futures of Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley, and Aaron Jones as those free agents found new homes. This year's headliners are Najee Harris, Rico Dowdle, and Jordan Mason. Not quite the same. Still, with every transaction come implications for dynasty fantasy football rosters across the globe. Below, we […]


Romeo Doubs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Early 2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Undervalued NFC Draft Targets

While the 2025 fantasy football redraft season is still several months away, there is no such thing as being too prepared for your fantasy draft. Fantasy football is year-round, even for those who only play in redraft leagues. The landscape of fantasy football will change between today and the start of redraft season, with the […]


Detroit Lions Defense, Aidan Hutchinson - Fantasy Football DST Rankings, Streamers, IDP Sleepers

2025 Fantasy Football IDP Sleepers: Five Draft Targets

It's notably difficult to identify sleepers in fantasy football IDP leagues. The skill of the players in question is very important, but situation also plays a large factor, as does a recent history of injuries. Rather than bucketing them into groups, it's better to analyze each one individually, look at where they are in terms […]