PGA DFS: Expert Roundtable - 3M Open

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RotoBaller PGA Expert Roundtable

3M Open

The Expert Roundtable article is an attempt to get you inside the minds of our PGA DFS staff for every tournament.

Our four top golf writers - Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Josh Bennett, and Tommy Bell - will answer the same set of questions each week to give you an idea of how they are viewing the PGA DFS slate. Let's tee it up!

Who is your favorite DFS value play?

• Joe Nicely: Richy Werenski ($7,400) & Will Gordon ($7,700)
• Spencer Aguiar: Max Homa ($8,000), Jhonattan Vegas ($7,900), Will Gordon ($7,700), Adam Schenk ($6,900)
• Josh Bennett: Max Homa - $8,000
• Tommy Bell: Sam Ryder - $7,300 & Will Gordon - $7,700

Who is your favorite DFS “high priced” play?

• Joe Nicely: Dustin Johnson ($11,500)
• Spencer Aguiar: Dustin Johnson ($11,500)
• Josh Bennett: Tony Finau - $10,900
• Tommy Bell: Tommy Fleetwood - $10,500

Who is your top GPP play?

• Joe Nicely: EVR ($8.8k) & Sam Burns ($8.5k)
• Spencer Aguiar: Bubba Watson ($9,900) - Higher price might draw some away. Upside is as good as anyone in this field. Aaron Wise ($7,100) if you are looking for a cheap dart throw with extreme volatility.
• Josh Bennett: Bubba Watson - $9,900
• Tommy Bell: Luke List ($8,400) has the upside to win this tournament, and the downside to be out of contention by his 8th hole on Thursday.

Who is your top Cash-Game play?

• Joe Nicely: Lucas Glover ($9,400) *I realize this is gross!
• Spencer Aguiar: Paul Casey ($10,100)
• Josh Bennett: Harris English - $9,000
• Tommy Bell: Harris English - $9,000

Which popular golfer will you be “fading”?

• Joe Nicely: Brooks Koepka ($11,200)
• Spencer Aguiar: Russell Henley ($9,200)
• Josh Bennett: Sam Burns - $8,500
• Tommy Bell: Tony Finau - $10,900

What stands out as the most important stat for this golf course?

• Joe Nicely: Driving Distance, SG: Approach, Birdies or Better Gained
• Spencer Aguiar: Ball-Striking & Driving Distance
• Josh Bennett: SG: Approach
• Tommy Bell: Par 5 Scoring, SG: Approach (125-175 yds), Ball-Striking

Who is your favorite DFS “dart throw”?

• Joe Nicely: Kristoffer Ventura ($7.3k) & Seamus Power ($6.5k)
• Spencer Aguiar: Ryan Brehm ($6,100)
• Josh Bennett: Angus Flanagan - $6,000
• Tommy Bell: Chesson Hadley - $6,900

What is your favorite bet of the week? (Any type)

• Joe Nicely: Outrights - EVR (33/1) & Sam Burns (40/1)
• Spencer Aguiar: Johnny Vegas (70/1), Max Homa (80/1)
• Josh Bennett: Max Homa 80/1
• Tommy Bell: Doc Redman (40/1)

Make a “bold prediction” for this week:

• Joe Nicely: Tommy Fleetwood misses the cut in his first post-layoff start.
• Spencer Aguiar: At 500/1 and under one percent ownership on DraftKings, Ryan Brehm ($6,100) makes the cut and finishes inside the top-20.
• Josh Bennett: Angus Flanagan top-20 finish.
• Tommy Bell: Will Gordon shoots the low round of the week on Thursday morning with a 9-under 62

Who is your favorite overall DFS golfer and why?

• Joe Nicely: Dustin Johnson - Currently projected to garner lower ownership than Tony Finau, Tommy Fleetwood, & Paul Casey, but has more win equity than any player in the field.
• Spencer Aguiar: Jhonattan Vegas ($7,900) - I believe Vegas is mispriced in all betting markets. His DraftKings price tag allows you to grab one of the better players in the field at a going rate outside of the top-20 golfers.
• Josh Bennett: Max Homa (8,000) - Hes been hitting the ball long and is a great ball striker. If he can figure out his putter he will be in contention on Sunday
• Tommy Bell: Harris English ($9,000) has all the safety, upside, current form, and overall statistics you’re looking for in an upper-echelon fantasy play. The price tag is fair and the field is weak. Load me up!

What is your optimal DFS lineup building strategy?

• Joe Nicely: Stars & Scrubs
• Spencer Aguiar: A lot of routes that can be taken this week. I have enough players that I like in each range and will have a mix-and-match of different lineup constructions.
• Josh Bennett: Stars & Scrubs
• Tommy Bell: Fairly balanced with half of my lineups starting with Casey and half starting with Fleetwood

Who is your pick to win the tournament?

• Joe Nicely: Jason Day. Hold on...being told that Day is not in the field, so I'll BEGRUDGINGLY go with DJ
• Spencer Aguiar: Jhonattan Vegas
• Josh Bennett: Tony Finau
• Tommy Bell: Tommy Fleetwood

Is there a question you would like to have answered every week? Hit us up on Twitter @RotoBallerPGA. We would love to hear your feedback and ideas!

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If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

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