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RotoBaller PGA Expert Roundtable
The U.S. Open
The Expert Roundtable article is an attempt to get you inside the minds of our PGA DFS staff for every tournament.
Our four top golf writers - Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Josh Bennett, and Tommy Bell - will answer the same set of questions each week to give you an idea of how they are viewing the PGA DFS slate. Let's tee it up!
Who is your favorite DFS value play?
- Joe Nicely: Louis Oosthuizen ($7,600) & Brian Harman ($6,400)
- Spencer Aguiar: Brian Harman ($6,400)
- Josh Bennett: Matt Kuchar (7,200)
- Tommy Bell: Paul Casey ($7,900)
Who is your favorite DFS “high priced” play?
- Joe Nicely: Dustin Johnson ($11,500) & Xander Schauffele ($10,100)
- Spencer Aguiar: Jon Rahm ($11,000)
- Josh Bennett: Jon Rahm (11,000)
- Tommy Bell: Justin Thomas ($10,000)
Who is your top GPP play?
- Joe Nicely: Tommy Fleetwood ($8,900) & Jason Day ($8,800)
- Spencer Aguiar: Bryson DeChambeau ($9,900)
- Josh Bennett: Justin Rose (8,400)
- Tommy Bell: Alex Noren ($7,100)
Who is your top Cash-Game play?
- Joe Nicely: Tyrrell Hatton ($8,100)
- Spencer Aguiar: Webb Simpson ($9,700)
- Josh Bennett: Webb Simpson (9,700)
- Tommy Bell: Tyrell Hatton ($8,100)
Which popular golfer will you be “fading”?
- Joe Nicely: Justin Thomas ($10,700) - Not a total fade, but will have less exposure than the field
- Spencer Aguiar: Collin Morikawa ($10,000)
- Josh Bennett: Daniel Berger (9,200)
- Tommy Bell: Webb Simpson ($9,700)
What stands out as the most important stat for this golf course?
- Joe Nicely: Total Driving, Scrambling, Bogey Avoidance
- Spencer Aguiar: Total Driving, Scrambling, Bogey Avoidance
- Josh Bennett: Total Driving
- Tommy Bell: SG: OTT, Bogey Avoidance
Who is your favorite DFS “dart throw”?
- Joe Nicely: Si Woo Kim ($7,200) & Martin Kaymer ($7,100)
- Spencer Aguiar: J.T. Poston ($6,100)
- Josh Bennett: Joel Dahmen (6,400)
- Tommy Bell: Kevin Na ($6,800)
What is your favorite bet of the week? (Any type)
- Joe Nicely: Louis Oosthuizen (80/1)
- Spencer Aguiar: Brian Harman T20 (6/1)
- Josh Bennett: Viktor Hovland (66/1)
- Tommy Bell: Tyrell Hatton (45/1)
Make a “bold prediction” for this week:
- Joe Nicely: Jason Day top-five finish
- Spencer Aguiar: Brian Harman cracks the top-five
- Josh Bennett: Curtis Luck finishes in the top 10
- Tommy Bell: Jon Rahm and Dustin Johnson both finish outside the Top 10
Who is your favorite overall DFS golfer and why?
- Joe Nicely: Xander Schauffele ($10,100) - IT IS TIME!
- Spencer Aguiar: Xander Schauffele ($10,100) - I believe Schauffele provides the most playability in all game types. Options like Jon Rahm, Webb Simpson and Daniel Berger would be close, but I like Xander’s overall level of consistency.
- Josh Bennett: Matt Kuchar (7,200) - The price is just too low for me. He will hit tons of fairways and make tons of pars. He's a much better golfer than the other players priced around him. It's my favorite play because of the value.
- Tommy Bell: Tyrell Hatton ($8,100) - I was tempted to put Berger here, but with Hatton over a grand cheaper, he makes too much sense. We’ve seen the upside before, and while his off-the-tee game isn’t as sound as others, we’ve seen him get locked in at tough tracks before and become as fierce a competitor on Sunday as they come.
What is your optimal DFS lineup building strategy?
- Joe Nicely: Don’t love the $7k range, so I find myself - surprisingly - going somewhat Stars & Scrubs.
- Spencer Aguiar: There is so much value from top-to-bottom. You can theoretically fit in anything you want.
- Josh Bennett: Balanced
- Tommy Bell: Fairly balanced with some JT if/when I choose to spend up
Who is your pick to win the tournament?
- Joe Nicely: Can we please get a DJ vs Xander vs Tony vs Morikawa four-man playoff so I’ll be happy no matter what happens? (DJ wins)
- Spencer Aguiar: Daniel Berger
- Josh Bennett: Jon Rahm
- Tommy Bell: Justin Thomas
Is there a question you would like to have answered every week? Hit us up on Twitter @RotoBallerPGA. We would love to hear your feedback and ideas!
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Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:
If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU
— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020
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