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Byron's top PGA live bets, rankings and PGA DFS lineup picks for FanDuel, DraftKings. The Round 3 showdown slate on 10/14/22 for the 2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship.
This article is going to take a look at showdown slates after each completed round. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me. Please note that although I have power rankings in the below screenshot, they are derived from basic stats from KFT and PGA Tours, in order to try compare players as fairly as possible. Don't take them for gospel.
My DFS style is very ownership-centric, and more often than not this can make you feel like an unsuccessful DFS player, but every now and then when a sneaky, low owned golfer comes through for you, it is all worth it. In this article we are going to break down the previous round's Ballers and Crawlers and use that information to derive a player pool full of upside and leverage.
The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. These players will be higher owned and chalkier than golfers in the same price range, who had an off day, particularly with their irons. These are the golfers I am gravitated towards, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership.
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Ballers
We mentioned that we like to target golfers who played poorly, but that doesn't mean we need to entirely ignore those that played well. We can use a few of these guys in our lineups still, but we want to have the majority of our player pool coming from the "Prior Round Crawlers" who managed to drag their round to the 18th hole, hoping that the next day would be better.
Crawlers
This list is comprised of players who played poorly. There are definitely a few Crawlers I will be looking to target.
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Round 3 Power Rankings
The Chalk Squad
These golfers should be the most owned tomorrow based off of their round 1 performance.
Chalk I have my eye on:
$10,000+: Justin Lower - will probably come in the lowest owned of the five red guys below who are going to be very popular tomorrow. Ben Crane at that price is also going to be very popular.
$9,000+: Fade range.
$8,000+: Fade range.
$7,000+: Brian Gay, Harrison Endycott, Brrian Stuard
$6,000+: Scott Brown
The Pivot People
These golfers entered the tournament with high expectations, only to lose strokes to the field, making them less appetizing than the Chalk Squad but still have potential.
People I have my eye on:
$10,000+: N/A
$9,000+: Greyson Sigg
$8,000+: Russell Knox, Will Gordon, Nick Taylor
$7,000+: Chesson Hadley, Charley Hoffman, Cameron Percy,
$6,000+: Scott Harrington
The Leverage Legends
This bunch of benchwarmers, with sunscreen not entirely absorbed by their skin, sneakers with shoelaces long enough to tie down goliath, all have the potential to have their Hollywood moment tomorrow, completely outperforming their baseline for a day, while hardly finding themselves in anybody's player pool because, well, the beginning of this massive sentence explains that. They have the opportunity to be legendary tomorrow, while providing us with massive leverage on the field.
Legends I have my eye on:
$10,000+: N/A
$9,000+: Nick Hardy, Aaron Rai
$8,000+: Byeong Hun An
$7,000+: Harry Hall, Adam Long, Camillo Villegas, Garrick Higgo, Nate Lashley
$6,000+: Phillip Knowles, Austin Cook, Akshay Bhatia, Augusto Nunez
Good luck this week and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!!
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